Horse Racing: Sat. Belmont's card (post #1134), NBC coverage begins at 4:30 pm ET

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Orrfourever

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Nov 29, 2016
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Had no luck this weekend...

On a side note I like watching Acacia Courtney handicap the races at Gulfstream. The former Miss Connecticut is not only easy on the eyes, she provides good info ion the horses.

Surprised the big networks havn't scooped her up yet. She's that good. She could replace that bozo Ed Olczyk. Lol:amazed:
 
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MiamiScreamingEagles

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Jan 17, 2004
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Had no luck this weekend...

On a side note I like watching Acacia Courtney handicap the races at Gulfstream. The former Miss Connecticut is not only easy on the eyes, she provides good info ion the horses.

Surprised the big networks havn't scooped her up yet. She's that good. She could replace that bozo Ed Olczyk. Lol:amazed:

Acacia Courtney is very attractive. She has an organization which is involved in aging or retired race horses as I understand.

She and Gabby Gaudet make a good tandem though I think Gaudet is better suited for her home base of Maryland. Gabby's family is in the industry there, father is a trainer though retired while her sister is active with a small stable. She is very knowledgeable on that circuit.

Gulfstream has an extremely potent product but this meet can be very difficult to handicap consistently.
 
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MiamiScreamingEagles

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----------------------------------------------
SOUTHWEST STAKES (Grade III)

PP​
| Horse (location bred) |
Age/Sex​
|
Jockey​
|
Weight​
|
Trainer​
|
Morning Line​
1| Cool Arrow (KY)| 3/colt | Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.| 119| Joe Sharp|12-1
2| Silver Dust (KY) | 3 colt| Corey J. Lanerie| 115| Randy L. Morse| 10-1
3|Uncontested (KY)| 3/colt| Channing Hill| 122| Wayne M. Catalano| 5-2
4| Lookin At Lee (KY)| 3/colt| Ricardo Santana, Jr.| 117| Steven M. Asmussen|8-1
5| Rowdy the Warrior (OK)| 3/colt |Luis S. Quinonez| 115| Donnie K. Von Hemel| 20-1
6| Cu Rahy (MD)| 3/colt | Glenn W. Corbett| 115| Danele Durham|50-1
7| Warrior's Club (KY)| 3/colt | Chris Landeros| 117| D. Wayne Lukas| 12-1
8| Petrov (KY)| 3/colt | Jose L. Ortiz| 115| Ron Moquett| 5-1
9|Dilettante (FL)| 3/colt | Florent Geroux| 115| D. Wayne Lukas|15-1
10|Hence (KY)| 3/colt | Ramon A. Vazquez| 115| Steven M. Asmussen|20-1
11| One Liner (KY)| 3/colt | John R. Velazquez| 115| Todd A. Pletcher|7-2
12| P C Cowboy (KY)| 3/colt | Carlos H. Marquez, Jr.| 115| John Alexander Ortiz| 30-1
13| Chief Know It All (KY)| 3/colt | Joseph Rocco, Jr.| 117| Brad H. Cox|12-1

  • Todd Pletcher doesn't ship to Oaklawn often but his stable is excessively talented and as such needs to find spots. This is also Johnny V.'s only mount of the day.
  • Uncontested should get much attention but this race seems prime for exotic players.

February 20, 2017

Oaklawn (Arkansas):
  • Grade III Southwest Stakes, $500,000 purse: And how prophetic was that statement about Pletcher! My gosh what a talented colt he has in One Liner. That was an appealing field in which to handicap. The favorite was off the board, not unexpected from me, but I used the wrong combos with the right three horses (also used Petrov and Lookin At Lee) to make a significant impact. As if this game isn't tough enough. Johnny V. didn't go to Remington in Oklahoma to lose a few weeks ago and he didn't go to Oaklawn in Arkansas today for the same reason. He picks and chooses and must have known this colt could rate. Johnny V. can be frustrating to support at times but in the right circumstances (riding for Pletcher especially) he can excel with the best. The fine lookin' 3-year-old is now 3-for-3 lifetime all under Velazquez. One Liner did have a 7-pound advantage on the favorite but if Pletcher can someone manage his stable properly this could be an excellent year for him. It was ridiculous that he got just one vote for Trainer of the Year in 2016. Maybe he has an ax to grind.
  • Grade III Razorback Handicap, $500,000 purse: Gun Runner (Florent Geroux/Steve Asmussen) won convincingly today and could have recorded any margin of victory desired. The 4-year-old colt is now 7-for-13 lifetime. I hope this animal gets in even bigger races, maybe, just maybe, the 2018 Pegasus Stakes. Who knows.
  • The fourth race, the $1 super returned $47,778. A $97.00 winner sparked a tri that paid $6,549.60.
  • Track handle was $6.1 million.


