The Playoff Picture Thread

Discussion in 'Edmonton Oilers' started by elmeroil, Dec 21, 2018.

  1. Cory Gray

    Cory Gray Registered User

    Joined:
    Oct 9, 2018
    Messages:
    32
    Likes Received:
    4
    Trophy Points:
    8
    Gender:
    Male

    Pretty amazing and fortunate if you ask me... there are FIVE teams in between us and that last playoff spot though. Fortunate because we have such a huge divide between the top 5 teams in our division and the bottom three playoff spots - and we are competing for just two of those (unfortunate that we're not in the Central where we'd be competing for all three). Really... everyone is still in it in the west, one hot streak by us or anyone else in the bottom 8 could very well get them into a wildcard spot.

    A five game win streak to follow the all-star break could do miracles for our chances - and that's not an impossible ask here, is it?
     
  2. PassittoLetestu

    PassittoLetestu Registered User

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2010
    Messages:
    3,260
    Likes Received:
    1,141
    Trophy Points:
    109
    Stop!, they're already dead.
     
  3. elmeroil

    elmeroil Registered User

    Joined:
    Feb 3, 2013
    Messages:
    403
    Likes Received:
    303
    Trophy Points:
    64
    What's the point of this post? Some fans have given up and that's their right. Other fans see that we are luckily only 3 points back with 39% of the season left to play. Could it go bad quickly, absolutely. Could they go on a tear with Klef back and Mcdavid rested, absolutely.

    Koskinen has also shown that behind some decent defense he can have a good run. No reason to say they are dead until they are a lot further out of it.
     
  4. ThreeOfAPerfectPair

    ThreeOfAPerfectPair Registered User

    Joined:
    Oct 26, 2017
    Messages:
    3,943
    Likes Received:
    4,343
    Trophy Points:
    102
    Location:
    Edmonton


    Tough to see them playing past .500
     
  5. Todd from Leduc

    Todd from Leduc Registered User

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2017
    Messages:
    914
    Likes Received:
    593
    Trophy Points:
    64
    Gender:
    Male
    Occupation:
    Waste Management Services
    Location:
    Leduc
    2 points out and climbing boys!
     
  6. Drivesaitl

    Drivesaitl Civilized Worm

    Joined:
    Oct 8, 2017
    Messages:
    10,928
    Likes Received:
    5,921
    Trophy Points:
    132
    Gender:
    Male
    Location:
    Edmonton
    That's actually a pretty normative schedule. Neither hard, or easy. Everything looks harder when you looking up from near bottom.

    The funny thing about the metric is there is no bad WC team column, namely because every one of the clubs is in the WC race.

    The reality is it doesn't matter much who you face and it doesn't always seem to matter to the Oilers who play better against good clubs and often worse against bad ones.

    Sometimes it seems theres an advantage playing a lot of clubs down the stretch that don't need the pts and the hardest games are playing the clubs that do.

    In anycase in the capped era there really aren't clubs that are unbeatable, or that don't lose regularly, those don't exist. Every game is winnable, or losable.

    These breakdowns are just interesting, they mean nothing.

    The bad news is that 9 teams are fighting for 2WC spots what with all the divisional spots pretty much locked up.
     
  7. Mr Positive

    Mr Positive Cap Crunch Incoming

    Joined:
    Nov 20, 2013
    Messages:
    18,339
    Likes Received:
    1,372
    Trophy Points:
    140
    I'd wonder if perhaps Dallas could get cold at some point and fall to the wild card spots. They've been hot and cold this season, and although they've got a decent lead, there's still a lot of track for them to give space in.

    That doesn't open up a spot for us as a Pacific team, but it make be a spot that St.Louis climbs into, and I think that is a team that will not give up their playoff spot at all, and will stay hot.

    The real hope for us is that although there's lots of competition for only 2 spots, perhaps we are well positioned to win some games considering our big losing skids were connected with certain key injuries, injuries that are close to resolved, and I'm not even talking about Sekera. So there's some good reason to think we would be one of the more competitive suitors for those spots.
     
  8. Stoneman89

    Stoneman89 Registered User

    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2008
    Messages:
    12,695
    Likes Received:
    1,455
    Trophy Points:
    169
    We’ve lost to Detroit. We’ve lost to Jersey. We’ve lost to LA. There are no easy games for this team. Every game will be life and death.
     
  9. Stoneman89

    Stoneman89 Registered User

    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2008
    Messages:
    12,695
    Likes Received:
    1,455
    Trophy Points:
    169
    We still have the same goalies though and to me, that is the biggest issue. Talbot runs hot and cold, and I have no idea what we have in Koskinen.
     
  10. McFuhryous

    McFuhryous Registered User

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2007
    Messages:
    9,223
    Likes Received:
    4,494
    Trophy Points:
    156
    Trying to spin some positivity in the last 20 games...to quote Stauffer, the head says they're too far out but the heart says they have a (small) chance.

    There's 20 games left in the season as of today and the WC place holders on today's date (Dallas & Minnesota) are "on pace" for around 89 & 86 points. The Oilers need 87 to get in as WC2 and are 28 points away from that mark.

    They need to play .700 hockey here on out and win 14 of the next 20. McDavid should be rested after having three of the last four games off so hopefully his energy sparks the team. No news on Klefbom is good news from the slash he took last night so hopefully it stays that way this morning. They've also gotten 6 of 8 possible points in the last four games, and three of those games were without McDavid-so that's a big positive to me.

