I believe you are incorrect on many levels, and I am not trying to trash you. Your projections for a vaccine are way off, and billionaires aren't buying NHL teams and really never have, corporations do. Unless the NHL had a NFL type of tv deal, they are going to be in big trouble. It will take years for fans to return to packed NHL arenas in the winter. People will be very leary if its the 'flu' going around, or a mutation of Covid come the winter months.
Until they provide some sort of 30 second test at the gates, its going to be a long haul. My neighbor is one of the leads on infectious disease in BC and a pretty respectable surgeon, he rolls his eyes at an Oct solution on the medical front. He thinks next summer is more of a timeline, but the good news is he also believes the regular flu will take a beating this year because of the lack of travel and people paying attention to their own symptons.
Side note - I'm a part owner in a chl team, have been for 7 years, I do not believe we will be playing hockey till next march in the WHL, which makes it a total loss for the season.
We'll see, I think you make many assumptions wrong (not trying to thrash you either).
Base on the level of asymptomatic spread herd immunity will kick in without vaccine at some point faster than most think. For example, I'm waiting for the antibody test, I think I have had it. Many many did, starting in November. We need more facts about residual immunity, that's true.
With an R0 of 3, an herd immunity of around 50% is sufficient to reduce it around R0 of 1. Thus no longer "dangerous".
With any vaccine and sufficiently potent antiviral, the R0 will be under 1 and the virus will disappear rapidly.
Life will feel normal around a herd immunity of 50
Just like after SARS, things will regress to the mean quickly.
Companies or Billionaires: that's just a play on words, they are mostly the same thing. Quebecor vs. Peladeau. etc.
Sports teams are the toys of billionaires as they can use the losses to save on taxes! More losses = less taxes somewhere else.
Prediction: Next winter, the Flu will be the main killer again and its doesn't seem to be stopping anything.