I assume these are all at even strength? Otherwise they are severely flawed considering Kaprizov gets wayyy more PP time. Very impressive though that Kaprizov has a significant skating and ice time advantage though and JRob still keeps these pretty close
This stat is also interesting:
I believe that it does include all minutes. I think that I did address the PP difference in a couple of key ways. The first being that Kaprizov himself is quite literally responsible for 44 PIM drawn (or almost 1 minute per game) which almost entirely explains the differences in PP time between him and Robertson. If Robertson was as dangerous as Kaprizov with the puck and forced teams to commit fouls to stop him... he’d have thre same number of PP opportunities. Kaprizov is creating that difference.
Second, yes it’s important to isolate 5 on 5 production for a variety of reasons. But that’s ridiculous to say we have to completely discount PP production like it’s not a thing and any player produces at the same rate on the PP. It also has little to do with the line mate conversation. In fact, it hurts your argument. Including PP time, Kaprizov’s teammates produce less high quality scoring chances than Robertson (so even weighting the higher quality play time that Kaprizov has)
Third, the tweet you posted is really more so a conversation about how good the Stars 1st line has been. How many minutes does Robertson have without them this season? Stars fans have talked about in this thread the lack of quality NHL talent on their other lines. If you stack one line and have 3 horrible ones... yes the differential will be a lot.
That’s not to say that Robertson hasn’t unlocked that line and isn’t responsible for a lot of that... but it’s not quite the dunk you think that it is.
The Wild get a lot of scoring from the Ek, Greenway, Foligno line and from Fiala on different lines. It’s not surprising that the difference between Kaprizov one man armying his line and spreading out talent between the other lines doesn’t produce as big of a differential.
Again, clearly Robertson has a big impact and that line is awesome. Robertson is a reason why that line is awesome, but he doesn’t produce a lot of grade A scoring chances for himself compared to other elite wingers and actually produces the least high quality scoring chances out of the 3. It’s clear that he’s really good at setting up his teammates rather than someone who is actually taking the puck into those areas himself and scoring—which is fine. Again, this is not saying he’s bad just comparing his production and digging into his “numbers” and what they mean versus Kaprizov.
Kaprizov has more high quality scoring chances himself than his 2 line mates combined. Robertson’s linemates basically double him combined. None of this says anything bad about Robertson and it’s true he’s probably to some degree responsible for that production of his linemates or helping unlock it but there’s just a difference to what the two players have done this season.
Kaprizov drags a line kicking and screaming into relevance by dominating the game. Robertson has been the 3rd most dominant scoring chance producing player on a really good line.
It’s not really that surprising to see that stats that close despite advantages in ice time. In general, those metrics aren’t close we’re talking about multiple tier of player differences. However, when a player plays on a line that produces that many high danger scoring chances... the numbers are going to be close. Kaprizov has to do it himself where Robinson can play with two players who are also huge difference makers in a relative sense.