1. Patrick Kane (Chi) 21
2. Jonathan Toews (Chi) 14
3. Andrew Cogliano (Edm) 11
4. Sam Gagner (Edm) 8
Daniel Carcillo (Phx) 8
Tobias Enstrom (Atl) 8
Steven Wagner (StL) 8
Martin Hanzal (Phx) 8
Peter Mueller (Phx) 8
Nicklas Backstrom (Wsh) 8
11. Devin Setoguchi (SJ) 7
Bryan Little (Atl) 7
David Perron (StL) 7
14. Torrey Mitchell (SJ) 6
15. Tom Gilbert (Edm) 5
Nigel Dawes (NYR) 5
David Clarkson (NJ) 5
18. Drew Miller (Ana) 4
Mike Lundin (TB) 4
Matt Niskanen (Dal) 4
James Sheppard (Min) 4
Jiri Tlusty (Tor) 4
Erik Johnson (StL) 4
etcetcetc
He's as much a darkhorse as those top 18 IMO, but Kane and Toews are running away with it right now. To be fair, Barret Jackman won the Calder in 02/03 with 19 pts and he beat out Zetterberg with 44 pts so points are not the be-all and end-all for Calder winners. How important a player is to his team and how acclimated a player is to the NHL in his first year is much more important.
Though, as a Blues fan, I can conceed that they needed a recount on that years Calder winner. I can fully admit if it came down to having Z or J on my team, I'd pick Z 7.5 times out of 10.