Gulfstream (Florida):
  • Every race on the card of 12 was a black type, each race had a purse of either $50,000 or $60,000. Track handle was $9.4 million.
  • I had a feeling Javier Castellano was sitting on a successful day and that he was with three winners in his six mounts. That said, his other three rides were all busts. Castellano was winless in eight straight days according to one Twitter site.
  • In race 4, Jorge Navarro had two runners including a 1-to-5 shot. I thought that runner could be beat despite the lofty odds. And the overwhelming favorite was not only beaten but didn't make the board. Navarro's other runner - this was not an entry - won at 6-1 and there appeared to be contact and impeding in the stretch with Tyler Gaffalione's mount who finished fifth. I hoped I could get my second and third place picks elevated to first and second (exacta box) and at 16-1 and 20-1, the latter ridden by Luca Panici, that would be a handsome return. Only an objection was lodged, no stewards' inquiry. Objection dismissed. The two picked horses paid $16.00 and $15.40 for show. Imagine what that exacta would have paid especially if the 1-to-5 remained off the board.
  • In race 9, Queen Del Valle upped her record to 7-for-9 including 7-for-8 lifetime on turf and 4-for-4 at Gulfstream with a nice win. She is also 6-for-6 with Edgard Zayas on board.


Aqueduct (New York):
  • In the $100,000 feature race, with a short field of five runners, Bill Parcells'-owned Bavaro returned to sprints after an unsuccessful attempt at a route but faded after an early lead. He does not have the same look he possessed the first two times out. The winner was the race's longest shot on the board at 10-1.
  • Manny Franco had two more winners including on Degrom who is named after a New York Mets' player. We've come to expect the unexpected in New York finales and today it was Irad Ortiz, Jr, who struggled at times this week, who ran third on a 2-to-5 shot. Ortiz, Jr. was 3-4-6 in 20 rides at two tracks.
  • Rayan Gazader, who rode at Gulfstream, won for the first time since mid-January and upped his record at the meet to 2-for-40. His other win was with the same horse as today and for Joseph Parker who was mentioned statistically in the recap yesterday (prior page).
  • The race day began with Angel Arroyo winning, he won the finale yesterday. Though he seems to have cooled from a strong start to the meet, he still has surprisingly successful numbers including 10% wins.
  • The race day concluded with the Pick Six return of $171,000.
  • The race day concluded with the Pick Four return of $13,255.

Parx (Pennsylvania):
  • In the 9th race, the second place finisher returned $51.80.

Sam Houston (Texas):
  • A very rainy day at this track.

Santa Anita (California):
  • Track handle reached $10,000,000.
  • The $2 Pick Six paid $109,732.
  • A 32-1 shot in race 6 paid $67.00 and was the first half of a daily double that paid $1,167.80.
  • Trainer Peter Miller won four times which ties his career-best at the track.

========================

With the holiday in the US Monday and shortened and condensed racing this time of the year in some tracks, the midweek is somewhat bland.

Aqueduct and Santa Anita are both dark until Friday.

Oaklawn re-opens Thursday.

Gulfstream and Tampa Bay resume Wednesday.

Mahoning Valley and Philly are among the tracks running Tuesday daytime.

Night tracks are generally available in Kentucky, Louisiana, Pennsylvania and West Virginia among other locales.

--------------------------

Next weekend's Kentucky Derby prep race is the Risen Star at Fair Grounds. That race was won by Gun Runner, mentioned in the above post) in 2016. This is the first Derby prep in which the winner gains 50 points to inclusion in the race. However, the Fountain of Youth (Gulfstream), Gotham (Aqueduct), Tampa Bay Derby (Tampa Bay) and San Felipe (Santa Anita) comprise the next four Derby preps.
 
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MiamiScreamingEagles

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Steve Haskin released his latest Kentucky Derby hot list:

  • 1. McCracken -- Ian Wilkes
  • 2. Irish War Cry -- Graham Motion
  • 3. Mo Town -- Tony Dutrow
  • 4. Mastery -- Bob Baffert
  • 5. Gunnevera -- Antonio Sano
  • 6. Practical Joke -- Chad Brown
  • 7. Classic Empire -- Mark Casse
  • 8. Gormley -- John Shirriffs
  • 9. El Areeb -- Cathal Lynch
  • 10. One Liner -- Todd Pletcher
  • 11. American Anthem -- Bob Baffert
  • 12. Tapwrit -- Todd Pletcher

Here is his reasoning as well as honorable mentions and droppers:

http://cs.bloodhorse.com/blogs/kent...ruary-21-2017-presented-by-shadwell-farm.aspx

Mastery isn't due out until next month and his slippage is due to inactivity and the victories of others.
 

MiamiScreamingEagles

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2017 Kentucky Derby Futures (pool #3)

