kwhyte
Registered User
- Aug 2, 2005
- 307
- 0
Maybe I missed it earlier in the thread, but has anyone done a year-to-year correlation for games played? This would give us some measure of how much luck is involved. It wouldn't be perfect since some injuries span more than one year and players can change style/role after an injury, but it would be a start. I don't even have a guess - it could be as close to zero as it is for things like PDO or quite high like for goals. It's easy to think up examples where it looks like someone is injury prone, but this is exactly the kind of situation where human intuition is terrible at seeing statistical truths.
It'll be a bit tricky, since it should be limited to players who would play all 82 games if healthy and that's not so easy to judge.
It'll be a bit tricky, since it should be limited to players who would play all 82 games if healthy and that's not so easy to judge.