Which picks do you take?

[895]

This is for a non-specific, generic draft year. Obviously some years the drop off between tiers is huge. Assume you have none of this information.

Click to read more...

 

[780il]

First overall.

For my team those are the only picks we tend to not screw up (with the exception of Yakupov lol).

 

[Nizdizzle]

The only thing I find enticing about the 5 late 1sts is that it gives you a crazy amount of resources to make trades. You probably can't get an elite player unless you move all or most of them, but you could theoretically add an entire top-6 line at the trade deadline if you are pressing for the cup.

That said, 1st overall is tough to turn down.

 

[JoVel]

For some reference:

2010
Taylor Hall
vs
Ryan Johansen & Nino Niederreiter
vs
Charlie Coyle, Emerson Etem, Brock Nelson, Tyler Pitlick & Jared Knight


2011
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
vs
Adam Larsson & Ryan Strome
vs
Zack Phillips, Niklas Jensen, Rickard Rakell, David Musil & Ty Rattie


2012
Nail Yakupov
vs
Griffin Reinhart & Morgan Rielly
vs
Brady Skjei, Stefan Matteau, Tanner Pearson, Oscar Dansk & Mitch Moroz


2013
Nathan Mackinnon
vs
Seth Jones & Elias Lindholm
vs
Morgan Klimchuk, Jason Dickinson, Ryan Hartman, Ian McCoshen & Chris Bigras


2014
Aaron Ekblad
vs
Sam Bennett & Michael Dal Colle
vs
Josh Ho-Sang, Adrian Kempe, John Quenneville, Brendan Lemieux & Jayce Hawryluk


2015
Connor McDavid
vs
Mitch Marner & Noah Hanifin
vs
Anthony Beauvillier, Gabriel Larsson, Nick Merkley, Jeremy Roy & Christian Fischer


2016
Auston Matthews
vs
Jesse Puljujärvi & Olli Juolevi
vs
Lucas Johansen, Trent Frederic, Sam Steel, Yegor Korshkov & Tyler Benson


2017
Nico Hischier
vs
Cale Makar & Elias Pettersson
vs
Shane Bowers, Henri Jokiharju, Eeli Tolvanen, Klim Kostin & Conor Timmins

 

[Squarp]

2017
Nico Hischier
vs
Cale Makar & Elias Pettersson
vs
Shane Bowers, Henri Jokiharju, Eeli Tolvanen, Klim Kostin & Conor Timmins

This is the only year I'd take picks 4&5 over 1

 

[tony d]

Def the #1 picks for me.

 

[JoVel]

This is the only year I'd take picks 4&5 over 1

You'd pick Yakupov over Rielly?

 

[Squarp]

You'd pick Yakupov over Rielly?

Oops missed that one . Yeah 2012 as well!

 

[Thenameless]

Mario Lemieux, Lindros, Crosby, Ovechkin, McDavid, Hall, Kane....Even taking the busts that come with first overall, this really is an easy choice. Teams aren't going to tank for picks 28-32.

 

[ThatsSoSlavin]

I mean I’d take 4 and 5 for 2017

 

[North Cole]

For some reference:

2016
Auston Matthews
vs
Jesse Puljujärvi & Olli Juolevi
vs
Lucas Johansen, Trent Frederic, Sam Steel, Yegor Korshkov & Tyler Benson

Holy shit 2016. The disparity between #1 and #4/5 is hilarious. Saying that as a fan of the team who took one of those guys

 

[Anichels]

For some reference:

2010
Taylor Hall
vs
Ryan Johansen & Nino Niederreiter
vs
Charlie Coyle, Emerson Etem, Brock Nelson, Tyler Pitlick & Jared Knight


2011
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
vs
Adam Larsson & Ryan Strome
vs
Zack Phillips, Niklas Jensen, Rickard Rakell, David Musil & Ty Rattie


2012
Nail Yakupov
vs
Griffin Reinhart & Morgan Rielly
vs
Brady Skjei, Stefan Matteau, Tanner Pearson, Oscar Dansk & Mitch Moroz


2013
Nathan Mackinnon
vs
Seth Jones & Elias Lindholm
vs
Morgan Klimchuk, Jason Dickinson, Ryan Hartman, Ian McCoshen & Chris Bigras


2014
Aaron Ekblad
vs
Sam Bennett & Michael Dal Colle
vs
Josh Ho-Sang, Adrian Kempe, John Quenneville, Brendan Lemieux & Jayce Hawryluk