Listing​
|
Horse​
|
Trainer​
|
Current Odds​
|
Possible Next Race​
1 |Always Dreaming|Todd Pletcher| 50-1| Rebel Stakes, March 18
2| American Anthem| Bob Baffert| 15-1| Rebel Stakes, March 18
3 | Battalion Runner| Todd Pletcher| 20-1 | undetermined
4| Classic Empire| Mark Casse| 8-1| San Felipe Stakes, March 11
5| El Areeb| Cal Lynch| 20-1| Gotham Stakes, March 4
6 | Epicharis (Japan)| Kyoshi Hagiwara| 30-1| undetermined
7| Gormley| John Shirreffs| 15-1|San Felipe Stakes, March 11
8| Guest Suite (gelding)| Neil Howard| 50-1| Risen Star, February 25
9| Gunnevera| Antonio Sano| 20-1| Fountain of Youth, March 4
10| Iliad (ridgling)| Doug O’Neill| 15-1| San Felipe Stakes, March 11
11| Irish War Cry| Graham Motion| 12-1| Fountain of Youth, March 4
12| Local Hero| Steve Asmussen| 50-1| Risen Star, February 25
13| Malagacy| Todd Pletcher| 30-1| undetermined
14| Mastery| Bob Baffert | 10-1| San Felipe Stakes, March 11
15 | McCraken| Ian Wilkes | 8-1| Tampa Bay Derby, March 11
16| Mo Town| Tony Dutrow| 15-1| Risen Star, February 25
17| One Liner| Todd Pletcher| 15-1| Rebel Stakes, March 18
18| Petrov| Ron Moquett| 30-1| Rebel Stakes, March 18
19| Practical Joke| Chad Brown| 20-1|Fountain of Youth, March 4
20| Royal Mo| John Shirreffs | 15-1| Rebel Stakes, March 18
21| State of Honor| Mark Casse| 50-1| Tampa Bay Derby, March 11
22| Tapwrit| Todd Pletcher| 20-1| Tampa Bay Derby, March 11
23| Wild Shot| Rusty Arnold| 50-1 |Tampa Bay Derby, March 11
24 | Mutuel Field (All Others)| varies| 4-1 | varies

Among the "all others" is Lookin at Lee who finished third at Oaklawn Sunday. Uncontested could run next in the Arkansas Derby April 15. He could run next at either the Rebel or the Arkansas Derby at the same track.
 
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GKJ

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One my faves up in Canada, Emma-Jayne Wilson gave birth to twins yesterday
 

MiamiScreamingEagles

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Louis Quatorze beat Skip Away, who developed as a fantastic runner as he aged and a Hall of Famer, in the Preakness. It was his day. The Derby winner Grindstone was retired just days following that win.



http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/220005/louis-quatorze-dies-of-heart-attack

It's been a rough week for American classic winners.

Louis Quatorze, winner of the 1996 Preakness Stakes (G1) and placed in five other grade 1 stakes, including the Breeders' Cup Classic, died of an apparent heart attack in his paddock at Murmur Farms two days before the death of dual classic winner Charismatic.

The 24-year-old son of Sovereign Dancer—On to Royalty, by On to Glory, was being called to the gate of his paddock after being out the morning of Feb. 17. As he galloped across the paddock to the gate, he collapsed and died immediately. He has been buried at Murmur Farm in Darlington, Md.

"Even considering that he was 24, it was heartbreaking," said Audrey Murray, owner of Murmur Farm. "He was so regal and majestic. When we would show him, he would stand there like he knew he'd won the Preakness."
 

MiamiScreamingEagles

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RISEN STAR STAKES (Grade II)
  • What: The winner is awarded 50 points to the Kentucky Derby, the highest total yet issued. This is generally considered one of the races which separates the pretenders and contenders.
  • When: Saturday, February 25, 2017, Race 11 of 12, 5:00 p.m. CT (6:00 pm ET)
  • Where: Fair Grounds Race Course, New Orleans, Louisiana
  • Distance: 1 1/16 mile
  • Surface: Dirt
  • Purse: $400,000
  • Runners (age, sex): Three-years-old, open
  • Preview article: http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-rac...-town-guest-suite-set-for-risen-star-showdown

PP​
| Horse (location bred) |
Age/Sex​
|
Jockey​
|
Weight​
|
Trainer​
|
Morning Line​
1|Girvin (KY)| 3 colt |Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.|116|Joe Sharp|6/1
2| Untrapped (KY)|3 colt | Ricardo Santana, Jr.|116|Steven M. Asmussen|10/1
3|Local Hero (KY)|3 colt |Florent Geroux|116|Steven M. Asmussen|4/1
4|Arklow (KY)|3 colt |Shaun Bridgmohan|116|Brad H. Cox|15/1
5|Shareholder Value (KY)|3 colt |Mitchell Murrill|116|Thomas M. Amoss|15/1
6|Guest Suite (KY)|3 gelding |Robby Albarado|120|Neil J. Howard|6/1
7| U S Officer (KY)|3 colt |Jose Valdivia, Jr.|116|Danny Pish|20/1
8| Cool Arrow (KY) |3 colt |Gabriel Saez|120|Joe Sharp|15/1
9| Mo Town (KY)|3 colt |John R. Velazquez| 122|Anthony W. Dutrow| 7/2
10| Takeoff (KY) | 3 colt |Julien R. Leparoux| 116|Mark E. Casse| 10/1
11| Sorry Erik (KY)| 3 colt |Kent J. Desormeaux| 116| J. Keith Desormeaux| 30/1
12| Horse Fly (KY)|3 colt | Miguel Mena| 116| D. Wayne Lukas| 30/1
13| It's Your Nickel (KY) | 3 colt |James Graham| 116| Kenneth G. McPeek| 30/1
14| So Conflated (FL) | 3 ridgling |Mario Gutierrez| 120| Doug F. O'Neill| 10/1

The numbers 10, 13 and 14 have been scratched.

