Theoretical Salary Cap (2013-14) MOD - if full 12-13 season & not defined in CBA

Discussion in 'Fugu's Business of Hockey Forum' started by TOGuy14, Oct 28, 2013.

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  1. TOGuy14

    TOGuy14 Registered User

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    Just wondering, but does anyone have any idea what the salary cap would have been this year if it weren't artificially suppressed by the CBA?

    I am wondering as some sort of guide for how much we can expect it to go up for next year...
     
  2. tsanuri

    tsanuri Moderator

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    The best guess it to take growth from the last full year which was 3.3B. So even at 5% growth it would take it to 66.41M. And that doesn't include the 5% that the NHLPA can add. Not sure exactly how that provision works. But 5% is a very low guess should expect 7% at min really.
     
  3. jumptheshark

    jumptheshark Rebooting myself Sponsor

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    current cap 64.5 I predict 70mill
     
  4. mouser

    mouser Business of Hockey

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    Depends on what you think the year to year % growth from 2011-2012 to 2012-2013 was. It's impossible to calculate for certain given the partial season.

    Assuming the reported 2011-2012 revenue of $3.28B is accurate, the following growth rates would have yielded the following caps

    0% - $62.0M
    1% - $63.3M
    2% - $64.6M
    3% - $66.0M
    4% - $67.4M
    5% - $68.8M
    6% - $70.1M
    7% - $71.5M

    One thing to consider is that the compliance buyouts count against the player share and that historically the players have usually lost $ due to escrow. So even if the cap "should" have technically been set higher that could still result in the players simply losing more $ via escrow.
     
  5. Betamax*

    Betamax* Guest

    Does anyone know when typically the NHL officially or via unofficial channels release their estimates for what next season's i.e. 2014/15 Salary Cap upper limit will be?
     
  6. mouser

    mouser Business of Hockey

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    No later then June 30th. Usually the last week or two of June.
     
  7. There are usually people that can do pretty accurate calculations somewhere around the 2/3 mark of the season though. obviously non-officially.
     

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