Strong possibility I won’t be shocked!
Unless there is a deal to be worked out where the Sharks retain, seems like they buy him out.
Buyout costs them: $2 million in cap space in 18-19 and $1.4 million in 19-20.
His cap hit is $4.85 million. Max retention is $2.425 million. I'd imagine that the Sharks would be willing to eat the extra $400K this year to have no impact on their cap in 19-20. Basically saves them $1 million overall against the cap. Question becomes, is there a team that would want Martin at $2.425 million against the cap and $2.125 million in actual cash.
He doesn't have much of a M-NTC. Can be moved to 24 other teams. If he's on your 3rd pairing at $2.4 million is that worth it for a team?