Is a Stanley Cup required in order for you to consider the "rebuild" a success?
I know a lot people are black and white about things.. you either win or you don't...but some look at the totality of the situation.
How is it for you.... Cup or go home?
My answer at the end...
Depends on what the question is.
Will I be personally satisfied? Of course not. It's not successful if judged solely from the perspective of whether it delivered what I most wanted.
But put it this way: Let's say the result of our rebuild was a perennial contender who went deep in the playoffs regularly but could never seal the deal for a variety of somewhat sympathetic reasons - run into the hottest goalie of the year in the finals, crushed by injuries, etc.
And let's imagine that after that run was over we fell out of the playoffs for a couple years and we had to decide how to rebuild them team. Would I consider what we did "successful" enough to repeat the process, or would I advocate constantly trying to get into the playoffs? Of course I would say our rebuild was a successful enough example. So if the question is did we, overall, have a successful tactic in rebuilding the way we did, the answer might be emphatically yes.
Well put.
There is only 1 measure of true success.
A perennial contender might save jobs but it doesn't mean we've accomplished the goal.... There would still be work to be done.
I contend a rebuild isn't complete until you win a championship
The goal in Pro Hockey is to win the Championship.
If you have a solid plan, and you build a playoff team and they fall short of a goal it's clear that you need to continue building.
The variable can be planned for. If injury is the reason you failed you have to address depth. If overall talent is the issue you need to tweak your top end.
If you fail to win there is always a modification to be made.
And if 15 years Murray leaves buffalo with 11 playoff seasons, 4-5 deep runs, a presidents trophy, and no championships he will leave having failed.
Because there is only one goal that anyone cares about.
Thats simply not true. An injury to a core player in the playoffs in this cap era pretty much seals a teams fate. The top teams are so close in talent that if a Toews, Kane, Koiptar, Doughty etc goes down there is no way they can ice enough depth to overcome that.
To pretend that all aspects of winning a Cup are within the control of the GM is being a tad naive. Posters hate to read it but a certain degree of luck is involved in winning Cup, particularly with injuries to your team or an opponent. Its why Crosby's Pens have a Cup and the Wings didn't win 2 in a row.
I agree with joshjull, and disagree with Karate Johnson that winning a Cup can be formulaicly planned for, with all contingencies identified and addressed in advance. In the 23-man roster, 30-team, salary cap era, one can no loger build teams like the 1970s Canadiens, and 1980s Islanders and Oilers where a single club puts 4, 5, or 6 players combined on the NHL's 1st and 2nd-team all-stars.
One can't say with sincerity that the best team in the NHL has won the Cup each and every year since (you pick your year). One could say certain seasons have had teams besides the Cup winner who were equally capable of winning the Cup, but did not.
Well said.
A successful rebuild and winning a Cup could be two very different phases.
The rebuild could get us 90% of the way there....it'd then be the tweaking that needs to be done which could be considered a separate phase.
I disagree with separating the phases. We are rebuilding with the
goal of winning the Cup (which I agree with Karate Johnston). We are not rebuilding with the goal of completing a rebuild which allows us to compete for a Cup. Not only is it unneccessary to decouple the two, it dilutes focus by doing so.
I'm sure the 90% value was subjectively chosen, but it is an appropriate delineator for the so-called tweaking threshhold. e.g., in a 16-team Eastern conference, 50% success = making playoffs (8/16). 75% success is making second round (4/16). 88% chance is making ECF (2/16). Beyond that, tweak what you wish and hope you get lucky.
I don't know how anyone can realistically call winning a Cup to be a prerequisite for calling a rebuild successful.
I agree with the other posters who talk about a extended success in terms of seeding/playoffs/winning playoff rounds. To, the purpose of the type of rebuild the Sabres are in is to return to that level of competitiveness. Cup or bust is a slogan, but it's not a legitimate operating plan.
EDIT: If the result of this current process is that the Sabres end up as a new version of the current Sharks, or of the Capitals, that will not be a failure of the rebuilding process. IMO, that will signal it's success. Not winning a championship under those circumstances would be a different failure.
I don't view the Caps the same way as the Sharks. Re: BUF potential rebuild performance similar to Sharks, it would either be failure to "tweak" / "tweak correctly" to get that last 10% to the goal, or repetitive bad luck. (We can debate which failure befell SJ each post-season.)
I don't recall if it was Scotty Bowman who said this but it sounds like him:
"You can build a team to get to the conference finals; everything else is luck."
Actually, I've said that in a few threads over the years. joshjull has, too.
A perrenial Conf. finalist caliber team (building blocks = individual and collective skills, team system, roster flexibility, roster depth, pipeline replacement depth, in-game coaching, conditioning, need-based trade deadline improvements) should probabilistically yield a couple Cup Finals, and with luck, a Cup.
The (only) goal is the Cup.
The only way to reach that goal is to be the ECF winner.
The rebuild is successfull if/when BUF routinely makes the ECF. From there, probability suggests they'll make a couple Finals. With luck as well, they'll win the Cup. To believe a Cup can be won without it (luck), in this era of the game, is, IMO, naieve.