Rumor: Rumours & Proposals | Expansion Trade Freeze zzzzz Edition

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McTedi

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Jul 16, 2008
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A veteran that can put up the points, has scored in clutch playoff games, has won cups, and know what it takes to win aka Justin Williams whom I would love to have on this team. He'll be a great fit, so I hope the Oilers target him and that he's interested in coming here as well.
Meh, Williams is taking on more salary. Chia has to preform a few minor miracles with the roster first and lockup Dre and McD. I'm not opposed to a good UFA or two but some housekeeping has to happen first and foremost. Hopefully Chia can get the right pieces to fall into place.
 

bobbythebrain

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Jul 30, 2016
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A veteran that can put up the points, has scored in clutch playoff games, has won cups, and know what it takes to win aka Justin Williams whom I would love to have on this team. He'll be a great fit, so I hope the Oilers target him and that he's interested in coming here as well.

Food for thought. Williams only scored 36 points his first year Wash. He played more minutes than last year

Love that dude but players need time to adjust to new systems. Looch is prime example of that. It's a thing

Anybody thinking JW comes here and is a 50 point player automatic...time to let reality set in

Ebs points are only substituted if we have the dman Ebs is traded for suck up 20+ points...and and a FA winger eat 30 of those points

If both players go through the common new team struggles...wash. Let's hope Drai and McD don't get hurt this year or whoa nelly

At least you know Ebs can pop up 50 in his sleep
 

McAsuno

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Jul 10, 2013
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Would $4M/ for two years get Williams signed?

Then you trade Eberle for a 4/5 D and either a 3 C or a backup goalie.

Bah, beats me. I just want him as a target, because he's an excellent one.

If Edmonton wants right winger depth this summer, there's a lot of it.

I mean, I love the potential of Jesse Puljujarvi, Anton Slepyshev and Spencer Foo (if he signs here) but at the same time, this might be our best shot at a cup we get, so I'd like something more proven to load up with.

I look at Justin Williams + Patrick Eaves as awesome additions, even Jaromir Jagr would be fun with Leon.

James Neal who just went exposed would be a nice add, he usually wrecks the Ducks.

Former Oilers David Perron + Sam Gagner would nice as compliments next to McDavid and Draisaitl respectively.

Jason Pominville is a nice veteran add who has a history of playoff scoring who might get bought out by Minny.

Alex Radulov...well, that's a dream, but only if he's on a 3 year deal max.

Lots of options though. I'll pass on Oshie because I think he'll cost 6 and in that case I'd rather just keep Eberle.

I think Eaves and the ducks have already begun or about to start contract negotiations, so he's out of the question imo. Neal would be another great add. I don't think we can fit in Radulov, considering he wants to get paid.

This team does need to continue insulating the young players with actual proper veterans that know what it takes to win with a proven record to show it. Lucic is one of them, so keep them coming. Its also pretty great that Phaneuf would like coming to play for Edmonton. Not like the past years where players avoided Edmonton like the plague.
 

Paralyzer008

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Jan 30, 2008
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Food for thought. Williams only scored 36 points his first year Wash. He played more minutes than last year

Love that dude but players need time to adjust to new systems. Looch is prime example of that. It's a thing

Anybody thinking JW comes here and is a 50 point player automatic...time to let reality set in

Ebs points are only substituted if we have the dman Ebs is traded for suck up 20+ points...and and a FA winger eat 30 of those points

If both players go through the common new team struggles...wash. Let's hope Drai and McD don't get hurt this year or whoa nelly

Williams scored 52 points in his first year in Washington and played 16:39.

This year, he had 48 points and played 15:28.
 

guymez

The Seldom Seen Kid
Mar 3, 2004
32,915
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Eberle, Jordan

2013-14: 0.812 ppg
2014-15: 0.77 ppg
2015-16: 0.68 ppg
2016-17: 0.62 ppg

2016-17 playoffs: 0.15 ppg

The last two seasons are bolded because his PPG continues to drop despite having Connor McDavid, the best player the Oilers have had in probably 30 years here and the Art Ross Trophy winner in 16-17 ... and his numbers ... still ... find ... a ... way ... to ... drop.

It's borderline remarkable actually. He's like the hockey version of Benjamin Button, but instead of aging backwards his production inexplicably drops the better talent you put around him.

Come on...really. :help:
You honestly see this as a regression? So in your mind you see Eberle as a legit .75 - .8 ppg player who has since regressed before he even hit his prime?

Is this the same reductionist simplistic approach you apply to all to your statistical analysis?
 

