Discussion in 'Philadelphia Flyers' started by GKJ, Jun 22, 2019.
“Ye...” is correct Russian transliteration
Watched a game and a half to get a vibe. Reminds me a bit of a more compact Sushko. He doesn't look or play as slight as his listing though (read: t h i c c). Of course his numbers are as good as any of Sushko's post-draft seasons, despite Serdyuk being a QMJHL rookie. Not quite as physically toolsy though, but he's got developmental years ahead.
I can recite you the team leading points stat line (usage definitely didn't feel that high though) and summer birthday, but nothing really stands out skill-wise, though he's a competent, versatile forward across the board at that level. Average+ skater, good shot, moves the puck well enough, solid hockey sense, positionally sound. I personally didn't see any compete/intensity issues (watched playoff games). I'd give him the Hextall "future bottom 6" label too, maybe a good AHLer; there's nothing crazy here projection-wise. But an interesting package for a 6th. Beats Gavin Hain.
Good value pick. High floor guy who could fill a bottom-6 roster spot down the road. Not flashy at all but don't forget we are talking rd 6.
Looks like he was a standout for Russia as a u17 - #18 3g and 1a
Had a really tough year with injuries... but found this interesting:
I'm enjoying your recent draft history research. Good stuff, sir.
Thanks! Just CHL forwards for now... might do USHL next and see if same "brackets" etc apply as similar level leagues really. Then start on Euro leagues, though that is trickier.
Some things that really, really stand out and make no sense in terms of why NHL teams still do the same things they do, when have years of data that shows they are making low % plays, and ignoring some guys until later rounds who really have quite high chances of success. There are some every draft...
it should be like it ever was.... or in other words old man doing old man things
Serdyuk is also a UFA tomorrow (6-1-21) if the Flyers do not sign.
There's a reason late round picks are late round picks, it's easy to cherry pick the few successes and forget all the failures.
Which is why I'm not bothered by trading picks outside the first round for actual NHL players.
The odds of making the NHL for an extended period get really low very quickly:
200 games: 31-60: 27.6%, 61-90: 22.0%, 91-120: 13.8%, >120: 10.4%
400 games: 31-60, 19.1%, 61-90: 15.8%, 91-120: 8.2%, >120: 6.8%
400 games isn't that high of a threshold, it's basically 3 seasons as a 3rd/4th liner and 3-4 seasons bouncing around on the edge of rosters.
So from 22-24 bouncing around, 3 seasons starting from 25-27, then a couple years as veteran depth at 28-29.
N Schultz 1069
200 game players are basically replacement level:
R White 313 games
Lehtera 307 games
VdV 278 games
Manning 255 games
Hagg 236 and counting is almost a lock to get to 400 (L Schenn at 797)
Cousins 376 and counting
Never got his mojo back after the core injury. Pretty solid prospect prior to that.
Between him and Roddy Ross, that’s what they get for not bring Nick Luukko picks.
No reason to waste contracts on Serdyuk or Ross.
They better sign him or we'll be down to just one Egor!
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