Fun With Projections: Playoffs? Top Draft Pick? Black Hole?

[BallPointHammer]

Carter
Campbell
Grundstrom
Durzi
Imama

???

Correct. I thought it was interesting that it was such a small number. A lot of free agents.

 

[Chazz Reinhold]

Correct. I thought it was interesting that it was such a small number. A lot of free agents.

It is pretty surprising. I never would have guessed it was less than 10% of the reserve list. And it was not an easy list to come up with.

 

[HansH]

As of the All-Star Break:

PLAYOFFS
Target: 91 points.
Record needed: 23-5-4 (.781 percentage)

WORST RECORD
Target: 44 points
Record needed: 0-29-3 (.050 percentage)

CURRENT PROJECTION
67 points (29-44-9)
30th of 31 (New Jersey 29th, 70 pts; Ottawa 28th, 72 pts; Anaheim 27th, 73 pts)

 

[Raccoon Jesus]

Honestly Hans thank you for doing this because it's 1. useful 2. a funny parody of the usual useful thread.

Also, gross that the playoff target is 91 pts.

 

[kilowatt]

WORST RECORD
Target: 44 points
Record needed: 0-29-3 (.050 percentage)

But... we're in second-to-last place. How bad is Detroit that this is even possible? We need to lose our next 32 games in a row in order to secure the highest odds? That's almost unbelievable.

 

[HansH]

But... we're in second-to-last place. How bad is Detroit that this is even possible? We need to lose our next 32 games in a row in order to secure the highest odds? That's almost unbelievable.

Detroit is on pace to get 45 points in 82 games. The Kings already have 41 points in 50 games. Detroit is abysmal.

 

[kovacro]

As of the All-Star Break:


CURRENT PROJECTION
67 points (29-44-9)
30th of 31

 

[Lt Dan]

As of the All-Star Break:

PLAYOFFS
Target: 91 points.
Record needed: 23-5-4 (.781 percentage)

The cup is ours!

 

[kilowatt]

Y

Detroit is on pace to get 45 points in 82 games. The Kings already have 41 points in 50 games. Detroit is abysmal.

That’s worse than the 16-17 Avs. That’d be the worst season since the 99-00 Thrashers, and Minnesota and Columbus weren’t in the league yet.

 

[Choralone]

 

[kovacro]

The 2019/20 Los Angeles Kings Tank-a-thon thread sponsored by Jek Porkins.

 

[Lt Dan]

 

[kilowatt]

 

[kovacro]

 

[Choralone]

He went out doing what he loved.

 

[HansH]

As of the games of 2/4/20:

PLAYOFFS
Target: 92 points.
Record needed: 23-2-3 (.875 percentage)

WORST RECORD
Target: 42 points
Record needed: IMPOSSIBLE (Kings already have 43 points)

CURRENT PROJECTION
65 points (28-45-9)
30th of 31 (New Jersey 29th, 73 pts; Ottawa 28th, 73 pts; Anaheim 27th, 76 pts)

 

[Master Yoda]

As of the games of 2/4/20:

PLAYOFFS
Target: 92 points.
Record needed: 23-2-3 (.875 percentage)

WORST RECORD
Target: 42 points
Record needed: IMPOSSIBLE (Kings already have 43 points)

CURRENT PROJECTION
65 points (28-45-9)
30th of 31 (New Jersey 29th, 73 pts; Ottawa 28th, 73 pts; Anaheim 27th, 76 pts)

Believe it or not, Detroit has won 12 games all season and has 4 different winning streaks on the season, same number as the Kings and one more than Ottawa.

 

[HansH]

After the games of 2/10/20:

PLAYOFFS
Target: 92 points.
Record needed: 24-0-1 (.980 percentage)

WORST RECORD
Target: 45 points
Record needed: 0-23-2 (.040 percentage)

CURRENT PROJECTION
62 points (27-47-8)
30th of 31 (Ottawa 29th, 70 pts; New Jersey 28th, 76 pts; San Jose 27th, 76 pts; Anaheim 26th, 78 pts)

 

[HansH]

After the games of 2/18/20:

PLAYOFFS
Target: 91 points.
Record needed: 22-0-0 (1.000 percentage)

WORST RECORD
Target: 44 points
Record needed: IMPOSSIBLE (Kings already have 47 points)

CURRENT PROJECTION
64 points (28-46-8)
30th of 31 (Ottawa 29th, 72 pts; New Jersey 28th, 75 pts; Anaheim 27th, 76 pts; San Jose 26th, 78 pts)

DETROIT'S "MAGIC" NUMBER
Their current max points is 74.
Detroit is 28 lost points away from clinching the best shot at next year's #1 pick, with 20 games to go.

 

[Raccoon Jesus]

Sweet, we're almost mathemetically eliminated!

 

[HansH]

Sweet, we're almost mathemetically eliminated!

That's still 24 points away for actual mathematical elimination. Currently, they're just close to PROJECTIONALLY eliminated

 

[HansH]

After the games of 3/1/20:

PLAYOFFS
Target: 93 points.
Kings' current maximum: 88 points.
Kings' current tragic number: 17 points (Kings' lost points plus Nashville gained points).

WORST RECORD
Target: 42 points.
Kings' current points: 56 points.

CURRENT PROJECTION
70 points (31-43-8)
30th of 31 (Ottawa 29th, 72 pts; Anaheim 28th, 76 pts; San Jose 27th, 76 pts)

DETROIT'S "MAGIC" NUMBER
Their current max points is 65.
Detroit is 10 lost points away from clinching the best shot at next year's #1 pick, with 15 games to go.