Whileee
Registered User
- May 29, 2010
- 46,061
- 33,043
While we bask in the pleasant glow of a top team heading to the playoffs, I have been thinking ahead to how the Jets will sustain their success in the longer term. In that regard, the medium to longer term future will have to unfold for the 2019 season in relation to the core of their roster and the salary cap. That's because that's when Laine's extension will kick in, and most of their other young core players will need to be extended.
So, instead of reading the newspaper on this "crisp" Saturday morning, I did a bit of quick scenario building using CapFriendly's GM tool, focusing on the roster and cap and contract situation for the 2019 season. This thread is your chance to comment, and to propose your scenarios and solutions to create a long-term contender in Winnipeg.
First, my three main assumptions:
1) Salary cap rises to $83M for 2019 (might be a bit conservative).
2) Trouba is willing to sign a long-term deal.
3) Jets are happy with most of their current young core of players.
With that in mind, it became clear that the Jets are not going to be able to retain all of their core vets. Also, their plethora of young players in the system make it impossible to retain all of them on the roster.
Decision 1: Right defense (trade Myers)
If Trouba is signed to a long-term deal, then the Jets will have a very difficult time keeping both Buff and Myers. I decided (somewhat reluctantly), that Myers needed to be traded (as early as this off-season).
Decision 2: Wingers (trade Perreault)
I really like Perreault, but really can't see how the Jets can keep him while re-signing the young players and keeping a solid D and G situation. I reluctantly decided to trade Perreault (probably after the 2018/19 season).
Decision 3: Young depth forwards
From a roster perspective, the Jets will likely need to jettison at least one and perhaps two of their young forward prospects, because of roster considerations. I decided to trade Dano (2018) and keep Petan.
In terms of key contracts, here is what I decided:
Laine - $9.5M x 8 years (he gets the franchise player extension. I think he might sign for a bit less)
Wheeler - $6.5M x 6 years (probably a bit too rich or long, but the Jets want him to keep driving the bus)
Trouba - $6.25M x 5 years (might be a bit low on the AAV, but he'll like the shorter term)
Hellebuyck - $6.0M x 8 years (he gets the franchise goalie contract - might be a bit rich)
Morrissey - $5.25M x 6 years (similar to Rielly)
Lowry - $3.5M x 5 years (tried to balance AAV and term)
Connor - $3.25M x 2 years (maybe a bit rich for a bridge, but if he scores 35 or so next year...)
Armia - $2.5M x 4 years (might be on the low side, so could adjust the term a bit)
Copp - $2.25M x 4 years (see Armia)
Poolman - $1.75M x 2 years (Jets might decide to go higher and longer with Poolman)
Key trades:
Myers (2018/19): 2019 1st and young D or good prospect D.
Perreault (2019 off-season): 2nd in 2019 and 3rd in 2020.
Dano (2018): 2019 3rd
Below is the roster, with a total cap hit of $82.96M.
Fire away!
So, instead of reading the newspaper on this "crisp" Saturday morning, I did a bit of quick scenario building using CapFriendly's GM tool, focusing on the roster and cap and contract situation for the 2019 season. This thread is your chance to comment, and to propose your scenarios and solutions to create a long-term contender in Winnipeg.
First, my three main assumptions:
1) Salary cap rises to $83M for 2019 (might be a bit conservative).
2) Trouba is willing to sign a long-term deal.
3) Jets are happy with most of their current young core of players.
With that in mind, it became clear that the Jets are not going to be able to retain all of their core vets. Also, their plethora of young players in the system make it impossible to retain all of them on the roster.
Decision 1: Right defense (trade Myers)
If Trouba is signed to a long-term deal, then the Jets will have a very difficult time keeping both Buff and Myers. I decided (somewhat reluctantly), that Myers needed to be traded (as early as this off-season).
Decision 2: Wingers (trade Perreault)
I really like Perreault, but really can't see how the Jets can keep him while re-signing the young players and keeping a solid D and G situation. I reluctantly decided to trade Perreault (probably after the 2018/19 season).
Decision 3: Young depth forwards
From a roster perspective, the Jets will likely need to jettison at least one and perhaps two of their young forward prospects, because of roster considerations. I decided to trade Dano (2018) and keep Petan.
In terms of key contracts, here is what I decided:
Laine - $9.5M x 8 years (he gets the franchise player extension. I think he might sign for a bit less)
Wheeler - $6.5M x 6 years (probably a bit too rich or long, but the Jets want him to keep driving the bus)
Trouba - $6.25M x 5 years (might be a bit low on the AAV, but he'll like the shorter term)
Hellebuyck - $6.0M x 8 years (he gets the franchise goalie contract - might be a bit rich)
Morrissey - $5.25M x 6 years (similar to Rielly)
Lowry - $3.5M x 5 years (tried to balance AAV and term)
Connor - $3.25M x 2 years (maybe a bit rich for a bridge, but if he scores 35 or so next year...)
Armia - $2.5M x 4 years (might be on the low side, so could adjust the term a bit)
Copp - $2.25M x 4 years (see Armia)
Poolman - $1.75M x 2 years (Jets might decide to go higher and longer with Poolman)
Key trades:
Myers (2018/19): 2019 1st and young D or good prospect D.
Perreault (2019 off-season): 2nd in 2019 and 3rd in 2020.
Dano (2018): 2019 3rd
Below is the roster, with a total cap hit of $82.96M.
Fire away!