Rocket Richard Trophy Race Thread

Discussion in 'National Hockey League Talk' started by GlitchMarner, Jan 3, 2019.

  1. GlitchMarner

    GlitchMarner Formerly 29GoalHoglund

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    1. Ovechkin: 36 goals (49 GP)
    2. Skinner: 30 goals (48 GP)
    2. Tavares: 30 goals (48 GP)
    2. Point: 30 goals (49 GP)
    5. Four players have 29 goals.
     
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  2. Bladerunner

    Bladerunner Registered User

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    Have a hard time seeing Skinner keep it up, although this just might be his season. You'd think JT would be the biggest threat among those w/30. The quartet w/29 not only has McD but two other young studs plus Kane.

    Ovi with 36G in 49GP. Say he makes 80GP (misses 1 due to ASG and another near end of season/ minor injury), he's on a pace for a bit under 59 goals :bow: If he finishes close to that his chances for an 8th RR look good :popcorn:
     
  3. Sam Spade

    Sam Spade HFBoards Sponsor Sponsor

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    Uh......... How can you be an Ovechkin fan and not understand exactly how consistent he has been for the vast majority of his career?
     
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  4. Bladerunner

    Bladerunner Registered User

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    He must be off the score sheet less than his Rocket competitors given he has a 6G lead :oops:
    Be interesting to run some basic variation stats - standard deviation and a few other more robust measures of variation - among the top 10-20 goal scorers.

    I doubt Ovi would be at the top of inconsistency. I'd guess middle of the pack. Laine, who I like, might be the inconsistent leader among the top snipers. That 5 spot and all those zeros will jack up most any measure of variation :snide:
     
  5. chokei

    chokei #59

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    Over Ovechkins career only around 10 % of his goal totals have come from hattricks so far. This year he's going to end up with a significantly higher hattrick contribution (at 25 % so far). In that sense yes, you could argue he has become more of a "bunch scorer" than earlier in his career.

    He still seems to score more regularly than other players it seems. And, most importantly, he keeps scoring more than others. I doubt anyone is going to score 7 goals more than Ovechkin in the 2nd half of the season.
     
  6. TheGuiminator

    TheGuiminator Registered User

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    Ovy will hit 50 relatively easy
     
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  7. gtrower

    gtrower Registered User

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    I think it's more likely that Ovi wins the Rocket by 5+ goals than he loses it.
     
    Last edited: Jan 23, 2019
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  8. JasonRoseEh

    JasonRoseEh Registered User

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    Ovechkin 36 goals and just went through a massive slump, it isn't even fair.
     
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  9. JasonRoseEh

    JasonRoseEh Registered User

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    I'd say the inconsistency has more to do with the Caps than Ovechkin himself, they've been awful for over 10 games now and the PP has been worse for longer.
     
  10. Thenameless

    Thenameless Registered User

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    Yeah, I'm starting to look pretty stupid after last night.
     
  11. DapperCam

    DapperCam Registered User

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    I could see Skinner staying near the top of the rankings with it being a contract year, and Eichel feeding him. Looks like Ovechkin is pulling away though. Goat goal scorer.
     
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  12. BallardEra

    BallardEra Leafs&Caps Since 1982™

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    #37 for Ovechkin.
     
  13. 135ace

    135ace Registered User

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    Getting back on pace for 60 goals. Really hope he has it in him.
     
  14. BallardEra

    BallardEra Leafs&Caps Since 1982™

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    60 will be very tough to hit IMO. I can see 54-55.
     
  15. drs151

    drs151 Registered User

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    IMO it’s very tough to predict how many goals ovy can hit. When he was 25 people thought he would never score 50 again so why not score 60 at 33. Man that would be insane
     
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  16. BallardEra

    BallardEra Leafs&Caps Since 1982™

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    Laine still at 25 after 50 games.

    He will need to go on a 64 goal pace from here on out in order to hit 50 goals.
     
  17. Plural

    Plural Registered User

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    He's in a massive slump. That said, I honestly would not be shocked if he scores 30 or 50. You just don't know what you'll get from him. 18 goals a month or 1. :laugh:
     
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  18. gtrower

    gtrower Registered User

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    I expected Skinner to fall off over the last month or two but he just keeps chugging along.
     
  19. varank

    varank Registered User

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    1 and 18 are super extremes for any goal scorer
     
  20. Regal

    Regal Registered User

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    Yea, I don't see this inconsistency either. I suppose you could argue that his lead is mainly due to multigoal games, but that doesn't make him any less consistent than the other players really. Just even looking at games with a goal, Ovi has 25 in 50 games this year. Skinner has 24 in 49, Tavares 23 in 49, Point has 23 in 49, Gaudreau has 22 in 51, McDavid has 24 in 49, Kane has 19 in 50, and Landeskog has 23 in 50. His longest drought is a bit longer than some others, but it was only 6 games (conpared to 5 for Tavares, 4 for Skinner, and 7 for Point). Seems like pretty average consistency among the top scorers this year, he's just also put up more hattricks.

    Compare that to Laine, who only has goals in 15 of 50 games, and has had 4 goalless streaks of 5+ games
     
  21. Daz28

    Daz28 Registered User

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    So I'm guessing Ovechkin is more consistent, and Skinner is expected to fall off. Ok, let's see which happens.
     
  22. Bouboumaster

    Bouboumaster Registered User

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    Ovechkin is a ****ing beast!
     
  23. Midnight Judges

    Midnight Judges Registered User Sponsor

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    Dude you've been providing some pretty good data lately.
     
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  24. BallardEra

    BallardEra Leafs&Caps Since 1982™

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    Ovechkin: 37 goals (50 GP)
    P.Kane: 31 goals (51 GP)
    Skinner: 31 goals (51 GP)
    Tavares: 30 goals (50 GP)
    McDavid: 30 goals (50 GP)
    Point: 30 goals (51 GP)
    Pastrnak: 30 goals (51 GP)
     
    Last edited: Feb 2, 2019
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  25. SpinningEdge

    SpinningEdge Registered User

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    Ovechkin will won the race by 10 goals
     

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