Mo Tom will get plenty if attention. Local Hero could be a spot play.
 
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MiamiScreamingEagles

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February 23, 2017

Gulfstream (Florida):
  • Jose Ortiz, who is among the most successful riders in the land, won four straight races (not just four straight rides) for the first time in his young career. Oddly, the streak ended when he was on board the favorite in the finale and was caught by a 27-to-1 first-time starter. As if often said about New York, though it happens elsewhere, crazy things happen in finales. Ortiz was 6 4-1-0 in the 10 race card (6 starts in 10 races, 4 wins and 1 second). Ortiz also rode both horses to victories in their prior races.
  • Someone nailed the $.20 Rainbow Six for $324,000+ when Nick the Cardshark won his debut race. The $.50 Pick 5 paid $15,000.
  • In race 9, there is a trainer who is 2-for-133 since the start of 2016. His runner, 0-for-21 in 2016, is now 0-for-44 lifetime after finishing last at odds of 121-1. I am pulling for them.
  • In race 8, the $2 exacta paid $852.20 with Jose Ortiz topping the ticket. The $2 trifecta returned $8,226.00.
  • Race 2, there were three runners across-the-wire but the 15-to-1 ridden by Nik Juarez beat chalk ridden by Johnny Velazquez and Luis Saez.
  • Race 1 was won by a 1-to-9 shot, the lowest odds possible.
  • The handle was $8.4 million.
 
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Orrfourever

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Nov 29, 2016
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MiamiScreamingEagles

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I bet LQ in the Kentucky Derby. Didn't fallow up in the Preakness. I'm still bitter about that...

Chris Antley running for Nick Zito. They teamed in 1991 with Strike the Gold, in which I had a score that day.

I used the two Unbridled runners in the 1996 Derby: Unbridled's Song finished fifth after the blistering pace (a rare questionable ride by Mike Smith but other factors, too) and Grindstone won. Very disappointing result with Song used on top but the foot became his Achilles' heel in a way.

It must be tough when the cameras on your every reaction in these instances but Baffert was caught in that moment of the unknown and thought he won that race. I still think he said "We got (it) him." Grindstone came on with a furious rally but I thought initially just fell short. Here it is:

 

MiamiScreamingEagles

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February 24, 2017

Aqueduct (New York):
  • A highly questionable decision in which Mike Luzzi was taken down after an objection/inquiry and eventually replaced by Irad Ortiz, Jr. More egregious maneuvers have occurred without any DQs in the past. This may have matched the consecutive Sunday finales last year when Junior Alvarado was DQ'd in both races (including a 49-to-1).




    As NYRA analyst Andy Serling said on Twitter:


    Or as independent Daily Racing Form (DRF) analysts have stated:


  • Yesterday his brother won four at Gulfstream, today Irad Ortiz, Jr. won four races in New York including the questionable ruling in race 6 mentioned above. Ortiz, Jr. won the first three races on the card.
  • This was a very mediocre card with short fields early including just four in the opener. Considering there were three days since the last racing day, this was a below-average day for the track. Examples: $2 exacta paid $4.90, the $2 trifecta paid $7.70 and the $2 super returned $13.20 in race 3. The $2 Pick 3 paid $10.00. The $2 Double after race 2 paid $6.90. The $2 exacta after race 1 paid $4.00.


Tampa Bay Downs (Florida):
  • Although her result was not as celebratory as last month, great-grandmother Sue Martin, at the age of 62, rode in race 4.

Gulfstream (Florida):
  • I am not sure the last time Edgar Prado won twice on a Florida card but it happened today. Javier Castellano also won twice.
  • Luca Panici brought home the biggest price at $26.60.

Fair Grounds (Louisiana):
  • In race 5, there was a $21,000+ superfecta for a $1 bet. The $2 trifecta returned over $3,000.
 
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MiamiScreamingEagles

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February 25, 2017

Fair Grounds (Louisiana):
  • In the finale, an old favorite was victorious. Unbridled Giant, an 8-to-1 morning line, was sent off at 4-to-1 and looked regal if nothing else. The 8-year-old horse keeps ticking and won for the 9th time in 32 starts.
  • Farrell, who is likely to get much support in her bid to win the Kentucky Oaks, was sent off at 7-to-2 and looked the part of leading contender by winning the $200,000 Rachel Alexandra. Ridden by Channing Hill for his father-in-law Wayne Catalano. The filly could be Unique Bella's primary competition as the calendar year advances.
  • Girvin, from the inside hole, won the $400,000 Risen Star Stakes. Ridden by Brian Hernandez, Jr., and trained by Joe Sharp, the latter who may have to find a new rider should the jockey opt for McCracken if both are Derby bound. Untrapped came in second and Local Hero third making for a 1-2-3 trifecta. Mo Town, the 4-to-5 favorite by Johnny V. failed. Local Hero was my pick, I shunned those 4-to-5 odds despite Johnny V.'s presence.



Oaklawn (Arkansas):
  • In race 6, a $74.20 winner.
  • The $1 Pick 5 paid over $33,000.
  • The $1 super in race 5 paid over $32,000. The $ tri returned $8,008.40. All that with a 7-to-2 winner.
  • Alex Canchari and Alex Birzer each won three of the eight races.

