Faltorvo
Registered User
- Feb 18, 2008
- 21,067
- 1,941
By "luck" I mean that a larger percentage of the shots he takes and the shots that are taken while he's on the ice are going in than will over a larger sample, I don't mean to say that he's untalented. OIsh%'s and Shooting %'s universally regress to a mean that's lower than what he's at for this year for all defensemen, and by quite a bit
the concepts of luck and talent aren't opposed to eachother either, a player can be both, and he has been both. To keep up his current paces, the volume of shots he takes and the volume of shots taken while he's on the ice will have to about double (a little more than that for the shots he takes, a little less for the shots that are taken while he's on the ice)
I do agree that he would make Team Canada if it were an Olympic year and he would deserve that, but I think his underlying numbers point to him falling out of the race to win an award that only one defenseman that make up all of Team Canada, Team Sweden, Team USA, Team Russia, Team Finland and all the rest of them gets to take home. He's a top 20 player at his position in the world sustainably, and a top 10 player at his position this year that's gotten a few more bounces than the rest of those top 10 players at the position in the world
he will finish top 3 Norris voting for this season, book it
oh,,and it will be well earned.