When I have had my concerns about the stretch pass being overused in the past, I kept getting it is a proven strategy and how it has been shown to be produce goals and even if given away, reduces chances against statistically.
Where is all the "it is proven to work" posts now? Below is the "proof" it works that seems to have created the buy in to the stretch pass.
The Maple Leafs, Their Love of the Stretch Pass, Inability to Execute it and Why it's Still the Right Approach. - The Point Data-driven storytelling that gets right to the point.
I wonder what the numbers are for this season as teams have obviously made adjustments to the Leafs system. Wonder if the stats back up what I have seen for a couple of months.
I remember watching one game recently where they showed the view from behind Freddie where you could see what our D was looking at after a dump into our end. Our D-man has the puck at the hash marks(I think it was Gardiner) - we had one forward circling at the centre faceoff circle and the wingers standing still at the other blueline at both boards waiting for the stretch pass tip in. All that speed we have wasted as four of the 5 players are basically standing still (both D and the wingers). So the d is screwed - if he tries the stretch pass, all 3 forwards are covered and the best you hope for is a tip in and no one is moving with any speed to retrieve it. If he tries to skate it out and gets poke checked, he has no support behind him and gives up a breakaway from the blueline in.
That said, I guess what bugs me the most is what seems like a lack or preparation by our coaching staff for when it doesn't work. If they were assuming no one was going to figure out how to counter it, or haven't noticed that teams do have a successful plan to reduce it's effectiveness(which I severely doubt), then that is on the coaching. To me it is less about line combo's and defence pairings. It is about devising a strategy to play a way for success, and I do not see that from the Leafs when teams sit back to defend the stretch pass. We can load up lines, change defence pairings, but if we play into their hands, it will not likely make much difference.
Here's the big question.
If other coaches have devised strategies to reduce the effectiveness of the stretch pass, then why haven't we developed a strategy to use that will break through their stretch pass defence? Bringing some forwards back more for a quick pass so he gets it with some speed entering the neutral zone would seem pretty obvious to me in this case.