I think he'll be hurt by the Pens record unless they turn it around. The Norris seems to be more narrative driven than the other awards and Letang doesn't seem to fit that bill really. While he's had high finishes before I don't get the sense that he has the "he's due" aspect in his favour. Should they keep it up my bet would be Rielly or Gio. If the Leafs end up with a huge season, I think Rielly taking a step will get a lot of the praise, and likewise for Giordano if Calgary keeps it up and ends up finally putting it together and winning the Pacific.