Confirmed with Link: Kevin Hayes 5: signs 7 years, $50M

The Madrigal

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Apr 26, 2016
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Half way through the season and this is no different than when they made the signing. It's an overpayment but a necessary one. The need at center was even bigger than we as fans realized with the Patrick situation. Hayes is on pace for 24 goals/48 points with 38 of those points at ES which is about you would expect/hope for from him.
 
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BritainStix

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Oct 20, 2016
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He has single handedly transformed the PK too. He does things that we haven't seen since Richards was here.

He must be abaolutely horrid to play against.
 
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dragonoffrost

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He has single handedly transformed the PK too. He does things that we haven't seen since Richards was here.

He must be abaolutely horrid to play against.

I think the more aggressive PK also plays into it. That f***ing sit back and let people pick apart the box PK under Lappy was dreadful. I never understood them running it that way since Lappy himself was an aggressive PKer.
 
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Striiker

Earthquake Survivor
Jun 2, 2013
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PK last year, in 51 games post-Hak: 82.2%
PK this year, through 37 games: 83%

Hayes has been good on the PK but what actually singlehandedly transformed it was when Hakstol got fired and it became more aggressive.

Also, in those 51 games last year, the goaltending was much worse than it has been this year.
 

deadhead

Registered User
Feb 26, 2014
49,215
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PK (players listed by TOI per game)
2019-20: xGA/60: 6.53, S% 84.68 - Hayes, Couts, Laughton/Lindblom, Raffl, Giroux, Provorov, Niskanen, Braun, Sanheim, Hagg, Hart/Elliott
2018-19 (Hak): xGA/60: 7.06; S% 81.63 - Couts, Laughton, Giroux, Raffl/Weise/Lehtera, Provorov, Gudas, AMac, Hagg,
2018-19 (Gordo): xGA/60: 6.50; S% 87.17
2017-18: xGA/60: 6.51; S% 81.38 - Couts, Filppula, Raffl, Leier/Laughton/Simmonds/Giroux, Provorov, Gudas, AMac, Hagg, Elliott/Neuvirth/Mrazek
2016-17: xGA/60: 5.64; S% 84.18 - PEB, VdV, Couts, Simmonds, AMac, Provorov, Gudas, Manning, Mason/Neuvirth
2015-16: xGA/60: 6.43; S% 86.07 - PEB, VdV, Couts, Read. Giroux, Schultz, Gudas, MDZ, Schenn/AMac, Streit, Mason/Neuvirth
2014-15: xGA/60: 6.69; S% 83.47 - Couts, PEB, Read, VdV, Coburn, Schultz, Schenn, Grossman, MDZ, AMac, Mason/Emergy
2013-14: xGA/60: 5.61; S% 87.76 - Couts, Read, Hall, Raffl, Coburn, Kimmo, Grossman, Schenn, Mason/Emery
2012-13: xGA/60: 5.04; S% 87.74 - Talbot, Fedotenko, Read, Giroux, Coburn, Grossman, Kimmo, Schenn, Bryz
2011-12: xGA/60: 6.12; S% 84.32 - Talbot, Couts, Read, Giroux, Kimmo, Coburn, Meszaros, Carle, Bryz/Bob
2010-11: xGA/60: 6.06; S% 86.15 - Betts, Powe, Richards, Giroux, Kimmo, Pronger, Coburn, Bob/Boucher
 

Striiker

Earthquake Survivor
Jun 2, 2013
89,646
155,709
Pennsylvania
Some more interesting information about the PK this year...

PK TOI
Hayes: 77:09
Couturier: 72:24
Lindblom: 44:25
Giroux: 39:58
Raffl: 39:43
Laughton: 28:55

CF%
Giroux: 26.42
Couturier: 25.23
Lindblom: 25.68
Laughton: 21.95
Hayes: 19.05
Raffl: 17.54

CA/60
Giroux: 55.55
Couturier: 66.30
Laughton: 66.63
Raffl: 70.97
Lindblom: 74.27
Hayes: 79.33

xGF%
Giroux: 25.97
Couturier: 14.93
Hayes: 14.28
Laughton: 12.01
Lindblom: 11.81
Raffl: 10.95

xGA
Laughton: 3.24
Giroux: 3.40
Raffl: 3.62
Lindblom: 6.13
Couturier: 7.93
Hayes: 8.49

xGA/60
Giroux: 5.1
Raffl: 5.47
Couturier: 6.58
Hayes: 6.6
Laughton: 6.73
Lindblom: 8.82

GA/60
Giroux: 1.50
Raffl: 3.02
Laughton: 4.15
Hayes: 5.44
Couturier: 7.46
Lindblom: 12.15

GF%
Giroux: 66.67 (2 goals for, 1 against)
Hayes: 12.50 (1 goals for, 7 against)
Laughton: 0.00 (0 goals for, 2 against)
Couturier: 0.00 (0 goals for, 9 against)
Lindblom: 0.00 (0 goals for, 9 against)
Laughton: 0.00 (0 goals for, 2 against)

It also appears as if Provorov, Niskanen, Braun, Laughton, Raffl, and Giroux all have better CF% and xGF% without Hayes than with him.