Soundwave

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Mar 1, 2007
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Come on...really. :help:
You honestly see this as a regression? So in your mind you see Eberle as a legit .8 ppg player who has since regressed?

Is this the same reductionist simplistic approach you apply to all to your statistical analysis?

That isn't regression? What exactly would you call it? "Getting better"?

The fact that his PPG continues to drop with even more time with McDavid is bordering on incredible.

It's as if his downward scoring trend looked at Connor McDavid and said "**** you, I don't care if you want to go for a scoring title and are healthy for 82 games Eerie boy, I'm still going to find a way to score even less this year".

That's some dogged determination in scoring drop age, I wish the other aspects of his game were that persistent. :laugh:

And then there's playoffs where he had the second lowest PPG for a foward on the entire team, only Beniot Pouliot was lower. Adam Larsson scored more goals in a 2 minute span that he did in 13 full games.

But yeah, no regression. Sure. It's actually somewhat impressive to degree to which he's found new levels of suck. We have our best team in 30 years, with the best player, and he is given free reign on the RW and he somehow manages to have the worst year of his career, worse than the days of Sam Gagner at center and Corey Potter on the blue line.
 
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McTedi

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Come on...really. :help:
You honestly see this as a regression? So in your mind you see Eberle as a legit .75 - .8 ppg player who has since regressed before he even hit his prime?

Is this the same reductionist simplistic approach you apply to all to your statistical analysis?
Would you honestly argue that he hasn't regressed or perhaps even lost a step? Perhaps he has been injured but he hasn't looked like the player he was for awhile now.
 

bobbythebrain

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Jul 30, 2016
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Williams scored 52 points in his first year in Washington and played 16:39.

This year, he had 48 points and played 15:28.

Correct!! I eat crow. Misread the stat line

Williams did score 52

I was off on the tangent that many players do infact struggle their first year on new teams and systems. Looch and Sekera both did. It is a common thing. Okposo, Ladd, Eriksson come to mind

Williams would be a good add. That is a long shot tho
 

guymez

The Seldom Seen Kid
Mar 3, 2004
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That isn't regression? What exactly would you call it? "Getting better"?

The fact that his PPG continues to drop with even more time with McDavid is bordering on incredible.

It's as if his downward scoring trend looked at Connor McDavid and said "**** you, I don't care if you want to go for a scoring title and are healthy for 82 games, I'm still going to find a way to score even less this year".

That's some dogged determination in scoring drop age, I wish the other aspects of his game were that persistent. :laugh:

Look...if thats how you are going to approach stats then nothing I am going to say is going to convince you otherwise. No details or supporting statistics (TOI, usage, sh% et al) are going to mean anything to you.

You have convinced yourself that Eberle is a diminishing asset and you have posted well over a hundred times in this thread to try and convince everybody else.

Continue on. No hard feelings but I dont have the time or the energy to endlessly go in circles with you on this.
 

Soundwave

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Mar 1, 2007
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Look...if thats how you are going to approach stats then nothing I am going to say is going to convince you otherwise. No details or supporting statistics (TOI, usage, sh% et al) are going to mean anything to you.

You have convinced yourself that Eberle is a diminishing asset and you have posted well over a hundred times in this thread to try and convince everybody else.

Continue on. No hard feelings but I dont have the time or the energy to endlessly go in circles with you on this.

You really think is a better producer than he was 3-4 years ago? Do you *seriously* believe that because he many of the most ardent Eberle backers on this board would say that's simply just false.

His TOI, usage, etc. is going to be reduced ... because he's being outplayed by other players. That's not terribly shocking.

What more can we do for this guy? We have the 1st/2nd best hockey player in the world and he plays center for Ebs. Eberle has had first dibs on playing with McDavid for the last two years ... we only put Leon there as a 2nd/3rd resort because he is not a natural RW.

What are we not doing correctly here? We had a bad D before. OK so now we have a good D-corps. We have other players to shield him from hard match ups. Before it was "well we don't have any physical players to help Eberle and RNH, if only we had a big player like Lucic". Well now we have Lucic and Kassian and Maroon. It's not the franchise's fault, at some point it's fair to put the blame on the player.

PPG is not some exotic stat either. You're either producing per game or you're not. And Eberle has declined the better the team has gotten (somehow).
 
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guymez

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Mar 3, 2004
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Would you honestly argue that he hasn't regressed or perhaps even lost a step? Perhaps he has been injured but he hasn't looked like the player he was for awhile now.

