Most likely somewhere in the top four, though it's hard to say where.
The Atlantic is very lopsided, with four top-third teams (Detroit, Boston, Montreal, and Ottawa) and four bottom-third teams (Florida, Tampa Bay, Toronto, and Buffalo) with a very large gap in-between. One of the top-4 teams might get unlucky with injuries or shooting (like Montreal in 11-12), or one of the bottom-4 teams might get correspondingly lucky (much like Toronto in 12-13), but in terms of team quality, the top-4 should make the playoffs and the bottom-4 should end up near the cellar.
Between the top-4 teams, while Montreal may be seen as the weakest of that lot, the four are really close enough that standard variations in performance should matter more than the actual differences in team quality.
I wish that to be true but I believe its wishful thinking to lump toronto into the bottom grouping. Can it happen? Sure. Is it likely? No. I see them being in the middle of the division with montreal.
The Habs won't match last season's point total but there's no denying they have greater depth both in Montréal and in Hamilton.
Boston
Ottawa
Detroit
Montreal
Toronto
Tampa Bay
Buffalo
Florida
If we can't match last seasons points in an 82 game schedule we'll definitely be picking top 5Oh no? You sure they won't match LAST SEASON's point total?
bang on , and we miss the playoffs
Oh no? You sure they won't match LAST SEASON's point total?
Lol Florida and Buffalo ahead of Montreal, what a joke.
It will be very close between those 3 teams
pretty crazy to see what winning ONE round of P.O. (and being anihilated in the second by no-defense Penguins) can do to predictions...
Maybe if Montreal trades all of their UFAs because otherwise they have more talent and more depth than both of those teams.
IMO losing Alfredsson and getting Spezza back is basically a wash. Then you have Ryan and MacArthur coming in, Zibanejad, Lehner and Wiercoch getting a year better and Karlsson maybe back to health. Of course I hope they fall on their faces, but unfortunately I think the Sens will be ok.
Also (unlike the Leafs), their success last season wasn't percentage based. They outshot their opponents an average of 33.1 to 31.3 - putting them firmly in MathMan's group of Bos/Det/Mtl/Ott, rather than with Buf/Flo/TB/Tor.
while it will strenthen their top6, they also lost Silfversberg in the deal... as for Ziba, Lehner and Wiercoch, them getting a year more of experience is no different than Gallagher, Galchenyuk or other youngsters on other teams having one more year in the pro...
it's not like their kids wil progress while kids from other teams wont you know.
and over a full season, I wouldnt expect a goalie to have a SV% of .940 or a GAA below 2.00 like Anderson had last season...
like Price, Patches, Subban, Eller, Galchenyuk, Gallagher ?True, every team has them, the Sens just have more key players in their early twenties, and less well into their thirties.
Their shooting % was 7.04, dead last in the league. That brings their PDO to 1003.4, pretty normal... and while Anderson's save % should come down, I'd bet on him remaining above average. I don't expect percentage regression to hurt them.