Micklebot
Moderator
- Apr 27, 2010
- 53,145
- 30,369
Kind of depends on how you define a bad pick. If McDavid went 30th in 2015, I'd probably say there were 29 bad picks in the first round.None of this makes Cody Ceci a bad draft pick at #15.
If bad pick I'd defined as whether you got better than the expected return for a player at a position, he's likely not going to be considered a bad pick, nor would most players that aren't busts after the top 5 or so.
If you define it as no betertpicks were chosen later, very few picks would be good.
I don't personally see bad pick or good pick a useful way of looking at things. Was chosing Patrick 2nd OA a bad pick because other guys ended up better, or was it a good pick because he projected better than others at that time?
Teams are going to miss on picks, that doesn't mean it was a bad pick, that's just part of the price to play the game. With a 1st round pick, I personally like the strategy of swinging for a homerun. I'd rather strickout picking Logan Brown than hit a foul ball or a single with guys Lazar if it means every now and then I land a Karlsson.
So for me, average players that can be aquired through free agency relatively easily are essentially misses, a hit is when you get someone that can't be easily aquired through other means. But I expect teams to miss. It's part of the process.