    Going back to looking at the remaining games as a "best of five" series, it doesn't look overly good as they need three wins and an OT/SO loss in each block. It's not impossible but it's going to be a hard uphill battle.

    Series 1:
    at Toronto, at Ottawa, at Columbus, at Buffalo, H-Vancouver (4 home, 1 away)

    Series 2:
    H-Toronto, H-NYR, H-NJ, at Arizona, at Vegas (3 home, 2 away)

    Series 3:
    at St. Louis, H-Columbus, H-Ottawa, H-LA, H-Dallas (4 home, 1 away)

    Series 4:
    H-Anaheim, at LV, at Colorado, H-SJ, H-Calgary (3 home, 2 away)
     
    Last edited: Feb 26, 2019
    ConnorMcMullet likes this.
  11. BlackMcDog

    BlackMcDog Registered User

    Joined:
    Oct 3, 2015
    Messages:
    12,867
    Likes Received:
    4,836
    Trophy Points:
    141
    Occupation:
    Grade & Tier 3
    My head says only 22 points out of those games, if they win all the games they should. Which wouldn't be enough. But lets see.
     
    McFuhryous likes this.
  12. McFuhryous

    McFuhryous Registered User

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2007
    Messages:
    9,223
    Likes Received:
    4,494
    Trophy Points:
    156
    They are visually better in some areas (not all). They only have five of their remaining games against Western Conference wild card teams or teams which are in the hunt. They also play some pretty loaded team like Vegas & Toronto. It could very well come down to games 81 & 82, which could benefit the Oilers as the Sharks and Flames may be resting some key players for the start of the playoffs.
     
    BlackMcDog likes this.
  13. trick91

    trick91 Registered User

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2012
    Messages:
    160
    Likes Received:
    38
    Trophy Points:
    51
    If Klefbom is injured again and misses any sort of time, we are finished.
     
  14. McDrai

    McDrai Connor Doesn't Deserve This

    Joined:
    Mar 29, 2009
    Messages:
    12,695
    Likes Received:
    2,173
    Trophy Points:
    186
    If he's injured again we should part ways with him
     
  15. McCupofOil

    McCupofOil Still Evaluating

    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2009
    Messages:
    28,500
    Likes Received:
    5,851
    Trophy Points:
    156
    Location:
    5-14-6-1
    They were finished a long time ago. I'm not sure why this is even a discussion anymore.
    Sorry @McFuhryous but talking about the Oilers being in a playoff race is bordering on Pierre Dorion levels of delusion ;)
     
  16. Uchiha

    Uchiha #DorionOut

    Joined:
    Jun 14, 2014
    Messages:
    2,609
    Likes Received:
    285
    Trophy Points:
    79
    Don't know bout ya'll but...McDavid is going to lead us to a 20 game win streak.
     
  17. fuswald

    fuswald I'd Be Fired

    Joined:
    Dec 10, 2008
    Messages:
    1,544
    Likes Received:
    269
    Trophy Points:
    124
    Location:
    Edmonton
    He was attacked with a stick dont see how this is his fault.
     
  18. McFuhryous

    McFuhryous Registered User

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2007
    Messages:
    9,223
    Likes Received:
    4,494
    Trophy Points:
    156
    Lol, no need to apologize for anything...I know they're pretty much done, just trying to spark some positivity. :)
     
  19. ConnorMcMullet

    ConnorMcMullet Oilers fan, lost a bet

    Joined:
    Jun 10, 2017
    Messages:
    3,851
    Likes Received:
    4,851
    Trophy Points:
    121
    Gender:
    Male
    Still a chance, guys. Wild are now awful thanks to Fentorelli, and the Avs aren't great. A streak here and we're in. 13-5-2 would probably do it.

    Then we can destroy the fLames in the 1st round.
     
    Uchiha and McFuhryous like this.
  20. McFuhryous

    McFuhryous Registered User

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2007
    Messages:
    9,223
    Likes Received:
    4,494
    Trophy Points:
    156

    [​IMG]
     
    ConnorMcMullet likes this.
  21. bucks_oil

    bucks_oil Registered User

    Joined:
    Aug 25, 2005
    Messages:
    4,411
    Likes Received:
    420
    Trophy Points:
    124
    I think it's time...

    TOPPEP
     
    McFuhryous likes this.
  22. Arpeggio

    Arpeggio Registered User

    Joined:
    Jul 20, 2006
    Messages:
    7,203
    Likes Received:
    323
    Trophy Points:
    124
    Location:
    Edmonton
    They need a ten game heater, now. 9-1 or something like that gets them within striking distance. Yet they'd still have to finish the season really strong, even after that.

    Pretty much have to hope Koskinen plays out of his mind, and McDavid starts putting up major points.
     
  23. Uchiha

    Uchiha #DorionOut

    Joined:
    Jun 14, 2014
    Messages:
    2,609
    Likes Received:
    285
    Trophy Points:
    79
    Im with you on that....just need a big W against the bum leafs with a McDavid led 5 point night on national television to get these "fake" fans back into it.

    If we get that W...the game against the sens the following night is guarantee W night.

    That'll probably put us within 5pts back of a playoff spot by then.
     

Share This Page

  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.
    Dismiss Notice
monitoring_string = "358c248ada348a047a4b9bb27a146148"