So it seems as if Hayes has been middle of the pack, at best, and Giroux is just a god. But Hayes has had some flashy moments while on the PK, so maybe that's what confuses some.
 

Starat327

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Some more interesting information about the PK this year...

PK TOI
Hayes: 77:09
Couturier: 72:24
Lindblom: 44:25
Giroux: 39:58
Raffl: 39:43
Laughton: 28:55

CF%
Giroux: 26.42
Couturier: 25.23
Lindblom: 25.68
Laughton: 21.95
Hayes: 19.05
Raffl: 17.54

CA/60
Giroux: 55.55
Couturier: 66.30
Laughton: 66.63
Raffl: 70.97
Lindblom: 74.27
Hayes: 79.33

xGF%
Giroux: 25.97
Couturier: 14.93
Hayes: 14.28
Laughton: 12.01
Lindblom: 11.81
Raffl: 10.95

xGA
Laughton: 3.24
Giroux: 3.40
Raffl: 3.62
Lindblom: 6.13
Couturier: 7.93
Hayes: 8.49

xGA/60
Giroux: 5.1
Raffl: 5.47
Couturier: 6.58
Hayes: 6.6
Laughton: 6.73
Lindblom: 8.82

GA/60
Giroux: 1.50
Raffl: 3.02
Laughton: 4.15
Hayes: 5.44
Couturier: 7.46
Lindblom: 12.15

GF%
Giroux: 66.67 (2 goals for, 1 against)
Hayes: 12.50 (1 goals for, 7 against)
Laughton: 0.00 (0 goals for, 2 against)
Couturier: 0.00 (0 goals for, 9 against)
Lindblom: 0.00 (0 goals for, 9 against)
Laughton: 0.00 (0 goals for, 2 against)

It also appears as if Provorov, Niskanen, Braun, Laughton, Raffl, and Giroux all have better CF% and xGF% without Hayes than with him.

So it seems as if Hayes has been middle of the pack, at best, and Giroux is just a god. But Hayes has had some flashy moments while on the PK, so maybe that's what confuses some.

You've become a stat nerd.


God help us.
 

Striiker

Earthquake Survivor
Jun 2, 2013
89,646
155,709
Pennsylvania
You've become a stat nerd.


God help us.
Haha no, definitely not. I’m too stupid for numbers. :laugh:

It’s just interesting to see them, even though they can be misleading without context, since all they are is the end result. However that’s fine for this instance, because the end result being basically the same as last year shows that adding Hayes wasn’t the thing that led to this improvement. Same as showing that the results with Hayes on the ice aren’t what’s responsible for this year's PK success.
 
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Beef Invictus

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Dec 21, 2009
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I think the more aggressive PK also plays into it. That ****ing sit back and let people pick apart the box PK under Lappy was dreadful. I never understood them running it that way since Lappy himself was an aggressive PKer.

Seems to have been Hakstol's decision. They immediately got more aggressive when he was gone.

And he tanked Toronto's PK.
 

Starat327

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Seems to have been Hakstol's decision. They immediately got more aggressive when he was gone.

And he tanked Toronto's PK.

Well you see, only defensemen should be taking shots, so if you just passively wait and clog the front of the net, it's like having a 2nd goalie. Hakstol Recipe for Success
 

Beef Invictus

Revolutionary Positivity
Dec 21, 2009
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Some more interesting information about the PK this year...

PK TOI
Hayes: 77:09
Couturier: 72:24
Lindblom: 44:25
Giroux: 39:58
Raffl: 39:43
Laughton: 28:55

CF%
Giroux: 26.42
Couturier: 25.23
Lindblom: 25.68
Laughton: 21.95
Hayes: 19.05
Raffl: 17.54

CA/60
Giroux: 55.55
Couturier: 66.30
Laughton: 66.63
Raffl: 70.97
Lindblom: 74.27
Hayes: 79.33

xGF%
Giroux: 25.97
Couturier: 14.93
Hayes: 14.28
Laughton: 12.01
Lindblom: 11.81
Raffl: 10.95

xGA
Laughton: 3.24
Giroux: 3.40
Raffl: 3.62
Lindblom: 6.13
Couturier: 7.93
Hayes: 8.49

xGA/60
Giroux: 5.1
Raffl: 5.47
Couturier: 6.58
Hayes: 6.6
Laughton: 6.73
Lindblom: 8.82

