ZeroPucksGiven
Registered User
- Feb 28, 2017
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There's also been credible reports of people misreporting COD and/or not carrying out tests in order to make the casualty numbers seem smaller, not just in America or China, but throughout Europe as well. I'd suspect that we don't have enough data right now to say with any sort of accuracy if the initial forecasts are overreactions, and that's without getting into the fact that it's a bit irresponsible to do so anyhow.
That's the struggle with this thing: the unpredictability
We have so much missing data: the true amount of carriers, the amount of those with symptoms, the amount who are not carriers nor infected.
So we can't with any degree of accuracy predict the spread rate. That's why the experts are like "well to be safe we better stay away from others".
It's like trying to solve a math problem without the associated formulas