Leafs are overspending the Cap ceiling by $10.5 mil (Horton and Clarkson LTIR) this year to fit Marner and needed to deal Marleau with a 1st to resign Marner.
Last season the Leafs under spent the cap ceiling by a significant amount on last years roster, because they needed to save $4-5 mil free cap under-spending the cap ceiling for rookie bonuses to be applied against last year without any carryover penalty.
Also are potentially renting Muzzin for this season at the cost of 1st round pick and 2 former 2nd rounder prospects.
So comparing apples to apples the Leafs are spending +$15 mil more this year on players this year vs last and also spent 2 X 1st round picks to create this team.
So this team better be better than last year because you're spending far more cap $$ and more rental players at the cost of high pick and prospects.
So the answer is a rather captain obvious YES, but there are also reason why that is.
Nowadays everybody uses "then" instead of "than". It's so weird I actually found out this year that it isn't a typo but it's actually more common these days. At least in here.
Even bigger mind blow is that how in earth did Leafs upgrade their roster when Marner's rookie contract switches to 11M contract. That's insane.
Gee, I don't see how they are better. Forwards and goalies the same value. But IMO, they are worse on defence.
Lost three NHLers and only got two return.
I wish they could have kept Hainsey for the bottom pair but other than that the back end is much better.You don't think Rielly, Muzzin, Barrie and Ceci are better than Rielly Gardiner, Hainsey and Zaitsev?
Ok.
Not only is there no $$ to upgrade...there are zero roster spots available on this super-team! This team, with it's best lineup, is a 20 man roster...with no margin for addressing D2D injuries. Of course they look better on paper, but at the expense of moving from a 23 man NHL roster to a 20 man roster.
Maybe a better assessment of whether this team is better than last year, or not, is to remove one of Ceci, Hyman, Kerfoot, Kapanan, Johnsson...and then replace them with 2 cheaper players, so there is at least 1 extra body. Because it seems extremely unlikely to me that this house of cards can continue for very long, once Dermott and (maybe he's asked to stay on LTIR a bit longer?) Hyman.
I agree on all of the above. The one thing that is significantly worse this year is the 3rd and 4th line.
This was the 3rd and 4th liners to start last year
Leivo-Kadri-Brown
Johnsson-Lindholm-Kapanan
today it looks something like
Mikheyev-Kerfoot- Moore
Thimashov-Gauthier-Spezza
Team is top heavy which may be fine in the regular season, that 3rd and 4th will struggle in the playoffs and there is no $$ to do any upgrades at the deadline.
3rd line I would argue isn't worse. Mikheyev looks promising (Better then Leivo), Kerfoot can likely achieve the same as Kadri (becasue Kadri was playing 3rd line minutes) and Moore I like more than Brown.
4th line won't get a ton of ice time (even less in the playoffs)
It kind of depends on what you mean by well. Kadri had 9 points in 14 games, which sounds good but he had 2 points in the final 7 games before Matthews came back. Kerfoot gives you about the same type of numbers Kadri typically gives you barring those 2 30 goal seasons, which no one truly knows if Kadri will be capable of that again.As long as Matthews/Tavares stay healthy we should be better. Last year Kadri did well in the top 6 when Matthews went down.
If it happens again this year, we'll see how Kerfoot/Nylander hold up.
You don't think Rielly, Muzzin, Barrie and Ceci are better than Rielly Gardiner, Hainsey and Zaitsev?
Ok.
At 35 years old, this is the best Leafs team of my lifetime, by a big margin.
I totally agree with you but you forget to mention Mikeyehev as he is going to be big part this season, I am not sure how big a difference is between Spezza and Marleau (but please keep in mind the cap hit for Spezza is $700 K vs $6.25 M that we were paying Marleau), also I believe Nylander is going to be way better this season then he was last year
On the downside...
Hainsey +30 last year big minutes/injury free/solid/reliable/PK specialist
Ceci/Barrie consistent minus players year after year / far from reliable in the D end
Who replaces steady Eddie Hainsey?
That is a major concern when it comes to this year's leavs.
I agree on all of the above. The one thing that is significantly worse this year is the 3rd and 4th line.
This was the 3rd and 4th liners to start last year
Leivo-Kadri-Brown
Johnsson-Lindholm-Kapanan
today it looks something like
Mikheyev-Kerfoot- Moore
Thimashov-Gauthier-Spezza
Team is top heavy which may be fine in the regular season, that 3rd and 4th will struggle in the playoffs and there is no $$ to do any upgrades at the deadline.
Leivo - Kadri - Brown and its Variants were a waste. Even Kappy was part of it at times during last season to no avail.
Leivo barely had ice time.
Kadri was still on his honeymoon and bunged up plays left right and centre.
Brown is the skate hard guy, but does nothing with puck.
We saw this all season, consistently with these 3 players no matter where they were on the lineup. Kappy who has some talent, needs an outlet for his 200Mph breakaways.
Mikheyev looks promising and is actually crashing the net hard enough more than most leafs last season. His play IQ seems strong.
Kerfoot is probably better than Kadri in the way that he is not on a honeymoon haze and messes up plays. Probably invigorated from being in obscurity, to spotlight in Toronto.
Moore has the ability to move in the lineup due to his tenacity. Hes a lil more vicious than AJ, Kap and Nylander.
100 % man
I'm 52 and this is the best team I've seen.
Let's just light this candle and get on with it.
Kadri and Marleau were horrible at even strength! Their stats look not too bad until you take out the PP, then you realize they scored one more ES goal and three fewer assists that Komarov and Filppula, in almost 20% more ice time. Along with that, despite not being a real 'checking line', they were a combined -8, compared to +37.QFT... and the problem becomes even more pronounced once Johnsson ended up on the Matthews line, with Marleau on the 3rd.
That 3rd line of Marleau-Kadri-Brown was undoubtedly expensive, but it was a great 3rd line, especially for our approach of rolling 4 lines, and trying to beat teams with our depth. There's some upside in the 3rd line this year, but nowhere near the expectation that we could have had from Kadri and Marleau.
I went through all of Komarov's and C.Brown's goals and they had more assists from Nylander then Kadri. Kadri's an awesome solo act, but in many ways, see him lacking vision which raised players around him. Not sold on Kapanen's vision either. When they have the puck, it's more like a watching a rugby player on skates. Barrel through, simple clean passes to obvious outlets.Kadri and Marleau were horrible at even strength! Their stats look not too bad until you take out the PP, then you realize they scored one more ES goal and three fewer assists that Komarov and Filppula, in almost 20% more ice time. Along with that, despite not being a real 'checking line', they were a combined -8, compared to +37.