Thats a much more reasonable assessment. There are a lot of factors that come to play in Eberles game the last few years.
Injuries have been an issue and, as it so often happens, that affects confidence, Add in usage and TOI and other factors and we end up with the player we saw last year.

The question in my mind....does the player have the ability to bounce back and be a .7 ppg player? At 27 years old I think he does and i think that he will next season. How much are .7 ppg players making in the NHL these days? My guess is that it is very close to $6M per season.
So with that in mind Chiarelli would be very foolish to try and dump Eberle just to get rid of the player and his contract.
The cap situation isnt an issue and Eberle actually has value despite what some posters want to believe.
 

McTedi

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Jul 16, 2008
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Edmonton
Thats a much more reasonable assessment. There are a lot of factors that come to play in Eberles game the last few years.
Injuries have been an issue and, as it so often happens, that affects confidence, Add in usage and TOI and other factors and we end up with the player we saw last year.

The question in my mind....does the player have the ability to bounce back and be a .7 ppg player? At 27 years old I think he does and i think that he will next season. How much are .7 ppg players making in the NHL these days? My guess is that it is very close to $6M per season.
So with that in mind Chiarelli would be very foolish to try and dump Eberle just to get rid of the player and his contract.
The cap situation isnt an issue and Eberle actually has value despite what some posters want to believe.
Agreed, I would hate to see all of this end with Ebs being cast out for nothing especially considering having a weak right side.
 

McAsuno

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Jul 10, 2013
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Thats a much more reasonable assessment. There are a lot of factors that come to play in Eberles game the last few years.
Injuries have been an issue and, as it so often happens, that affects confidence, Add in usage and TOI and other factors and we end up with the player we saw last year.

The question in my mind....does the player have the ability to bounce back and be a .7 ppg player? At 27 years old I think he does and i think that he will next season. How much are .7 ppg players making in the NHL these days? My guess is that it is very close to $6M per season.
So with that in mind Chiarelli would be very foolish to try and dump Eberle just to get rid of the player and his contract.
The cap situation isnt an issue and Eberle actually has value despite what some posters want to believe.

I would say the shooting coach he hired last summer, new stick, and confidence ruined him this season. Confidence will always be a major point for any player in the league. Schultz sucked ass here, and his confidence went down the drain. Luckily for him, being in Pittsburgh and getting help from Gonchar rejuvenated his confidence back up.

I personally still have no issues with Eberle being moved, but it has to be the right deal. If not, he's welcomed to stay and I sure hope he manages to bounce back. We're not trading from a position of weakness either, so if GM's like Garth Snow think they can try to fleece us again, they can take a hike.
 

Soundwave

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Mar 1, 2007
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The bottom line is with McDavid and Draisaitl we can only have 3-4 other players with $5.5+ million salaries.

That's how it is for Chicago, Pittbsurgh, LA, any one of those good teams with top end talent and it will be the same for Toronto.

We have Lucic and Sekera locked up. So that's basically 2/3 "big money" slots, already taken.

One of two of RNH or Eberle are gone here and the return has to be less salary coming back and unless a team is stupid that generally means a less experienced, less established player. Much less actually. And really honestly probably both are going to have to go if Puljujarvi pans out because he will need to get paid at some point and then you have Talbot's deal coming up too.

This whole thing of "we can have 6 or 7 $6 million dollar contracts .... wheeeeeee!" was fun but it's basically coming to a close now. Our three years from Golden Ticket Day are rapidly coming to a close and Draisaitl has over produced expectations and will want to be paid as such. We are going to have to choose a core group and live and die with that group.

When it comes to cap management we have been used to living like a college slob with zero responsibilities playing video games until 3 AM and eating pizza all day, it's time to now grow up and take on real responsibilities.
 
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guymez

The Seldom Seen Kid
Mar 3, 2004
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You really think is a better producer than he was 3-4 years ago? Do you *seriously* believe that because he many of the most ardent Eberle backers on this board would say that's simply just false.

His TOI, usage, etc. is going to be reduced ... because he's being outplayed by other players. That's not terribly shocking.

What more can we do for this guy? We have the 1st/2nd best hockey player in the world and he plays center for Ebs. Eberle has had first dibs on playing with McDavid for the last two years ... we only put Leon there as a 2nd/3rd resort because he is not a natural RW.

What are we not doing correctly here? We had a bad D before. OK so now we have a good D-corps. We have other players to shield him from hard match ups. Before it was "well we don't have any physical players to help Eberle and RNH, if only we had a big player like Lucic". Well now we have Lucic and Kassian and Maroon. It's not the franchise's fault, at some point it's fair to put the blame on the player.