GA/60
Giroux: 1.50
Raffl: 3.02
Laughton: 4.15
Hayes: 5.44
Couturier: 7.46
Lindblom: 12.15

GF%
Giroux: 66.67 (2 goals for, 1 against)
Hayes: 12.50 (1 goals for, 7 against)
Laughton: 0.00 (0 goals for, 2 against)
Couturier: 0.00 (0 goals for, 9 against)
Lindblom: 0.00 (0 goals for, 9 against)
Laughton: 0.00 (0 goals for, 2 against)

It also appears as if Provorov, Niskanen, Braun, Laughton, Raffl, and Giroux all have better CF% and xGF% without Hayes than with him.

So it seems as if Hayes has been middle of the pack, at best, and Giroux is just a god. But Hayes has had some flashy moments while on the PK, so maybe that's what confuses some.

Yep, but I'm willing to allow averageness that comes with some Herculean shifts. That is sadly still a big upgrade for the team. Perhaps it's only an upgrade because we don't have idiots making system and personnel decisions and Hayes happens to be in the right place at the right time, but I'll take it.


I mean, my bar is low. I'm still far from giving any truly negative damns about AV. I see flaws/errors and I can't manage to care yet because the net result is so far superior to what we've had inflicted on us.
 

Striiker

Earthquake Survivor
Jun 2, 2013
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Pennsylvania
Yep, but I'm willing to allow averageness that comes with some Herculean shifts. That is sadly still a big upgrade for the team. Perhaps it's only an upgrade because we don't have idiots making system and personnel decisions and Hayes happens to be in the right place at the right time, but I'll take it.


I mean, my bar is low. I'm still far from giving any truly negative damns about AV. I see flaws/errors and I can't manage to care yet because the net result is so far superior to what we've had inflicted on us.
Don't get me wrong, I'm not bashing Hayes here or denying that he's done well (for the most part) when shorthanded.

I'm just pointing out how ridiculous it is to say that he "singlehandedly transformed the PK" because 1) it improved before he got here, and 2) he's not even our best PKer.
 

Rebels57

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Sep 28, 2014
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Some more interesting information about the PK this year...

PK TOI
Hayes: 77:09
Couturier: 72:24
Lindblom: 44:25
Giroux: 39:58
Raffl: 39:43
Laughton: 28:55

CF%
Giroux: 26.42
Couturier: 25.23
Lindblom: 25.68
Laughton: 21.95
Hayes: 19.05
Raffl: 17.54

CA/60
Giroux: 55.55
Couturier: 66.30
Laughton: 66.63
Raffl: 70.97
Lindblom: 74.27
Hayes: 79.33

xGF%
Giroux: 25.97
Couturier: 14.93
Hayes: 14.28
Laughton: 12.01
Lindblom: 11.81
Raffl: 10.95

xGA
Laughton: 3.24
Giroux: 3.40
Raffl: 3.62
Lindblom: 6.13
Couturier: 7.93
Hayes: 8.49

xGA/60
Giroux: 5.1
Raffl: 5.47
Couturier: 6.58
Hayes: 6.6
Laughton: 6.73
Lindblom: 8.82

GA/60
Giroux: 1.50
Raffl: 3.02
Laughton: 4.15
Hayes: 5.44
Couturier: 7.46
Lindblom: 12.15

GF%
Giroux: 66.67 (2 goals for, 1 against)
Hayes: 12.50 (1 goals for, 7 against)
Laughton: 0.00 (0 goals for, 2 against)
Couturier: 0.00 (0 goals for, 9 against)
Lindblom: 0.00 (0 goals for, 9 against)
Laughton: 0.00 (0 goals for, 2 against)

It also appears as if Provorov, Niskanen, Braun, Laughton, Raffl, and Giroux all have better CF% and xGF% without Hayes than with him.

So it seems as if Hayes has been middle of the pack, at best, and Giroux is just a god. But Hayes has had some flashy moments while on the PK, so maybe that's what confuses some.

Does any of this factor in QoC?

Pretty sure Hayes is on the first PK unit. Correct me if i'm wrong. Most teams have a big drop-off in talent and ability to execute from PP1 to PP2. Just a thought. I overall agree with your point that Hayes didnt single-handedly transform the PK. The biggest improvement is the structure/system. I think we can just leave it at "Hayes is a good PKer."
 

deadhead

Registered User
Feb 26, 2014
49,215
21,617
The PK isn't better than past years, like everything else, it had a rough start last year.
The best PKs were when Kimmo, Pronger and Coburn were on the first defensive pair.

