Probability Rehash

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Patman

Registered User
Feb 23, 2004
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www.stat.uconn.edu
I've posted this before but not as its own thread.

These are the simulated probabilities for the results of the draft lottery based on the # of balls a team has. Of course as the teams get announced the odds would change but they'll probably announce it faster then anybody could make a new simulation/calculation within a reasonable tolerance.

Code:
[font=fixedsys]
3 BALLS

Pk#1	6.25%
Pk#2	6.09%
Pk#3	5.93%
Pk#4	5.77%
Pk#5	5.60%
Pk#6	5.43%
Pk#7	5.25%
Pk#8	5.07%
Pk#9	4.88%
Pk#10	4.68%
Pk#11	4.48%
Pk#12	4.28%
Pk#13	4.06%
Pk#14	3.84%
Pk#15	3.62%
Pk#16	3.39%
Pk#17	3.15%
Pk#18	2.91%
Pk#19	2.66%
Pk#20	2.40%
Pk#21	2.14%
Pk#22	1.88%
Pk#23	1.62%
Pk#24	1.36%
Pk#25	1.10%
Pk#26	0.85%
Pk#27	0.61%
Pk#28	0.40%
Pk#29	0.22%
Pk#30	0.08%


2 BALLS

Pk#1	4.17%
Pk#2	4.16%
Pk#3	4.15%
Pk#4	4.14%
Pk#5	4.13%
Pk#6	4.11%
Pk#7	4.10%
Pk#8	4.08%
Pk#9	4.05%
Pk#10	4.03%
Pk#11	3.99%
Pk#12	3.96%
Pk#13	3.91%
Pk#14	3.86%
Pk#15	3.81%
Pk#16	3.74%
Pk#17	3.67%
Pk#18	3.58%
Pk#19	3.48%
Pk#20	3.36%
Pk#21	3.23%
Pk#22	3.08%
Pk#23	2.90%
Pk#24	2.69%
Pk#25	2.46%
Pk#26	2.18%
Pk#27	1.86%
Pk#28	1.49%
Pk#29	1.06%
Pk#30	0.57%

1 BALL

Pk#1	2.08%
Pk#2	2.13%
Pk#3	2.17%
Pk#4	2.22%
Pk#5	2.27%
Pk#6	2.32%
Pk#7	2.38%
Pk#8	2.44%
Pk#9	2.50%
Pk#10	2.56%
Pk#11	2.63%
Pk#12	2.71%
Pk#13	2.79%
Pk#14	2.88%
Pk#15	2.97%
Pk#16	3.07%
Pk#17	3.17%
Pk#18	3.29%
Pk#19	3.41%
Pk#20	3.55%
Pk#21	3.69%
Pk#22	3.86%
Pk#23	4.03%
Pk#24	4.23%
Pk#25	4.44%
Pk#26	4.67%
Pk#27	4.93%
Pk#28	5.22%
Pk#29	5.53%
Pk#30	5.87%[/font]
 
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