The official hundred points watch thread.

[Mrb1p]

I suspect that the irony in your post will go right over your head.

Funny how my personal opinion didnt seem to matter for another player thats on the same team.

 

[Mrb1p]

I'm gonna say McDavid, Mackinnon, Rantanan, Giroux, Crosby and Kucherov

That seems the most likely case, but at this point, even as a Leafs hater, I have a hard time seeing Marner miss it.

 

[J T Money]

Going purely off the eye test, I would venture to say that these players will hit 100 (barring bad injuries obviously):

Ratanen
Mackinnon
Kucherov
Point
Gaudreau
McDavid

Coming in-between 90 - 100 points:
Crosby
Marner
Matthews
Malkin
Wheeler
Giroux

 

[Mrb1p]

14.3 oiSH% compared to 10.5 last year. 14.3 is an extremely high number and extremely unlikely to be sustained over the whole season. Last year, for example, MacKinnon had 11.9, McDavid had 10.5, Kucherov had 11. Going back more years, look at the top 10 finishes each year and you'll see their oiSH% is nowhere near Rantanen's current one.

Thats a fair point, its going to fall for sure, but theres almost .60 leeway in there.

 

[LeafShark]

None of them do it. They all slow down in the last quarter of the year.

 

[AvsFan29]

Thats a fair point, its going to fall for sure, but theres almost .60 leeway in there.

He's only had 2 points in the last 2 games, but he had 16 over the previous 8 games. So his P/GP pace was actually rising significantly.

 

[Mrb1p]

He's only had 2 points in the last 2 games, but he had 16 over the previous 8 games. So his P/GP pace was actually rising significantly.

Small sample size?

 

[AvsFan29]

Small sample size?

I just cited that sample because his pace has been rising for the last 10 games, and not falling like we're expecting.

 

[Pierce Hawthorne]

Small nitpick, but we are way past the 1/4 mark of the season...


1/4 would have been ~21 games.


We're even past the 1/3 mark of the season now for the majority of teams.



My guess is one of Mackinnon/Rantanen hit 100(With the other ending up at ~95), McDavid, Kucherov, and Marner all hit 100. Point, Gaudreau, Malkin, Crosby, Wheeler, Ovy, and Eichel all hit 90+.

 

[Critical13]

Lol u are defending Matthews like he's ur dad. Chill out man people have other opinions its a message board. Not everyone thinks Matthews is the next Gretzky.

Oh yes, what I said definitely could be regarded as claiming he's Gretzky. Nice job with that one, chief.

 

[BallardEra]

4 points for McDavid so far tonight. Hard to ever count this guy out.

 

[BorntoLose]

Going purely off the eye test, I would venture to say that these players will hit 100 (barring bad injuries obviously):

Ratanen
Mackinnon
Kucherov
Point
Gaudreau
McDavid

Coming in-between 90 - 100 points:
Crosby
Marner
Matthews
Malkin
Wheeler
Giroux

it would be pretty insane if Matthews hit 90 points with 14 games lost already, the rest i agree with though some are basically interchangeable list to list.

 

[wetcoast]

Thats a lot of people that will regress, a lot of them seem sustainable. From 17 to 4?

I think maybe 6 guys will actually hit 100 points, some of these guys will obviously drop off as games get tighter later on in the season, injuries, slumps ect....

 

[M.C.G. 31]

I think McDavid, Rantanen, MacKinnon hit it for sure at this pace, with Marner, Kucherov being real close to being locks in my eyes depending on their production pace at the Christmas break/New Year.

Crosby, Malkin could, but in Crosby's case he seems to save himself for the playoffs a lot recently, so I could see him slowing to 90-95 points, but he could hit 100 too.

I think Wheeler, Point, Scheifele, Giroux, Gaudreau, Ovechkin, Eichel, Matthews finish in the 90-point range, some higher, some just a hair lower if they all remain healthy.

Scoring is crazy this year.

it would be pretty insane if Matthews hit 90 points with 14 games lost already, the rest i agree with though some are basically interchangeable list to list.

I mean... if Matthews missed no other games this season, 90 points on the dot in 68 games is a 108 point pace over an 82 game season. Considering Toronto's potent offense, I don't see it being that farfetched, although you have to believe his SH% normalizes as the season wears on (although, his career SH% is still over 17% so he could very well end the season at the 20% mark too).

 

[talitintti]

4 points for McDavid so far tonight. Hard to ever count this guy out.

Uh, did anyone at some point suggest he wouldn't hit 100?

With the amount of chances he creates and icetime he gets, he's a total lock for 100 points if he plays full season.

 

[48g90a138pts]

I think MacKinnon, Rantanen, Kucherov, and Marner hit 100+. I don't think this is McDavids year.

 

[Zalos]

McDavid will never get less than 100 points in a season unless he is injured for more than 10 games.

Rantanen and MacKinnon are locks. Kucherov most likely too. Marner and Point would do it if they played the way they are playing right now all year, but I am not sure they will.

The rest will miss.

So my picks are:

#1 McDavid
#2 MacKinnon
#3 Rantanen
#4 Kucherov
#5 Marner

 

[AvsFan29]

There's 53 games left

 

[Mrb1p]

Updated the stats. Some movement in there, but nothing drastic, aside from McDavids huge jump in PPG with four points.

 

[48g90a138pts]

There's 53 games left

And he gets better as the season goes

 

[Captain Bowie]

I put it into a nice easy table for you, much easier to read. Feel free to put it into the OP.

Player	PPG	Pace
Mikko Rantanen	1.62	132
Nathan Mackinnon	1.52	124
Nikita Kucherov	1.43	117
Connor McDavid	1.43	117
Mitch Marner	1.38	113
Auston Matthews	1.6	108
Blake Wheeler	1.33	105
Sidney Crosby	1.33	105
Patrice Bergeron	1.37	104
Brayden Point	1.27	104
Johnny Gaudreau	1.28	104
Claude Giroux	1.23	100
Evgeni Malkin	1.22	100
Phil Kessel	1.22	100

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

 

[AvsFan29]

And he gets better as the season goes

So do a lot of players. It's called competing for a playoff spot

 

[Soliloquy of a Dogge]

Only players I expect will get there are McDavid, Mackinnon, Kucherov and Rantanen. Nobody else will break the barrier.

McDavid hasn't even gone off or had a streak this season yet. It's coming. 7 points behind Rantanen is nothing for him to make up.

 

[HOPE]

i don't know but rantanen is gonna bank the f*** out!

 

[BorntoLose]

I think McDavid, Rantanen, MacKinnon hit it for sure at this pace, with Marner, Kucherov being real close to being locks in my eyes depending on their production pace at the Christmas break/New Year.

Crosby, Malkin could, but in Crosby's case he seems to save himself for the playoffs a lot recently, so I could see him slowing to 90-95 points, but he could hit 100 too.

I think Wheeler, Point, Scheifele, Giroux, Gaudreau, Ovechkin, Eichel, Matthews finish in the 90-point range, some higher, some just a hair lower if they all remain healthy.

Scoring is crazy this year.


I mean... if Matthews missed no other games this season, 90 points on the dot in 68 games is a 108 point pace over an 82 game season. Considering Toronto's potent offense, I don't see it being that farfetched, although you have to believe his SH% normalizes as the season wears on (although, his career SH% is still over 17% so he could very well end the season at the 20% mark too).

As a leaf fan im more confident in Marner hitting 100 than Matthews hitting 90 thats just me though. i could easily see 80 though 40-40 type season if he stays healthy.