Parx (Pennsylvania):
  • In race 5, the winner returned $76.80, the $2 tri paid $13,179.60 and the $1 superfecta was an astonishing $206,776.90 .
  • A Pick 4 after race 8 paid $8,929.00.
  • The last race of the day, race #10, had a $1 super return $18,427.

Gulfstream (Florida):
  • Handle neared $15,000,000.
  • In the race that got the most buzz, Unified beat Mind Your Biscuits in the $100,000 Grade III Gulfstream Park Sprint. Unified (Jose Ortiz/James Jerkens) is now 4-for-5 lifetime and won in his first race since June where he was unplaced. The $2 exacta returned $17.20 which could be considered a nice return considering the two chalk prevailed in a 6-horse field.
  • A chalky day at the track. Of the 13 races, the favorites won 6 and finished second 4 times. The only price among winners came in race 2 with a 19-to-1. Every other winner paid less than $15 and most under $10. A rare uninteresting day at the track.

Tampa Bay Downs (Florida):
  • St. Elias Stable had a first-time runner name Jagr in race 4. He finished third. A son to Uncle Mo.

Aqueduct (New York):
  • The fog was oppressive late in the day. Could barely see one race. And there is a joke about yesterday's decision somewhere in there. Almost universally, people to whom I spoke today, from T-bred owners to handicappers including one person who profited from the DQ, questioned, mocked and/or blasted yesterday's decision by NYRA to DQ Luzzi. Truly one of the worst decisions I have ever witnessed.



Santa Anita (California):
  • The $2 Pick 6 paid out $34,000+.
  • There were just three runners in a $100,000 race.
  • Chalk up another graded stakes win for Mike Smith as he brought Ambitious Brew, who last ran a terrible race Breeders Cup weekend, to victory for trainer Martin Jones. Bettys Bambino, 7-for-11 lifetime entering the race, finished third.

Golden Gate (California):
  • The Pick 6 paid over $22,000.
 
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MiamiScreamingEagles

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February 26, 2017

Laurel (Maryland):
  • In the opener, a helluva ride by Kevin Gomez who fought back after leading and then falling back. Good exciting race especially to those who wagered and won. And...trained by Lacey Gaudet her lone entry of the day.
  • Luzzi finally won. Lane Luzzi had his first win of 2017 in his 61st ride. An 8-to-1 victory with a gelding that was 1-for-20 lifetime. If anyone needed a victory, it was kid Luzzi. Hopefully he finds success in Maryland.

Tampa Bay (Florida):
  • In race 3, a 28-to-1 nipped the even-money favorite. The PENTA returned over $25,000.
  • In race 5, a 28-to-1 winner again.
  • Favoriites won six times and finished second twice in 10 races.

Gulfstream (Florida):
  • Corey Lanerie won three times and for Dale Romans in each instance.
  • Little-used rider Angel Moreno is now 2-for-2 this year after bringing home a $115.20 winner in race 3. And what a finish! He chased down the 8-to-5 favorite. Pick 3 players who singled the runner-up had to be boisterous to say the least.
  • What a lengthy delay to start the 12th race. The #10 seemed obstinate if not determined entering the gate. And...of course he won. Nick Zito picked up another victory.
  • Handle exceeded $12,000,000.
  • Gulfstream is operating 10 months of the year and the turf course can get sandy and while the cards aren't always filled with top-notch runners, especially mid-week, the fields are generally deep and the races enjoyable if not unpredictable.

Oaklawn (Arkansas):
  • Race 1 had a $69.60 winner, a $672.60 exacta, a $6,958.00 trifecta and a $1 super which returned $17,570.
  • The double paid $576.80.
  • The wait to determine the winner of race 3 seemed eternal. Close finish with the eyes playing tricks.
  • Jockey Alex Birzer, who won three times yesterday, picked up his 3,000th lifetime win today. He seemed generally honored and touched. If pictures are worth 1,000 words his reaction was encyclopedic. Of the countless jockeys that have ridden going back to prior centuries in North America, only 174 have reached the milestone. Truly a remarkable feat.
 
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MiamiScreamingEagles

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Here is the latest data with this weekend's conclusion to the third (of four) Derby future pools: https://www.kentuckyderby.com/uploa...226_Final_KDFW_Pool_3_Odds_and_Will_Pays..pdf

This upcoming weekend, the Kentucky Derby ante is raised.
  • Fountain of Youth at Gulfstream Park which could include Gunnevera, Irish War Cry and Practical Joke. Since Spectacular Bid won this race in 1979, only Orb in 2013 has been a victor in both this race and the Kentucky Derby. EDITED: A field of ten runners could partake in the race:: Irish War Cry, Practical Joke, Gunnevera, Three Rules, Beasley Huracan Americo, Lookin For Eight, Made You Look, Talk Logistics and Takaful.
  • Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct which almost assuredly will feature El Areeb. The most recent winner of this race to win the Kentucky Derby was Secretariat in 1973.

