Whitesnake
If you rebuild, they will come.
- Jan 5, 2003
- 89,333
- 36,509
You want a scout to hit on most of their 1st and 2nd round picks, but can you name 1 single scout scout that has even hit on 50% of their non-lottery 1st round picks and more than 30% of their 2nd round picks?
Timmins has hit on 80% of his lottery picks (Andrei Kostitsyn being his 1 miss, and even Kostitsyn imo could have been a solid 20 goal 50 point 3rd liner if better developed on and off the ice). Price, McDonagh, Galchenyuk, and Sergachev were great picks. Ak wasn't, that's 80%.
Timmins' record on non-lottery 1st rounders is going to be a lot better if (once) Scherbak and Juulsen establish themselves, and Poehling could put his record in elite company.
If Pacioretty, Juulsen, and Scherbak made it. Chipchura, Fischer, Leblanc, Tinordi, and Beaulieu didn't. That's 38%. 44% if Poehling makes it. I haven't compared with other teams in a while but that's damn good if I remember correctly. I also did an analysis of his 2nd rounders and he was in the top tier, if I remember correctly. I think his numbers will improve now that he's not going to be mandated to draft for size.
Who cares about percentage. Let's pretend TBay only great 2nd and 3rd round were Point and Kucherov. What do you prefer? This? Or the great percentage that could be De La Rose, Lehkonen, Mete, Lernout and Hudon? It makes no sense to simply stick with percentages. You need players you can't get through trades and UFA's. Making it is not enough.