I think folks are selling Joe Thornton pretty short here honestly. Not that they don’t have a good reason to believe he’s essentially cooked at the age of 39, but us who have been following a bit more reason to believe he will put together a very strong season. Here’s why:
1. Thornton only played in 47 games last season and played in no playoff games, which means he will be much more well rested going into the 2018-2019 season. His best two seasons of this decade (13-14 and 15-16) both came after he had a significant deal of rest.
2. Last season, Thornton was still recovering from a knee injury, and did not have the opportunity to undergo his usual off-season training regimen. Although he was recovering from the same injury to a different knee in this off-season as well, he was MUCH further along in the recovery process. Coach Pete DeBoer described the difference between Thornton at the start of 2017 training camp 2018 and training camp as “night and day”.
3. In 47 games this season, Thornton scored 36 points. However, when you dive deeper into the numbers, there is a trend that leads for optimism. As we all know, Thornton started off the season injured, and this was visible to the fans. Coach Pete DeBoer even said during the season that Thornton was not playing at 100%.
Throughout the course of the season, Thornton’s play had improved. He had 11 goals and 15 assists for 26 points in his last 28 games before his injury; that’s a pace of 32 goals, 44 assists, and 76 points per 82 games. This tangible improvement in his very basic numbers correlated with an improvement in his underlying metrics as well as a visible improvement that all Sharks fans observed; Thornton was shooting more, he was scoring more, and he was controlling the flow of play better.
4. Thornton had a Hart Trophy level season as recently as 2015-2016, at the age of 36. So far, throughout his aging period, he has aged very gracefully.
So, while father time may very well take another victim this year in Joe Thornton, Thornton also may very well take the NHL by storm with yet another fantastic season. He’s definitely got the talent.