With the win yesterday, Girvin currently sits atop the Kentucky Derby leaderboard since the 50 points issued to the winner is much higher than the 10 points given to prior winners. A summation of past Derby winners and where they finished since this points system went into affect:

2016 -- Nyquist finished with the second most points.
2015 -- American Pharoah finished with the fourth most points.
2014 -- California Chrome finished in first place.
2013 -- Orb finished with the most points.

Currently, Girvin, Classic Empire and Untrapped are 1-2-3 on the 2017 leaderboard but that will change as the weeks lead into March, April and eventually May.

=======================================

2017 Kentucky Derby Futures (pool #3)

Listing​
|
Horse​
|
Trainer​
|
Current Odds​
|
Possible Next Race​
1 |Always Dreaming|Todd Pletcher| 50-1| Rebel Stakes, March 18
2| American Anthem| Bob Baffert| 15-1| Rebel Stakes, March 18
3 | Battalion Runner| Todd Pletcher| 20-1 |Florida Derby, April 1
4| Classic Empire| Mark Casse| 8-1| undetermined
5| El Areeb| Cal Lynch| 20-1| Gotham Stakes, March 4
6 | Epicharis (Japan)| Kyoshi Hagiwara| 30-1| undetermined
7| Gormley| John Shirreffs| 15-1|San Felipe Stakes, March 11
8| Guest Suite (gelding)| Neil Howard| 50-1| Louisiana Derby, April 1
9| Gunnevera| Antonio Sano| 20-1| Fountain of Youth, March 4
10| Iliad (ridgling)| Doug O’Neill| 15-1| San Felipe Stakes, March 11
11| Irish War Cry| Graham Motion| 12-1| Fountain of Youth, March 4
12| Local Hero| Steve Asmussen| 50-1|Louisiana Derby, April 1
13| Malagacy| Todd Pletcher| 30-1| Rebel Stakes, March 18
14| Mastery| Bob Baffert | 10-1| San Felipe Stakes, March 11
15 | McCraken| Ian Wilkes | 8-1| Toyota Blue Grass, April 8
16| Mo Town| Tony Dutrow| 15-1| undertermined
17| One Liner| Todd Pletcher| 15-1| Florida Derby, April 1; Blue Grass Stakes, April 8; Wood Memorial, April 8
18| Petrov| Ron Moquett| 30-1| Rebel Stakes, March 18
19| Practical Joke| Chad Brown| 20-1|Fountain of Youth, March 4
20| Royal Mo| John Shirreffs | 15-1| Rebel Stakes, March 18
21| State of Honor| Mark Casse| 50-1| Tampa Bay Derby, March 11
22| Tapwrit| Todd Pletcher| 20-1| Tampa Bay Derby, March 11
23| Wild Shot| Rusty Arnold| 50-1 |Tampa Bay Derby, March 11
24 | Mutuel Field (All Others)| varies| 4-1 | varies

Untrapped to the Rebel Stakes, March 18, 2017.
Girvin will likely be prepped for the Louisiana Derby on April 1, 2017 at Fair Grounds.
 
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MiamiScreamingEagles

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Jan 17, 2004
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Arrogate is targeted for the World Cup, March 25 and the $10,000,000 purse that is offered. The now-retired California Chrome won this race last year.

According to bookmakers overseas, Arrogate could be a 1-to-2 wager while second choice is Mubtaahij at around 6-to-1.
 
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MiamiScreamingEagles

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Jan 17, 2004
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February 27, 2017

Fair Grounds (Louisiana):
  • Florent Geroux, who should be getting more attention than he receives nationally, continues his fantastic year by winning four races and in seven mounts went 4-2-1 today. The last two days, he was a combined 7-2-2 in 12 rides and his worst position was fourth place. He is now at an incredible 29.6% clip nationally. He is among the elite turf riders in the nation.
  • A 49-to-1 shot won race 8 and paid over $101 for the win.

Parx (Pennsylvania):
  • A 72-to-1 shot won race 3. It paid $147.80 for the win, the $50 tri paid over $2,000, the $1 Pick 3 returned over $5,400 :amazed: and the $.10 super over $2,100.
 
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Vasilevskiy

The cat will be back
Dec 30, 2008
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Barcelona
Arrogate is targeted for the World Cup, March 25 and the $10,000,000 purse that is offered. The now-retired California Chrome won this race last year.

According to bookmakers overseas, Arrogate could be a 1-to-2 wager while second choice is Mubtaahij at around 6-to-1.

Good, love when owners are not afraid of trying new things overseas.
 

MiamiScreamingEagles

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Jan 17, 2004
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Tough blow for Ian Wilkes but thankfully nothing too severe; he termed the injury as "minor." McCracken tops many a list for Derby runners. This is also why the futures bets are risky propositions. The Blue Grass is the same day as the Wood and Santa Anita Derby, April 8. Research indicates the last winner of the Blue Grass to win the Derby was Strike the Gold in 1991 and before that the Bid in 1979.

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-rac...ken-to-miss-tampa-bay-derby-with-ankle-strain

Unbeaten multiple graded stakes winner McCraken will miss the Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby (G2) March 11 after emerging from a four-furlong move Feb. 27 with a slight strain to his left front ankle.