As I just posted I think that he is a .7 ppg player and thats what he is likely to achieve the next few seasons.
I explained my reasoning above and just to add to that....I think that Eberle has been clearly challenged this off season by the coach and GM. Like him or not Eberle is a professional and he has pride.
I think that matters in terms of how he approaches next season and I think it will translate itself into a strong performance.

I have no attachment to this player. In that sense I dont care if he stays or goes as long as it benefits the team. I am just explaining how I see things unfolding moving forward based on the information at hand.
 

McVirginOil

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Jun 30, 2014
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Eberle is not regressing at all actually:

His points/60 minutes played (which is infinitely better at evaluating a player and accounting for their TOI than PPG) after his career lucky year

12-13: 2.2 p/60

13-14 2.0 p/60

14-15 1.9 p/60

15-16 2.1 p/60

16-17 1.9 p/60

So no, he's not regressing in points even after an abysmal shooting percentage year lmao
 

McTedi

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Jul 16, 2008
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Edmonton
Trap team.. as if we don't see that boring crap enough from the annoying Coyotes zzzz..
I imagine their forward group will primarily consist of 3rd liners and hopefuls. They will be hard pressed to compete on the rush, better off jamming up the middle and countering. I have no doubt they will have the ability to win a few with the right makeup but a huge task for their GM.
 

Burnt Biscuits

Registered User
May 2, 2010
9,164
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Eberle, Jordan

2013-14: 0.812 ppg
2014-15: 0.77 ppg
2015-16: 0.68 ppg
2016-17: 0.62 ppg

2016-17 playoffs: 0.15 ppg

The last two seasons are bolded because his PPG continues to drop despite having Connor McDavid, the best player the Oilers have had in probably 30 years here and the Art Ross Trophy winner in 16-17 ... and his numbers ... still ... find ... a ... way ... to ... drop.

It's borderline remarkable actually. He's like the hockey version of Benjamin Button, but instead of aging backwards his production inexplicably drops the better talent you put around him.

If you recall in the 2015/16 season he started the year with a shoulder injury, in his first 13 games back he looked off and got 3 points, it seemed fairly clear to most he returned too early from injury. In the remaining 56 games that season he got 44 points, if you remove those first 13 games out his points per game is 0.786, right in line with his usual production (despite less ice-time on average).
 

McAsuno

Registered User
Jul 10, 2013
26,504
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Edmonton
I imagine their forward group will primarily consist of 3rd liners and hopefuls. They will be hard pressed to compete on the rush, better off jamming up the middle and countering. I have no doubt they will have the ability to win a few with the right makeup but a huge task for their GM.

Yeah, I agree. I personally just can't stand neutral zone trap hockey. Its just dreadfully boring to watch as a fan.
 

guymez

The Seldom Seen Kid
Mar 3, 2004
32,915
12,537
Agreed, I would hate to see all of this end with Ebs being cast out for nothing especially considering having a weak right side.

Exactly. There are more reasons not to trade him especially if the return is weak.

I would say the shooting coach he hired last summer, new stick, and confidence ruined him this season. Confidence will always be a major point for any player in the league. Schultz sucked ass here, and his confidence went down the drain. Luckily for him, being in Pittsburgh and getting help from Gonchar rejuvenated his confidence back up.

I forgot all about the shooting coach issue. Just another layer on top of all the other layers. That further supports the position that he has more to give.

I personally still have no issues with Eberle being moved, but it has to be the right deal. If not, he's welcomed to stay and I sure hope he manages to bounce back. We're not trading from a position of weakness either, so if GM's like Garth Snow think they can try to fleece us again, they can take a hike.

I completely agree with this. Chiarelli is operating from a position of strength here...he would be a fool not to utilize that.
 

McTedi

Registered User
Jul 16, 2008
12,553
5,827
Edmonton
Eberle is not regressing at all actually:

His points/60 minutes played (which is infinitely better at evaluating a player and accounting for their TOI than PPG) after his career lucky year

12-13: 2.2 p/60

13-14 2.0 p/60

14-15 1.9 p/60

15-16 2.1 p/60

16-17 1.9 p/60

So no, he's not regressing in points even after an abysmal shooting percentage year lmao
That entire 2nd line looked like ******* this year, I don't need all of the fancy stats to tell me otherwise. If you think he played well this year then who am I to tell you different.
 

Soundwave

Registered User
Mar 1, 2007
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To be honest even that Lucic deal ... I hate to say it but I don't think it will be a good one in 1-2 years we are going to grow to dislike it.
 
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