This is true, and Kadri (poster above) also brought up a similar point. The problem is that this gives like no credit to Estrada's talent\adjustments in limiting HR\FB which is problematic. It's better than ERA but there's still room for error.
His HR/FB rate is almost half of what it was last year. I refuse to believe that's all improvement in skill, especially coming to this bandbox to pitch home games.
Like Kadri91 said, a ERA a run and a half below his xFIP isn't sustainable. Even a half a run likely wouldn't be sustainable when you consider he's never outperformed it in his career
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