2015
Connor McDavid
vs
Mitch Marner & Noah Hanifin
vs
Anthony Beauvillier, Gabriel Larsson, Nick Merkley, Jeremy Roy & Christian Fischer


2016
Auston Matthews
vs
Jesse Puljujärvi & Olli Juolevi
vs
Lucas Johansen, Trent Frederic, Sam Steel, Yegor Korshkov & Tyler Benson


2017
Nico Hischier
vs
Cale Makar & Elias Pettersson
vs
Shane Bowers, Henri Jokiharju, Eeli Tolvanen, Klim Kostin & Conor Timmins

It seems like the "right" choice is 50/50 between 1 OA, or 4 OA + 5 OA
When the BPA is not considered a "generational talent", the right choice is likely 4 +5

 

[StoneHands]

For some reference:

2010
Taylor Hall
vs
Ryan Johansen & Nino Niederreiter
vs
Charlie Coyle, Emerson Etem, Brock Nelson, Tyler Pitlick & Jared Knight


2011
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
vs
Adam Larsson & Ryan Strome
vs
Zack Phillips, Niklas Jensen, Rickard Rakell, David Musil & Ty Rattie


2012
Nail Yakupov
vs
Griffin Reinhart & Morgan Rielly
vs
Brady Skjei, Stefan Matteau, Tanner Pearson, Oscar Dansk & Mitch Moroz


2013
Nathan Mackinnon
vs
Seth Jones & Elias Lindholm
vs
Morgan Klimchuk, Jason Dickinson, Ryan Hartman, Ian McCoshen & Chris Bigras


2014
Aaron Ekblad
vs
Sam Bennett & Michael Dal Colle
vs
Josh Ho-Sang, Adrian Kempe, John Quenneville, Brendan Lemieux & Jayce Hawryluk


2015
Connor McDavid
vs
Mitch Marner & Noah Hanifin
vs
Anthony Beauvillier, Gabriel Larsson, Nick Merkley, Jeremy Roy & Christian Fischer


2016
Auston Matthews
vs
Jesse Puljujärvi & Olli Juolevi
vs
Lucas Johansen, Trent Frederic, Sam Steel, Yegor Korshkov & Tyler Benson


2017
Nico Hischier
vs
Cale Makar & Elias Pettersson
vs
Shane Bowers, Henri Jokiharju, Eeli Tolvanen, Klim Kostin & Conor Timmins

I voted 4th and 5th but looking at this maybe I should have gone with 1st overall.

2010: 1st
2011: 1st
2012: 4th + 5th
2013: 4th + 5th
2014: 1st
2015: Tough call but 1st for me
2016: 1st
2017: 4th + 5th

 

[CraigsList]

I voted 4th and 5th but looking at this maybe I should have gone with 1st overall.

2010: 1st
2011: 1st
2012: 4th + 5th
2013: 4th + 5th
2014: 1st
2015: Tough call but 1st for me
2016: 1st
2017: 4th + 5th

Im sorry, what? Lol, McDavid >>>>> Marner + Hanifin

 

[SotasicA]

1st overall easy. Nearly guaranteed getting a franchise player. 4th and 5th are good players hopefully (with a good chance one of them won't make it big) but those later picks are just fringe players or AHLers more likely. You can get them on waiver wire.

 

[StoneHands]

Im sorry, what? Lol, McDavid >>>>> Marner + Hanifin

If McDavid ends up being a ~120 point center while Marner ends up a ~100 point winger and Hanifin tops out as a top pairing defenseman then it's not nearly as lopsided as you're saying. You can disagree but these guys are still young and defenseman usually don't hit their prime until their mid 20s so saying it could be close isn't all that crazy.

 

[Randy Randerson]

I said 4&5 for my team given that it already has it's core players. I like the trade capital and high-end reinforcement potential that gives. That said, if I knew there was a Lafreniere level prospect in the draft then me answer changes

 

[bobholly39]

If my intention is to draft 1st oa 100%
If im considering trading - this gets more interessting.

Im not 100% which package is worth more. I think 1st overall is worth more than 4 and 5 but im really curious about what the trade value of 5 1st round picks (even late ones) is in comparison.

 

[VoluntaryDom]

if my team is bad at drafting, #1
if my team is good at drafting, #4+#5
my team is good at drafting

 

[Aceboogie]

1st all day everyday

The drop off in value from 1st to 4th/5th is immense

 

[spiny norman]

Lopsided result.