The other top PK was under Hakstol:
2016-17: xGA/60: 5.64; S% 84.18 - PEB, VdV, Couts, Simmonds, AMac, Provorov, Gudas, Manning, Mason/Neuvirth

Look at the "whipping boys" on that PK unit!
 

Harhis

Registered User
Oct 30, 2017
1,209
2,273
Finland
Some more interesting information about the PK this year...

PK TOI
Hayes: 77:09
Couturier: 72:24
Lindblom: 44:25
Giroux: 39:58
Raffl: 39:43
Laughton: 28:55

CF%
Giroux: 26.42
Couturier: 25.23
Lindblom: 25.68
Laughton: 21.95
Hayes: 19.05
Raffl: 17.54

CA/60
Giroux: 55.55
Couturier: 66.30
Laughton: 66.63
Raffl: 70.97
Lindblom: 74.27
Hayes: 79.33

xGF%
Giroux: 25.97
Couturier: 14.93
Hayes: 14.28
Laughton: 12.01
Lindblom: 11.81
Raffl: 10.95

xGA
Laughton: 3.24
Giroux: 3.40
Raffl: 3.62
Lindblom: 6.13
Couturier: 7.93
Hayes: 8.49

xGA/60
Giroux: 5.1
Raffl: 5.47
Couturier: 6.58
Hayes: 6.6
Laughton: 6.73
Lindblom: 8.82

GA/60
Giroux: 1.50
Raffl: 3.02
Laughton: 4.15
Hayes: 5.44
Couturier: 7.46
Lindblom: 12.15

GF%
Giroux: 66.67 (2 goals for, 1 against)
Hayes: 12.50 (1 goals for, 7 against)
Laughton: 0.00 (0 goals for, 2 against)
Couturier: 0.00 (0 goals for, 9 against)
Lindblom: 0.00 (0 goals for, 9 against)
Laughton: 0.00 (0 goals for, 2 against)

It also appears as if Provorov, Niskanen, Braun, Laughton, Raffl, and Giroux all have better CF% and xGF% without Hayes than with him.

So it seems as if Hayes has been middle of the pack, at best, and Giroux is just a god. But Hayes has had some flashy moments while on the PK, so maybe that's what confuses some.
I don't know if CF% and xGF% are really useful stats to evaluate players PK ability. After all most important think for PK is not to allow goal so supression metrics should be the ones to evaluate PK ability.

Just a thought not related to Hayes or anybody else in general.
 

Striiker

Earthquake Survivor
Jun 2, 2013
89,646
155,709
Pennsylvania
Does any of this factor in QoC?

Pretty sure Hayes is on the first PK unit. Correct me if i'm wrong. Most teams have a big drop-off in talent and ability to execute from PP1 to PP2. Just a thought. I overall agree with your point that Hayes didnt single-handedly transform the PK. The biggest improvement is the structure/system. I think we can just leave it at "Hayes is a good PKer."
Yup. Like I said to Beef, the point wasn’t to say he isnt good at PKing, just that he’s not what fixed it and isn’t even our best.

As far as PK units go, I don’t think there’s really a distinct 1st or 2nd unit. Seems like he and Couts basically rotate, since they’re pretty close in icetime. Maybe I’m imagining things, but I feel like who starts the PK against the opponents top unit switches back and forth. Although it’s hard to call any PK unit without Couturier the 1st unit, kinda like any PP unit without Giroux on it is the 2nd unit.
 

Striiker

Earthquake Survivor
Jun 2, 2013
89,646
155,709
Pennsylvania
I don't know if CF% and xGF% are really useful stats to evaluate players PK ability. After all most important think for PK is not to allow goal so supression metrics should be the ones to evaluate PK ability.

Just a thought not related to Hayes or anybody else in general.
Yeah, I just tossed out a bunch of information. Some is definitely more valuable than others.
 
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Johnk0728

Registered User
Dec 28, 2016
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Don't get me wrong, I'm not bashing Hayes here or denying that he's done well (for the most part) when shorthanded.

I'm just pointing out how ridiculous it is to say that he "singlehandedly transformed the PK" because 1) it improved before he got here, and 2) he's not even our best PKer.

Are you sure you aren't bashing him? Really? LOL!
 

Johnk0728

Registered User
Dec 28, 2016
1,236
582
Yup. Like I said to Beef, the point wasn’t to say he isnt good at PKing, just that he’s not what fixed it and isn’t even our best.

As far as PK units go, I don’t think there’s really a distinct 1st or 2nd unit. Seems like he and Couts basically rotate, since they’re pretty close in icetime. Maybe I’m imagining things, but I feel like who starts the PK against the opponents top unit switches back and forth. Although it’s hard to call any PK unit without Couturier the 1st unit, kinda like any PP unit without Giroux on it is the 2nd unit.

Saying someone is good isn't a shot at Couturier. Wow......
 

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