GDT: NHL 2024 Draft Lottery: Tuesday, May 7th, 6:30 pm | ESPN, ESPN+, SN, TVAS, Fubo (live stream with free trial) (Habs pick 5th)
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FinnHab
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Well, it looks like 6th pick is ours. Still, praying for the miracle
Habs Halifax
Loyal Habs Fan
I would argue that we probably do not trade for a top 6F if we get Celebrini and we are drafting 8-15 range next year and still have a good pick. Celebrini needle moves but in 2+ years.
It would be very interesting to see what moves Gorton/Hughes make this summer, if we do get Celebrini tomorrow.
individually, yeah, but the odds are greater of getting either 1 or 2 (17.1%) than moving down to 7
Steve Shutt
Don't Poke the Bear
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Habs Halifax
Loyal Habs Fan
Steve Shutt
Don't Poke the Bear
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A cool thing to track is that teams can only move up twice in a 5 year window, so if any of CHI, ANA, or NJD move up again this year it would make them ineligible for some of the near future drafts
2023
Chicago Blackhawks Moved from 3rd to 1st
Anaheim Ducks Moved from 1st to 2nd
2022
New Jersey Devils Moved from 5th to 2nd
Curious what that would look like. For example if CHI wins this year and finishes bottom 5 next year, how will the NHL adjust the odds for the other teams. I'm guessing all teams would have collectively better odds because CHI's lottery balls would be removed. Another possibility would be the 6-16th placed teams simply slide up one spot. Gavin McKenna is looking like a generational talent so would be pretty big if someone lost their chance
2023
Chicago Blackhawks Moved from 3rd to 1st
Anaheim Ducks Moved from 1st to 2nd
2022
New Jersey Devils Moved from 5th to 2nd
Curious what that would look like. For example if CHI wins this year and finishes bottom 5 next year, how will the NHL adjust the odds for the other teams. I'm guessing all teams would have collectively better odds because CHI's lottery balls would be removed. Another possibility would be the 6-16th placed teams simply slide up one spot. Gavin McKenna is looking like a generational talent so would be pretty big if someone lost their chance
They haven't announced the time yet...which is weird.
Saundies
Fly On The Wall
We better be Cacklin' for Macklin tomorrow night!
I should put money down on the Habs losing the lottery so they actually win it.
I should put money down on the Habs losing the lottery so they actually win it.
eklund the clown
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How many times has the 5th pick got first?Seems like the lottery for the most part stays the same with not a lot of movement
The Gr8 Dane
L'harceleur
ChesterNimitz
governed by the principle of calculated risk
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It would take a brave man to take Parekh before one of Dickinson, Buium, Levshunov or Yakemchuk.
Watching yesterday's game 6 between London and Saginaw provided any observer with a cautionary tale about the transferability of Parekh's game to the NHL as he was rag dolled and steamrolled on several occasions by London forecheckers. A skillful defender who can put up glossy numbers against teenagers, he will be easy pickings in pro hockey.
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I disagree. If we win Celebrini, our rebuild is done. We will have 5 top 6ers (Slaf, Suzuki, Caufield, Dach, Mack) with a need for one more. That one more can come from development (Roy, Newhook), from a trade or UFA.
If we make a trade we have assets to move....Jets 1st, Calgary 1st, Habs 2025 1st, D corps, Mesar, etc.
If we go the UFA route, we can target an aging veteran to bridge the gap before Slaf/Mack are fully developed. (See one Stamkos, Steven - 3 year contract)
With a lottery win, next year could conceivably be something like this......
Slaf - Suzuki- Celebrini
Caufield - Dach - Stamkos/Zegras/Necas
Newhook - Dvorak - Armia
Anderson - Evans - Gally
Roy
Matheson - Guhle
Hutson (yes I think he makes it) - Savard
Xhekaj - Mailloux
Barron/Struble/Harris (take your pick)
Monty
Primeau
That team has playoffs written all over it for 24/25. It has serious contender status in 2 years.
My personal fantasy......
We win Celebrini
We sign Stamkos for 3 x 8
We retain the Jets pick and both of next years to fill up our pipeline and build a sustainable long term challenger (a la Tampa Bay Lightning).
Habs Halifax
Loyal Habs Fan
Rebuild pieces become more clear but the rebuild/transition is not done. Making moves too early would be like the Sens trading a top 10 pick for Debrincat.
It's a process and even if we get Celebrini, we still have to be careful. I'm not saying Hughes doesn't still search for a top 6F but that would depend on who that asset is and what the cost is to acquire. How does that player fit our forward strategy needs. It's very fluid with the calculation on when we would compete and who might become available to us.
Whatever happens, patience is still required.
Habs Halifax
Loyal Habs Fan
Usually 1st intermission but they may change that.
Tankathon has it at 7pm EST. Might be trying to set up a pre game show with the various TV networks as we talk about this now.
First intermission of Canes-Rangers would be my guess.
Team_Spirit
95% Elliotte
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Captain Mountain
Formerly Captain Wolverine
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The rebuild would not be done, they'd be out of the stage of the rebuild where they need luck or external help to build a potential core because they'd have the young NHLer/blue chip prospect depth in the system. That doesn't mean everyone will hit or become the players needed to contend.
Like, that's a pretty interesting roster potential-wise that could be a contender in as little as two seasons, but its also reminiscent of the 2022-2023 Senators and Sabres. Which is why I'd agree that they'd be better off in the unlikely event they win to sign a guy like Stamkos instead of moving picks + prospects for Zegras or Necas type.
I guess no rebuild is done, until the idea of what we can become is fully realized. My point is, that is what I would forge ahead with, should we win the lottery. If we don't win the lottery, we still have work.
MarkovsKnee
Global Moderator
For whatever reason, Edmonton & Vancouver are getting a lot of days off. They don't start til Wednesday (10 pm)
KevSkillz4
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- Apr 11, 2016
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Yes, but 2 teams behind Habs need to win both loterry. It's like a little miracle to me.
WeThreeKings
Habs cup - its in the BAG
MarkovsKnee
Global Moderator
5th place has won 3 times:
NYI (2000): Rick DiPietro
Chicago (2007): Patrick Kane
New Jersey (2017): Nico Hischier
#1 wins by far the most
#3 has won more than #2, though
Chicago won from #3 last year: Connor Bedard
New Jersey won from #3 in 2019: Jack Hughes
Edmonton won from #3 in 2015: Connor McDavid
#2 hasn't won in 10 years: Florida 2014: Aaron Ekblad, after #2 won 3 consecutive years (2012, 2013 & 2014).
Habs Halifax
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