Absolutely! Looking forward to seeing what you come up with.
I'm working on a much more detailed write-up that I'll probably post here and in the main NHL section, but as a preview:
Using a data set that includes every pick in the 1998-2007 drafts, I calculated a formula for each player that quantifies "Success". It is a weighted calculation involving GP and PPG for forwards, GP and PPG for defensemen (would rather use TOI/G than PPG, but I can't find it), and GP and SV% for goalies. Once I have this value for each player, I subtract the average success score of that draft position (i.e. 32nd overall) to see by how much that player over or under performed based on that picks average, and call this "success difference". For instance, Jonathan Toews has a success rating of 49.30. The average player picked third overall from 1998-2007 had an average success rating of 39.31. So, Toews’ success difference score is a 9.99, meaning he was 9.99 points better on this scale than the average third overall pick.
The final purpose of this study is to see if factors like height, weight, and country of origin lead to a group of players being systematically over or under drafted, but as a fun side-note, I decided to see how each NHL team had done drafting. Here is the average success difference ranking for each team from 1998-2007, from best to worst.
Team Average of Difference
San Jose 2.26
Montreal 2.25
Pittsburgh 1.47
Buffalo 1.45
Detroit 1.28
Ottawa 1.11
Toronto 0.94
Boston 0.94
Minnesota 0.80
Dallas 0.62
Columbus 0.52
Los Angeles 0.52
Colorado 0.50
St. Louis 0.39
NY Rangers 0.19
Anaheim 0.13
Nashville -0.11
Carolina -0.29
Edmonton -0.42
Atlanta -0.64
Chicago -0.74
Washington -0.76
Philadelphia-0.91
New Jersey -0.94
Vancouver -1.04
NY Islanders-1.11
Calgary -1.17
Tampa Bay -1.90
Florida -2.05
Phoenix -2.45
Once I post something bigger, I'll link you to it!
