I have to hope given his new huge contract kicking in this season the Leafs are going to start to use Matthews as the workhorse he is.
Matthews has missed time, very clearly, over his last 2 seasons. 20 games in 2nd year, 14 this past one. If he can stay healthy over 82 that will go a long way to providing value, but it's more than just that.
Did you realize Nathan MacKinnon played ~19% more per game than Auston Matthews did in 2018/19. 19%! And neither one was used in a penalty killing role. Neither averaged more than 6 seconds on the entire season. This simply cannot be allowed to happen when your star is now making 11.634 million dollars.
I know people around here tend to get uppity when pace numbers and p/60 are used, so if you're one of those people, this post isn't for you. I think p/60 isn't necessarily the be all, end all, but it's a terrific window into how a player actually performs in the minutes they are provided and I think while what I'm about to do isn't exact science as scoring rates can both improve and slow, it's an interesting way of trying to ballpark where an "unleashed' Matthews could potentially place in league scoring.
As we know Matthews played 68 games, scoring 37 goals and 36 assists, 73 points.
If we use his pace, his estimated finish in 82 games would have been somewhere around 45 goals and 43 assists for a total of 88 points.
If we then apply a 19% increase to his icetime, bringing him up to 22mins per game, his numbers rise to 53 goals and 52 assists for 105 points, tying him with Draisaitl for 4th in league scoring
*before someone says this, yes I realize there are plenty of people between Matthews & Draisaitl for which this exact same exercise could be applied. I acknowledge this to be true, but I would so somewhat counter that point by saying that the overwhelming majority of these players played regularly with better linemates than Kapanen, Marleau & Johnsson. My numbers are purely Matthews pace with these players extended over more playing time, it takes no consideration for the highly likely event that he's paired back with Nylander next year who is a huge upgrade to his wing.
This also gives no consideration to how Matthews season could have played out differently if he hadn't been injured after his 10 game fantastic start to the year.
I really want to see us maximize our 4 best forward assets in Matthews, Marner, Tavares and Nylander. Given the makeup of our team there's no excuse for any of them to be playing less than 20-22 minutes a night.