Official magic number thread

[Marc the Habs Fan]

NYR max points: 63 points
NJD max points: 61 points

NYI max points: 60 points

Habs have 53 points.

Magic number down to 8 points.

 

[Grate n Colorful Oz]

Down to 8 with 11 games left.

It's now mathematically impossible to finish 15th

 

[Grate n Colorful Oz]

Beat me to it. Damn you!

 

[DekeLikeYouMeanIt]

It's now mathematically impossible to finish 15th

Well thank baby jesus for that

 

[WeThreeKings]

The Habs will find a way to finish 15th.

 

[Seb]

The Habs will find a way to finish 15th.

Count me in the tank bandwagon.

 

[Grate n Colorful Oz]

Down to 5.

 

[Raider917]

a 2-8 finish is all it takes to make the playoffs?

 

[Marc the Habs Fan]

a 2-8 finish is all it takes to make the playoffs?

2-7-1.

 

[Carey Cost*]

theres a chance we might see 6 canadian teams in the playoffs this year....pretty cool

 

[pine*]

2-7-1.

And that's if the 9th place team doesn't lose any points from here on.

A NJ loss vs Buffalo tomorrow would bring the magic number down to 3.

 

[CHfan1]

I understand the point of this thread, but at 55 points the Habs are in. Even if the Devils go 8-2, Montreal still wins based off of regulation wins.

A better thread at this point would be a magic number for top 4 and a magic number for division winner.

 

[Grate n Colorful Oz]

I understand the point of this thread, but at 55 points the Habs are in. Even if the Devils go 8-2, Montreal still wins based off of regulation wins.

A better thread at this point would be a magic number for top 4 and a magic number for division winner.

Magic number for top4 is 12 with 10 games left to play. So top 4 is almost a lock too.

To close with Boston for the division number to be counted though.

 

[Bob b smith]

Statistically if Habs lose every remaining game in regulation, odds of making the playoffs are now 99.9%. Otherwise, considering possible outcomes of games played against one another by other Eastern Conference teams, Habs are in.

 

[llamateizer]

Magic number, cannot finish
14th and 15th
1 pt --> 13-15
2 pts --> 11-15
3 pts --> 9-15 (playoffs spot!)
6 pts --> 8-15 and 3rd
8 pts --> 7-15 and 3rd[/B]
10 pts --> 6-15 and 3rd
12 pts --> 5-15 and 3rd (top 4 clinch)
20 pts --> 3-15 (clinch division)


the habs need 3 pts to make the playoffs

can clinch a playoffs spot as soon as Wednesday

If habs gets 2pts AND
PHI Any loss AND
NJD Any loss

OR

habs get 1pt AND
WIN Any loss AND
NJD Reg loss AND
Car Any loss AND
PHI Reg loss

 

[Marc the Habs Fan]

Down to 2 points.

We have 55 points. NJ and WPG can both max out at 56 points. But WPG has 19 ROWs to our 22, so in a scenario where we lose out and WPG wins out and at least 4 of those are ROWs, they would finish ahead of us. So we need 2 points.

 

[WeThreeKings]

What's the magic number to not face the ****ing Leafs in the play-offs first round?

 

[Marc the Habs Fan]

Magic number of 20 points to win our division.

 

[Nicko999]

Magic number of 20 points to win our division.

Which means we don't control our destiny when it comes to first in the division.

 

[sharks9]

What's the magic number to not face the ****ing Leafs in the play-offs first round?

We need help from Ottawa and we need to crush them in our last 2 games against them.

If Ottawa wins tonight they'll only be 3 points back of the Leafs and they have one more game against them.

 

[25get]

Pace: Habs .721, NYR: .515.
So we get .721*2 per game and NYR loose .485*2 per game.

So 14 = n * (.721 + .485) * 2 or n=7/1.206
n = 5.8
So in 6 games = April 11th against Buffalo

or can also use NJD (assuming a team will outpace the NYR)
7/(.721+.442)= 7/1.163 = 6.01 games

Edit:
I assume that 14 more points puts us in PO for sure...
Edit-2:
14 points seems good: we are 14 points ahead with 14 games to play.
Edit-3:
Using NJD means 18 as a magic number...
so 9/1.163 = 7.738 = 8
So between 6 to 8 games...

So I called it!
[/thread]

 

[CBCnutcase]

What's the magic number to not face the ****ing Leafs in the play-offs first round?

We need help from Ottawa and we need to crush them in our last 2 games against them.

If Ottawa wins tonight they'll only be 3 points back of the Leafs and they have one more game against them.

The Leafs to finish in 6th or 8th would realistically avoid a 1st round playoff match. The Islanders are tied with the Sens and also 3 back of the Leafs.

 

[1UP]

Which means we don't control our destiny when it comes to first in the division.

Now it's 16, which means we do.