Trainer Ian Wilkes said the son of Ghostzapper cooled out in good order Monday after covering a half mile in :48.90 at Palm Meadows Training Center—the colt's first move since capturing the Feb. 11 Sam F. Davis Stakes (G3) in track-record setting fashion at Tampa Bay Downs—and that the strain was discovered the morning of Feb. 28.

X-rays on the ankle were clean, according to Wilkes, and the plan is to point McCraken to the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (G2) at Keeneland in April for his final prep on the Road to the Kentucky Derby.
 
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MiamiScreamingEagles

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Jan 17, 2004
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March 1, 2017

Gulfstream (Florida):
  • No live racing due to the ongoing market sale. There were three two-year-old(s) purchased in excess of a million.
  • At the sales today, someone purchased a 2-year-old filly (sire: Uncle Mo; dam: Flowers Athefinish) for $1.5 million. That same individual also purchased a 2-year-old colt (sire: More Than Ready; dam: Tensas Punch) for $1.1 million. I don't recognize the name, apparently he is a relative newcomer to the purchasing scene.
  • Also at the sales, another individual purchased a 2-year-old colt (sire: Bernardini; dam: Winner) for $1.45 million.

Edit: And now more info. Chad Brown gets two high-priced purchases to mold.

Lawrence Best, a newcomer to the horse industry who buys under the OXO Equine banner, purchased the sale-topper, an Uncle Mo** filly who is a full sister to stakes-placed Mighty Mo, for $1.5 million and a More Than Ready** colt for $1.1 million.

Best, who made his first horse purchases at last year's Keeneland September yearling sale, said both 2-year-olds will be sent to Chad Brown to train.
"I like well-bred fillies and Uncle Mo is obviously a high-class horse," said Best, adding that he liked the More Than Ready colt "because I just liked him."
Best, who is involved in the medical-devices industry, said the two horses he bought were the only two in the sale he was interested in. Of the amounts paid for the pair, Best said, "you make your calls and you live or die with them."

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-rac...-strikes-twice-for-frommer-at-gulfstream-sale

Tampa Bay (Florida):
  • A 2-to-5 won the first race but backed with a 41-to-1 in second, the exacta returned $80.

Mahoning Valley (Ohio):
  • Good news for the track earlier this week in that the average purse size will increase.
  • Race 7 had nine runners representing seven states and two from Ontario.

Hawthorne (Illinois):
  • The meet opens Friday.

Turf Paradise (Arizona):
  • In race 5, an 11-year-old gelding sported a lifetime mark of 83 15-15-15. That is consistency and dedication at its finest.
  • A rare Tennessee-bred in race 7.

Meadows (Pennsylvania):
  • $2 supers returned $28,000+ and $12,000+ at the harness facility.
  • Rider Jim Pantaleano won for the 7,000th time in his career.
 
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MiamiScreamingEagles

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March 2, 2017

Gulfstream (Florida):
  • Trainer Douglas Seyler, mentioned in this thread a few days ago, won for just the third time since the start of 2016. He is now 3-for-126 in that span. Good for him.
  • In race 8, a 30-to-1 morning line, 0-for-16 lifetime, who went off 170-to-1 and 50-to-1 in his last two races, was bet down to an incredible 3-to-5 at one point just a few minutes prior to post time. He eventually was sent off at 9-to-1, had a tough start and finished last. Either a bad morning line or someone had an abundance of faith.

Aqueduct (New York):
  • Canceled due to extreme weather conditions in New York (wind apparently was an issue).

Oaklawn (Arkansas):
  • Ricardo Santana, one of the leading riders at the track, suffered a separated shoulder in a terrible spill in race 2. His 10-year-old mount was euthanized.
Santa Anita (California):
  • In the opener, a 25-to-1 chased down a 2-to-5 shot and produced a $53 winner.
 

MiamiScreamingEagles

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FOUNTAIN OF YOUTH STAKES (Grade II)

PP​
| Horse (location bred) |
Age/Sex​
|
Jockey​
|
Weight​
|
Trainer​
|
Morning Line​
1| Huracan Americo (FL) | 3/colt| Edgar S. Prado| 122| Dante Zanelli, Jr.| 50/1
2| Gunnevera (KY)| 3/colt| Javier Castellano| 122| Antonio Sano| 7/2
3| Quinientos (KY)| 3/gelding| Marcos Meneses| 116| Enrique A. Sanchez| 50/1
4| Talk Logistics (FL)| 3/colt|Joe Bravo| 116| Edward Plesa, Jr.| 20/1
5| Beasley (KY)|3/colt| Irad Ortiz, Jr.| 116| Mark A. Hennig| 6/1
6| Practical Joke (KY)| 3/colt|Jose L. Ortiz| 122| Chad C. Brown| 3/1
7| Three Rules (FL)|3/colt| Luis Saez| 120| Jose Pinchin| 12/1
8| Irish War Cry (NJ)| 3/colt|Joel Rosario| 122| H. Graham Motion| 5/2
9| Made You Look (KY)| 3/colt|John R. Velazquez| 122| Todd A. Pletcher| 10/1
10| Takaful (KY)|3/colt| Paco Lopez| 116| Kiaran P. McLaughlin| 12/1
11| Lookin for Eight (KY)|3/colt| Julien R. Leparoux| 116| Mark E. Casse| 20/1

