THE "BPA" is stinking vs. the HAT ---ZERO pts in 3GP and -4 ...ALEX DAIGLE anyone?
WHAT if teams 1-5 ALL have 2nd thoughts on him nd keep passing such that MURRAY could take himat #6 -but he lousey MURRAY surely won't buck the trend -I mean 5 GM's ahead of him can't allbe wrong (in such a scenario)...
BUT it won;t happen because:
1. EDM take LARSSON -you need a D-man--don't be stupid and go forward.
2. COL -trades down with OTT for #6 and the NASHVILLE pick OTT holds .
OTT gets LANDESKOG .
3. FLA takes COUTURIER (BPA SHMEPA,TALLON will avoid the smaller skill guy for
the big physical centre so hard to get in drafts-this is a huge--pardon the pun
opportuntity).
4. NJ --DOUGIE HAMILTON.
5. NYI - HUBERDEAU ---memories of BOSSY revived.
6. COL - STROME
7.ATL -ZIBANEJAD (DUDLEY like BIG physical guys).
8. CBJ -RNH --yes the CBJ's make another stupendous error and instead of the next Gretzky get DAIGLE...
9. BOS -BEAULIEU ...
10. MINN - MURPHY
11. COL SEIMENS
12. CAR - ARMIA (we all know Rutherford never drafts D-men in round one--even when he NEEDS them!)
13.CGY -JASKIN .
14.DAL -BARTSCHI .
15.MTL -OLEKSIAK .
16. BUF-JONAS BRODIN
17. NYR- ZACK PHILLIPS
18. MAGNUS HELLBERG or SAMU PERHONEN --in any case the BPA on the board at this time will be the first goalie taken
(i) they may not be able to fit Crawford under their cap -if not in the next contract this summer--maybe on the contract after that--MUST start preparing in case they lose him at some point).
ii) the injury to SALAK is apparently serious and may require surgery to the shoulder
==even if healthy he has to prove himself at the NHL level--so it doesn't hurt to prepare with greater goalie depth in the system for one GREAT one to emerge..
Perhaps either of these 2 BIG goalies HELLBERG (6'5) or PERHONEN (6'4) is a franchise goalie.at any rate HAWKS could get their choice of the very best goalie talent of this draft ..
While PERHONEN is 2 years younger HELLBERG played at a higher level than Jrs
in the Allsvenskan League and was the top goalie there,so he's closer to being 'ready' to challenge for a back-up to Crawford.
IF the Hawks decide to ignore my hunch that they would go goalie at #18,then
while their need is for a big physical but talented 2nd line centre-I doubt that either
Mark McNeill,Mark Scheifele or Boone Jenner have enough to justify taking them over the goalie talent oppotunity cost here. Unless McNeill or Scheifele lights it up at the U-18's (so far they have not scored a goal in 3 pre-tournament games)
to change minds, the only real alternative I would recoomend would be: STEFAN NOESEN (LW) --but his Central Scouting ranking is "only" 35 and STAN even if he thinks that is too low as I do ,might not credit the value more than a mid-20's ...
THUS I can see young Mr. Bowman either being smart and taking one of the goalie BPA's --or being stupid and making a big error by taking BRANDON SAAD who for some reason scouts rank way above a really good player like Noesen.
OF course if CHI beats VAN,then beats (likely) SJ ,then beats the winner of (ANH/NASH) vs. (DET/PHX) to get to the CUP FINAL--then CHI won't be drafting 18th ,but 29th (I don't think it willbe 30th as Cup winner again).
STAN could trade the #18 up or down -and that would change the strategy-but if my scenarios hold ,the #18 pick by cHI could be the most intriguing one of the first round.
BTW --with the NASH pick oTTAWA gives COL to move up, COL will ake a goalie ..
SO in my scenarios CHI willget first crack at whichever goalie they like best at #18 --UNLESS COL trades the NASHVILLE spot they got from OTTAWA in some package to move up before CHI can choose the 1st goalie.
However that frees someone else up who CHI never expected to be there-and so in that case maybe the strategy changes.