cheswick
Non-registered User
Gross overestimation? Are you serious? The lowest number we have is something like 0.4 percent die. Globally that'd be something like 25 million people. Ignoring the health complications created by the virus, and if the second wave turns out ot be more deadly.
It's not just the 1-3 Americans that'll die from the virus. It is the large number of people suffering kidney failures, liver troubles, long disease etc. For all we know 2-3 million Americans could have cancer within a year.
You seem to be going on the assumption that the entirety of the worlds population will get infected by the virus. That's not remotely close to how these things work. Estimates for the Spanish flu was under 30% infection rate worldwide. Also the death rate seems more in line with the Hong Kong flu which saw 1 to 4 million deaths world wide (with slightly more than half as many people on the planet at that time). So yes, at this point 50 million deaths is a gross overestimation.
At the end of the day NOBODY really knows how this will play out. Spanish flu's second wave was far worse than the first but the Hong Kong flu second wave was less than the first. Neither tell us what is actually going to happen.
As someone mentioned above, at the end of the day if every human life should be saved at any cost, no sporting events should ever be held, no cars should be allowed on the road, we should always be living in a lockdown cause it will save lives from the flu, from car accidents, etc. Living life is inherently risky. There will always be a balance between mitigating those risks and people's freedoms
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