After doing research on behindthenet.ca i have found how points per 60 mins relates to a players on-ice shooting percentage. Basically a player can equate 0.13 p/60 to 1% shooting percentage. So for every percent a player rises in on-ice sh% his p/60 totals should rise 0.13. If this is accurate it can find players base values or base productivity and in predictions
It makes sense that if your team is scoring on a higher percentage of their shots, that your points/60 will increase - it's not surprising to see those two things are correlated. For what it's worth, over 2013-2014, among all forwards to play 750+ minutes, I get R² = 0.7019, so about 70% of a players' point total was explained by his on-ice sh%. Because that R² isn't equal to 1, players will fall above or below that mark.
For example, in 2013-2014...
Jay McClement and Brad Richards both had an on-ice sh% of 6.34%, and yet Brad Richards' pts/60 was
~3x bigger than McClements - 0.55 to 1.57.
Brad Richards produced the same pts/60 as Mason Raymond (1.57), but there was a 1.67% difference in their on-ice sh% (6.34 to 8.01).
The year before that, Mason Raymond scored at an almost identical rate (1.53 to 1.57), yet his on-ice sh% was 1.5% higher (9.54 to 8.01).
There are no "base production rates" based on sh%, and there's no predictive value in what you're trying to measure.
