how so? Rielly performs better in tougher minutes. he's easily ahead of Risto
These “easily” and “clearly” things are a bit of a stretch.
This is the first season I agree Reilly is ahead of Risto but he’s one of those Dman advanced stats completely misguide on actual play like losing one on one battles, plus minus. When Myers was here his numbers were atrocious when being the guy, to this point ristolainen had to be the guy on a terrible backend with no stable goaltending. Look at Justin Schultz when looked at to be the guy in Edmonton goes to the pens and everything about his numbers suddenly change. I have a susociin if ristolainen were on the Flames preds bolts and maybe Toronto all those bad advanced stats change. He’s fifth in power play scoring among Dman in the last five years and I’m pretty sure top ten if not closer to top five among all Dman in scoring in the past five years. He also is by far the most dependable Dman on the team that can break up odd m-man rushes, win loose battles in the corner, hits, blocks shots, is in top 5 in total minutes among any player in the NHL.
Since pairing with a better stay at home Dman then him in Marco Scandella his overall play improved dramatically and as you know with Reilly when your the top guy on a defense that allows so many shots your going to get caught a lot.
Ristolainen had you watched him more then a few times I’m sure you’d agree is still a great Dman.
Since I thin Reilly is underrated like Mitch Marner I think it’s far to say he’s better then ristolainen right now but that clearly word is just too much.
I think ristolainen on a better team could be a top 10-15 Dman in this league. OR when Buffalo if they get good everything about his game will suddenly turn with a domino effect like it did with Schultz and Myers.
Ristolainen has gone from underrated to overrated and now back to underrated (by people who just rely on advanced numbers) not saying that’s you but a lot of people don’t watch all the little things he does and how much better he is then all the guys around him. Obviously Dahlin will probably be better, he’s exceeded expectations everywhere he plays (Dahlin) but how soon, I’m not sure.
So many things to watch for this season. Even still Morgan Reilly is a top defensemen in my view but not too 15. Probably too 20.
Hedman
Karlsson
Doughty
Josi
Petriangelo
Jones
Subban
Burns
Provorov
Klingberg
Suter
Carlson
Vlasic
Ghostisbehere
Keith (one bad year doesent completely change him off he could bounce back)
OEL (see Keith)
Barrie
Krug
Hamilton
Weber (when healthy)
Trouba
Byfuglien
Ekblad
So there’s over 20 but you could argue Reilly is ahead of a few of those guys above right now for sure.
After that IMO it’s close you could put him along but mostly above all these guys like Giordano, Werenski, Leddy, Muzzin, Sergachev, Shattenkirk, Parayko, Letang, Mcavoy/Chara, Spurgeon-Dumba (though I think brodin is underrated like braun and Ryan Ellis all three guys play in the shadows of three d man in there teams ahead of them) Hanifin, Faulk, Vatanen, Larsson, Ristolainen, Niskanen/Orlov, Petry, Schmidt, Green, Tanev (if not playing hurt like he does all the time)
It’s like when doing a top Center tanking after the the first 5, everyone from 6-18 are extremely close.