OT: The SportsBook Betting Thread - All Sports

Cody Webster

Registered User
Jul 18, 2014
24,964
22,883
If y’all are curious my teammate wanted to run the model for the games for tonight. Not the biggest fan since it’s using mostly last years data.

WSH ML (-125) 3u
BOS ML (-175) 3u
NYR ML (-105) 3u
CAR ML (-210) 3u
NSH ML (-120) 2u
CGL ML (-125) 1u
VAN ML (+110) 3u
VGK ML (-210) 2u

FWIW I didn’t take any of these. But wanted to put what the units would be.
You'll have to get back to us in a couple weeks once the season is more than a few days old. It'll be interesting this season since they are only playing 7 different teams, 8 times each
 
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sa cyred

Running Data Models
Sep 11, 2007
20,843
3,106
SJ
You'll have to get back to us in a couple weeks once the season is more than a few days old. It'll be interesting this season since they are only playing 7 different teams, 8 times each
Oh for sure! We are curious how this would affect it too. Because of this it might take even more time before “official” plays
 
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Hurricane28

Angry Flyers STH/Weather Guy
Aug 22, 2012
9,217
9,189
South Jersey
Getting crushed in NHL so far. Use Dom's model that he posts on the Athletic. Was extremely profitable for me last year but slow start so far which isn't unexpected considering new season, weird scheduling, no fans etc. But just gonna ride it out
 

Chinatown88

Daniels QB3
Jan 17, 2012
23,578
46,097
The Universe
So I just logged into DraftKings and saw they have a free $100 credit for Blackjack. I bet $100 on the first hand, dealer busted. Withdrew $200. Told HCette to do it too. She won. $200.

Free $400.
tenor.gif
 

sa cyred

Running Data Models
Sep 11, 2007
20,843
3,106
SJ
Alright everyone. My group and I have been testing the "new" system out to take into consideration the amount of back-to-backs, teams playing eachother multiple times, etc. We adjusted quite a few things and over the last 36 games have gone 24-12 for a 66.67 win % and +13.92u. We aren't officially taking these justttt yet since we wanted another week or so of data, but I wanted to share as much as I could our daily plays.

Our ML Plays For Today:

MTL - 4u
FLA - 1u
VAN - 1u
WSH - 1u
DAL - 3u
CHI - 1u
CGY - 2u

It says to not play the STL game. It had a slight lean on STL though.

For those that like ROI, obviously taking a huge juiced odds isnt worth it. But for us, who ran this for a few months worth of games, the profit is what was important for us. Starting with tomorrows data, we are adding in a new section taking 60 mins lines odds for 3 or 4u plays. This is taking a few more datapoints into consideration so... need alot of testing on it.


EDIT: I meant 60 minute line odds. Not 5v5
 
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sa cyred

Running Data Models
Sep 11, 2007
20,843
3,106
SJ
I look good tonight. I had put $50 on KC before season started (that fanduel win promo). On the flip side I placed $10 on TB with that one other fanduel promo. Best kind of betting night.

(Of course I did like 10 other bets but that’s besides the point ha )
 

Hollywood Cannon

I'm Away From My Desk
Jul 17, 2007
86,031
155,695
South Jersey
I got an error yesterday at the final page of placing a deposit on PointsBet and then shortly after received an email receipt from PayPal about it. PointsBet refused to acknowledge that the transaction went through yesterday despite my proof with the receipt and now this morning the money was taken out of my bank account and for the moment PointsBet still says the transaction didn't go through.

Cool, cool. Great company you're advertising every five minutes NBCS Philly.
 
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Hollywood Cannon

I'm Away From My Desk
Jul 17, 2007
86,031
155,695
South Jersey
DraftKings is running another one of their every so many bets the line moves essentially guaranteed win bets.

This time with the Lakers/Nuggets Over on 2/14. It’s down to 123 points. $25 max bet to win $25.
 
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