MR4
Registered User
- Oct 20, 2014
- 6,270
- 2,253
I mean it's simple f***ing math.
# of games played from an 8% chance/8% games played = expectation of 7 GP
# of games played from a 66.6% chance/66.6% games played = 55 GP expected
Let's even say you're considering the 2 years on Tanev's contract to the 6 years (Age 21-27 seasons) we might get out of the lottery pick. That's still 110 > 42 GP of top 4 dman games played
And then the fact that we're on the edge of contention instead of wanting to wait 3 years to have a 8% chance of developing a top 4 dman, it's an easy choice
# of games played from an 8% chance/8% games played = expectation of 7 GP
# of games played from a 66.6% chance/66.6% games played = 55 GP expected
Let's even say you're considering the 2 years on Tanev's contract to the 6 years (Age 21-27 seasons) we might get out of the lottery pick. That's still 110 > 42 GP of top 4 dman games played
And then the fact that we're on the edge of contention instead of wanting to wait 3 years to have a 8% chance of developing a top 4 dman, it's an easy choice