Series Talk: How many points do the Leafs need to Clinch a Playoff Spot?

[Cory Kennedy]

So as the Tampa Bay Lighting have been the First team this Season to Clinch their spot in the 2019 Stanley Cup Playoffs as they are off to having one of their best Seasons in History and are looking like a lock for the Cup, us Maple Leaf Fans are probably wondering, how many Points do we need to Clinch our Spot? Well I did the Math and I am about to give you the answer. So right now at the moment, the Leafs are 3rd in the Atlantic Division with 89 points behind the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Boston Bruins. And the Closest Team Division wise to catch up to the Leafs are the Montreal Canadiens who stand 4th in the Atlantic with 79 pts. So they are 10 pts behind. The Toronto Maple Leafs have played a total of 68 games while the Habs have played a total of 69 games which gives Toronto the Games In Hand advantage with 1 game. So if we do the Math, if the Leafs win there next 2 games they will have 93 pts. And if the habs lose their next 2 games, they will have played a total of 71 games and can't possibly catch up to the Leafs point wise. So there fore the Leafs just need 93 pts and 2 wins to Clinch a Spot in the 2019 Stanley Cup Playoffs. But overall it doesn't matter because the Leafs are in anyways.

Click to read more...

 

[Warden of the North]

7, +/- 1

 

[justafan22]

I'd say 96 points to be safe. Leafs would have the likely tiebreaker over the Habs, 42 ROW vs 34, and even if they tie that, Leafs have the H2H tiebreaker.

 

[TorMapleJays]

If Montreal goes
13-0=26 pts
26+79= 115

Leafs
89-115=(16)

16/2=8 games

82-8=74 games

74-69= 5 games.

Therefore the Leafs can clinch over the Montreal Canadiens in with a combination of 10
Points won by Toronto or lost by Montreal. ( Loser points suck)

 

[Suntouchable13]

To clinch a playoff spot, you have to look at Philly actually.

 

[Mickey Marner]

95 or 96. I haven't checked out the schedules for all of MTL, WSH, NYI, CAR, PIT & CLB, but I imagine they have enough games remaining against each other that it won't be more than 96 with our ROW count. 3 point games really f*** things up. You basically have to assume 2.2 pts awarded per game without knowing their actual distribution.

 

[notDatsyuk]

There is another thread on this already.

 

[PuckMagi]

Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances - Sports Club Stats

 

[toasterart]

17 points for the Leafs minus x points not earned by Montreal. Other teams such as Columbus, Carolina losing games also helps if Montreal passes them

 

[Nineteen67]

It’s done. Now we just need Columbus and Carolina to keep winning and Montreal to lose.

 

[Burnie97]

I think at this point... basically Montreal loses 4 more... and Leafs win 4 more... then we're in the 3rd seed automatic... which is already a given pretty much anyway.

What would be great is if Leafs can go about 10-4 or better ... and maybe they have an outside shot at the 2nd seed.

 

[56 Years No Cup]

If Montreal goes
13-0=26 pts
26+79= 115

Leafs
89-115=(16)

16/2=8 games

82-8=74 games

74-69= 5 games.

Therefore the Leafs can clinch over the Montreal Canadiens in with a combination of 10
Points won by Toronto or lost by Montreal. ( Loser points suck)

You both need to stay in math class. The Leafs need to have a combination of 17 points in wins or lost points by Montreal or Columbus. If the Leafs get to 106 points they clinch for themselves. That could change daily depending if C-Bus or Montreal lose.

 

[crump]

You both need to stay in math class. The Leafs need to have a comnonation of 17 points in wins or lost points by Montreal or Columbus. If the Leafs get to 106 points they clinch for themselves. That could change daily depending if C-Bus or Montreal lose.

That would beat the franchise record for points too. 9 wins. I think we would need to go 9-4-1 and Boston to basically blow up to go 5-6-2 get 2nd now.

 

[justafan22]

I think at this point... basically Montreal loses 4 more... and Leafs win 4 more... then we're in the 3rd seed automatic... which is already a given pretty much anyway.

What would be great is if Leafs can go about 10-4 or better ... and maybe they have an outside shot at the 2nd seed.

It's really 5 since the leafs will have the ROW tiebreaker in all likelihood

 

[Burnie97]

It's really 5 since the leafs will have the ROW tiebreaker in all likelihood

So if the Leafs have the tie breaker due to reg/ot wins... and no one else can catch them in the top 3 in the division other than Montreal ... than Leafs need 4 wins combined with Montreal losing 4 times.

If they both finished with 97 points for example. Leafs still finish 3rd in the division due to reg wins.

Say Montreal goes 9-4

Leafs Go 4-10

Leafs are in.

 

[Spirit of 67]

One more than Montreal.

 

[justafan22]

One more than Montreal.

Tied, as long as the leafs have more ROW wins.

 

[justafan22]

So if the Leafs have the tie breaker due to reg/ot wins... and no one else can catch them in the top 3 in the division other than Montreal ... than Leafs need 4 wins combined with Montreal losing 4 times.

If they both finished with 97 points for example. Leafs still finish 3rd in the division due to reg wins.

Say Montreal goes 9-4

Leafs Go 4-10

Leafs are in.

Exactly.

 

[JT AM da real deal]

Sports Club Stats website has 94 points as 83% likelihood in playoffs for Leafs. and 99 points as a 100% lock for 3rd place in our division. and 109+ points to more than likely get the 2nd place seed in our division.

So to get 109 points we need to go 10 wins and 4 losses rest of way. Given our easier schedule I think we got a good shot at home ice against Bruins. But it likely gets decided this week as Boston has a very tough week and we got a very easy week. The tide should turn for us this week.

 

[Burnie97]

Exactly.

Right. . Just up there you had said Leafs need 5 so I didn't quite know what you meant by that... anyway... either way no one should be worried about making it now. It's about 2nd seed... although the Leafs will have to go on a hell of a run the way Boston is playing.

 

[justafan22]

Right. . Just up there you had said Leafs need 5 so I didn't quite know what you meant by that... anyway... either way no one should be worried about making it now. It's about 2nd seed... although the Leafs will have to go on a hell of a run the way Boston is playing.

I'd say it's around 65/35 for Bruins getting home ice right now.

 

[81Leafs50]

wild card races in the NHL.

If I was running Dallas I would blow it up if the Coyotes make it and Dallas didnt.

 

[JT AM da real deal]

I'd say it's around 65/35 for Bruins getting home ice right now.

I think it likely gets decided this week. Look at the schedules. The Leafs should be in 2nd place by Sunday. And hopefully we can hold it. My guess it is still a 50/50 proposition.

 

[Burnie97]

I'd say it's around 65/35 for Bruins getting home ice right now.

I agree. It's not impossible but the odds are against them. This week will definitely go a long way in deciding if Leafs can close the gap. . Or if they play really good and take care of things starting tonight... they could be up a couple points by the end of the week. Then it's just holding down the fort until seasons end.

 

[justafan22]

I agree. It's not impossible but the odds are against them. This week will definitely go a long way in deciding if Leafs can close the gap. . Or if they play really good and take care of things starting tonight... they could be up a couple points by the end of the week. Then it's just holding down the fort until seasons end.

If it goes past 5 points, it's over.