GOTHAM STAKES (Grade III)
  • What: El Areeb tried to put a stamp on his nearly flawless record. He is on a 4-race win streak and his total record is 6 4-1-0. He is 2-for-2 on the track.
  • When: Saturday, March 4, 2017, Race 8 of 9, 4:50 p.m. ET
  • Where: Aqueduct Racetrack, New York, New York
  • Distance: 1 1/16 mile
  • Surface: Inner Track
  • Purse: $300,000
  • Runners (age, sex): Three-years-old, open
  • Preview article: http://www.brisnet.com/content/2017/03/el-areeb-iron-hot-horse-gotham/

PP​
| Horse (location bred) |
Age/Sex​
|
Jockey​
|
Weight​
|
Trainer​
|
Morning Line​
1| J Boys Echo (KY)| 3/colt| Robby Albarado| 116| Dale L. Romans| 8/1
2| Gaetano (KY)| 3/colt| Cornelio H. Velasquez| 116| Guadalupe Preciado| 50/1
3| Miggsy (KY)| 3/colt| Angel S. Arroyo| 116| Rudy R. Rodriguez| 15/1
4| El Areeb (KY)| 3/colt| Trevor McCarthy| 123| Cathal A. Lynch| 6/5
5| Glennrichment (KY)| 3/colt| Eric Cancel| 116| Rudy R. Rodriguez| 30/1
6| True Timber (KY)| 3/colt| Kendrick Carmouche| 116| Kiaran P. McLaughlin| 6/1
7| Apartfromthecrowd (FL)| 3/colt| Jorge A. Vargas, Jr.| 116| Chad C. Brown| 12/1
8| So Conflated (FL)| 3/ridgling | Mario Gutierrez| 120| Doug F. O'Neill| 8/1
9 | Cloud Computing (KY)| 3/colt| Manuel Franco| 116| Chad C. Brown| 5/1
10| Action Everyday (KY)| 3/colt| Rajiv Maragh| 116| Todd A. Pletcher| 10/1
 
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MiamiScreamingEagles

Global Moderator
Jan 17, 2004
71,034
48,003
March 3, 2017

Aqueduct (New York):
  • Cornelio Velasquez won three times, including two for Linda Rice for whom he often does his best riding.
  • In one of Cornelio Velasquez's win, he wiped out the 5 and 4 in a bowling ball start coming out of the gate but an objection was nullified. It could have been because it was at the race's start rather than in the stretch.
  • In race 2, a terrific finish with three crossing the wire inches from each other and Mike Luzzi appeared to be the recipient of a squeeze job. While the hope was an inquiry or objection, that didn't materialize. Luzzi finished third in the race and though the tight squeeze could be justified as racing... nothing as far as a second look.
  • Mike Luzzi had two rides today and finished second and third. Useful for some exotic players.
  • Antonio Gallardo won twice including what I thought was the pick of the day for Joseph Parker who has, for whatever reason(s), a strong winning percentage this meet (around 33%). The 10-to-1 morning line opened at 4-to-1 and eventually went off at 6-to-1. The runner has been with Parker for three prior races and if the first race was tossed, the 4-year-old filly progressed from third to first in her races leading to this victory.

Laurel (Maryland):
  • In his only scheduled ride of the day, Lane Luzzi delivered a $20.80 winner.
  • Julien Pimental won three of the first five races.

Tampa Bay (Florida):
  • Race 4 produced a $478.40 double, a $59.00 winner and a $2 pick 3 for $1,393.
  • In race 3, a 15-to-1 longshot, the highest price on the board, beat a 2-to-5 and 5-to-2 in the stretch.

Gulfstream (Florida):
  • Manny Jimenez, an 18-year-old 10-pound bug, won for the first time.
  • In race 5, a $.50 Pick 5 paid over $7,000.
  • Luca! Nice ride by Luca Panici as he found a gaping hole and delivered with a 9-to-1 shot in race 2. Jose Ortiz, at 1-to-5, was among the defeated.
  • Jose Lezcano won the finale, yet again on turf.
  • Luis Saez and Jose Ortiz both won twice.
  • Corey Lanerie, Joel Rosario and John Velazquez were among the riders with off days. Javier Castellano had an awful day with sixth place being his best in four starts.
  • The handle exceeded $9,900,000. This close to $10 million.

Fair Grounds (Louisiana):
  • Dreadful news for Dallas Stewart and company as his young stakes winner Saint's Fan was found with an irreparable leg injury after training earlier today. A tragic loss for the connections.

Hawthorne (Illinois):
  • The meet opened today.
  • In race 3, a 50-to-1 beat a 40-to-1 which at least figuratively exploded the scoreboard. $8.60 winner, show prices for $38.80 and $40.40, a $2 exacta for $1,618.80, a $1 tri for $5,196 and a $1 super for $31,423. The Pick 3 returned $3,668.40. The double paid $728.40. That's one way to start a meet.
  • A 9-to-1 beat a 47-to-1 in race 4 and heled a $.50 Pick 3 near $3,000.
 
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