Mike,
You are completely missing the point (happens when you join the conversation halfway through).
I’m not attempting to rank UV in any way shape or form, or say who is better now. I am simply stating that UV was ranked by the majority of scouting services below where the B’s took him (18), and that he didn’t “fall” into the their lap.
no, I understand your point I think I was responding more to the other side of this argument... the idea that a guy fell.
fell by whose judgement is my question? was the one that rated him higher someone that had the power to pick.
if I say I had jay Henderson rated number 1 back in 1990 whatever and he ended up the last pick in the draft then I ask... did he fall to the team? why the hell would it matter if I had him rated number 1. obviously my ratings don't matter because I don't pick
we can guess what the rankings of the teams were that passed on vaakanainen because they didn't pick him. they must have had people rated higher. so he wasn't falling to us, they were simply taking people they had rated higher
why is some other persons ratings more worthwhile than the teams that actually make picks. those teams make their own ratings. those teams picked someone they had rated higher.
but who is right??? just because they have their own ratings doesn't make them any more right or wrong. being right or wrong is something that only gets proven later.
on draft day boston had vaakanainen rated as the guy they wanted. THATS ALL WE KNOW. we know it because they picked him. the rest of it is just speculation. was he rated higher??? who knows... doesn't matter. he was rated where we took him and we did take him. actions are speaking.
someone that wants to say we 'lucked into him' doesn't know what they are talking about... lucked into him by who's judgement? who was the one that said he should go higher? obviously the teams above us didn't agree.
opinions/judgements/gradings of these kids is 100% speculative. the real value of the judements and gradings only manifests itself later by the performance. if vaikanainen players well we will feel we got 'lucky' the other teams did such a crap job scouting and missed him. we will feel 'lucky' we did a better job scouting and got him. but never will we care what some outside scouting staff had him rated at 13 or 18 or 37... its so irrelevant its not even really worth talking about and I don't know why it comes up again and again and again.
the truth is most guys drafted outside the top 10 fail as often as they succeed. its a 50-50 coin flip that any scout can hit year after year drafting at spot number 18. or at spot 30. if we hit its a bonus, but theres no guarantees.
so far this looks like a really good pick because it looks like he is hitting and hitting ahead of schedule. im a happy fan waiting to see what comes next