Probability Rehash

Discussion in 'NHL Draft - Prospects' started by Patman, Jul 22, 2005.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
View Users: View Users
  1. Patman

    Patman Registered User

    Joined:
    Feb 23, 2004
    Messages:
    330
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Occupation:
    Ph.D. Student--Statistics
    Home Page:
    I've posted this before but not as its own thread.

    These are the simulated probabilities for the results of the draft lottery based on the # of balls a team has. Of course as the teams get announced the odds would change but they'll probably announce it faster then anybody could make a new simulation/calculation within a reasonable tolerance.

    Code:
    [font=fixedsys]
    3 BALLS
    
    Pk#1	6.25%
    Pk#2	6.09%
    Pk#3	5.93%
    Pk#4	5.77%
    Pk#5	5.60%
    Pk#6	5.43%
    Pk#7	5.25%
    Pk#8	5.07%
    Pk#9	4.88%
    Pk#10	4.68%
    Pk#11	4.48%
    Pk#12	4.28%
    Pk#13	4.06%
    Pk#14	3.84%
    Pk#15	3.62%
    Pk#16	3.39%
    Pk#17	3.15%
    Pk#18	2.91%
    Pk#19	2.66%
    Pk#20	2.40%
    Pk#21	2.14%
    Pk#22	1.88%
    Pk#23	1.62%
    Pk#24	1.36%
    Pk#25	1.10%
    Pk#26	0.85%
    Pk#27	0.61%
    Pk#28	0.40%
    Pk#29	0.22%
    Pk#30	0.08%
    
    
    2 BALLS
    
    Pk#1	4.17%
    Pk#2	4.16%
    Pk#3	4.15%
    Pk#4	4.14%
    Pk#5	4.13%
    Pk#6	4.11%
    Pk#7	4.10%
    Pk#8	4.08%
    Pk#9	4.05%
    Pk#10	4.03%
    Pk#11	3.99%
    Pk#12	3.96%
    Pk#13	3.91%
    Pk#14	3.86%
    Pk#15	3.81%
    Pk#16	3.74%
    Pk#17	3.67%
    Pk#18	3.58%
    Pk#19	3.48%
    Pk#20	3.36%
    Pk#21	3.23%
    Pk#22	3.08%
    Pk#23	2.90%
    Pk#24	2.69%
    Pk#25	2.46%
    Pk#26	2.18%
    Pk#27	1.86%
    Pk#28	1.49%
    Pk#29	1.06%
    Pk#30	0.57%
    
    1 BALL
    
    Pk#1	2.08%
    Pk#2	2.13%
    Pk#3	2.17%
    Pk#4	2.22%
    Pk#5	2.27%
    Pk#6	2.32%
    Pk#7	2.38%
    Pk#8	2.44%
    Pk#9	2.50%
    Pk#10	2.56%
    Pk#11	2.63%
    Pk#12	2.71%
    Pk#13	2.79%
    Pk#14	2.88%
    Pk#15	2.97%
    Pk#16	3.07%
    Pk#17	3.17%
    Pk#18	3.29%
    Pk#19	3.41%
    Pk#20	3.55%
    Pk#21	3.69%
    Pk#22	3.86%
    Pk#23	4.03%
    Pk#24	4.23%
    Pk#25	4.44%
    Pk#26	4.67%
    Pk#27	4.93%
    Pk#28	5.22%
    Pk#29	5.53%
    Pk#30	5.87%[/font]
     
  2. Thanks, and good work man :clap:
     
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.

Share This Page

monitoring_string = "358c248ada348a047a4b9bb27a146148"