a lot of good points in this thread so far.
I agree with Tom's points that the NHL actually setting up another league with replacement players is not going to be easy, but at this point I'm taking this whole thing more as a threat to see if the player's side moves, then anything they would (or could) seriously do.
excellent point though on supporting replacement players IMO:
Top Shelf said:
Don't foget the NFL used replacements in 1987 and look where they are now. Sometimes you have to break something down and rebuild it from scratch to make it stronger for the future. You may take a hit in the short term - but over the long haul you hope your product is stronger. Prolly wishful thinking but I'm trying my damndest to stay positive in this mess.
the owners side in the end IMO has the last say... they can hold out a lot longer than the players... going with replacement players - which won't be easy, but IMO we'd end up seeing them before a 2-3 or more year lockout - could be the best thing for the league in long term... and for the owners, if they manage to get replacement players, they'd be making money - in many cases more than they are now.
I think that replacement players will sell out arenas still in cities... of course taking into account drastic drops in ticket prices, reflective of drastic drops in salaries....
IMO they'd also be players crossing over... while the top stars - especially the young ones who have a long career ahead of them, will try holding out long, you'll have the 3rd/4th liners, 30-somethings that would cross - many of them are already fighting for a job at the NHL level, how long would they hold out seeing a job waiting for them... and guys like Gelinas, May, etc - guys that aren't going to benefit at all by waiting through a lockout, while having another 2-4 years or so of being able to earn a living at all in this sport....
the younger future stars - Crosby, Brule, etc... even the Ovechkins, Malkins, Barker, etc .. talented guys who haven't signed an NHL contract could join a new league (remember a new league could set it's own age limits and rules... it wasn't that long ago that a young Gretzky was signed by Indianapolis and went to Edmonton, bypassing the draft)... a few years, and drafts later, the change in overall talent won't be as visible... and will disappear after some years.
a league that went through this would definitely be in the owner's favour.... a couple or three years of hits (which won't be as bad if replacements are used) could lead to many more years of a bigger bottom line for them.
In the end, going the NFL route could also be the best thing for the NHL right now... in some cities this could even help their market, generate more fans... fan support is weak in the NHL down south (overall), and changing the target market - from trying to attract fans that pay $50+ per ticket at times, to ones that pay $20-25 per ticket could be the best thing for the NHL overall when trying to open up to a bigger market....
from a fan's perspective - lockout for a year, 2 years, 10 years... when they get back to work, I'll still be a fan