Speculation: Free Agency/Trade Prediction Game

Majorityof1

Registered User
Mar 6, 2014
8,348
6,899
Central Florida
Majorityof1's random last-minute overly-complicated off-season HF Blues Board Prediction Game

Are you dreading the Blue's annual over payment of a useless Bottom-6 free agent? :(

Does the thought of trading away that prospect who's development you have been drooling over keep you up at night? :facepalm:

Are you sick of discussing your obviously biased trade predictions with other teams' obviously biased fans on the main boards? :damnpc:

Do you gain an unreasonable amount of satisfaction from proving you're superiority over strangers in a virtual space?:win:

Well if so, this is the game for you. Sure, Armstrong is going to make stupid moves that give us all many more ulcers :cry:, and there is nothing we can do about it. But here, you can correctly predict which stupid moves he will make and win a prize*

*Small print: Not an actual prize, but, you know, bragging rights, which have no value in the real world but are worth their **weight in gold on an online forum. **Further small print: Bragging rights are weightless, and hence worthless

Rules :teach::

1. The first rule of Majorityof1's random last-minute overly-complicated off-season HF Blues Board Prediction Game is you do not talk about Majorityof1's random last-minute overly-complicated off-season HF Blues Board Prediction Game.
2. The second rule of ...:blah:...see Rule #1.
3. You can ignore rules 1 + 2, its not like this is fight club. Besides, how can you make a prediction if you can't talk about predictions.

The Real Rules :faq::
1. Make 3-5 picks and number them in descending order of likelihood (1 being most likely, 5 being least). Be detailed.
2. Blues RFA do not count. Only UFAs and offer sheets for other RFAs. Offer sheets must be signed for the prediction, but the other team's decision to match is irrelevant to this game
3. You must make a goaltender prediction
4. For trades, list all of the pieces, but mark the main piece on both sides in bold or some other way to make it clear. Example: Blues trade Sobotka, Kyrou, '19 first and '20 3rd for OReilly and ''19 2nd
5. For Free agent signing, list both term and AAV. Example, Bozak 4x$5M
6. Majorityof1 is the arbitrator of all rules, scoring and dispute resolution. Any grievance will be settled by a vote. Majorittyof1, being the majority of 1, will always cast the majority vote.
7. Submissions must be submitted by 11:55 PM EST on Saturday June 30. Any post edited after that time is void.
8. Scores will be tabulated on July 9th or there about. Any deal made after that time won't count
9. Have fun....or not, this one isn't a hard and fast rule
10. Ummm, I wanted 10 rules because...just because

Scoring :teach2::
- The first prediction is worth a max of 100 points, second is worth 85 and third is worth 60. The 4th and 5th are each worth 50.
- There is no penalty for missing the first 3 predictions, but missing 4th or 5th one completely carries a minus 15 point penalty

- Free agent Predictions:
0% of max score- Predicted Free agent does not sign
40% - Predicted Free agent signs, wrong on AAV
60% - Predicted Free agent signs, within 5% or $150K, whichever is less of AAV
80% - Predicted Free agent signs, within 5% or$150k of AAV, and either predicts term or exact AAV
100% - right player, right term, exact right AAV

Trade Predictions:
0% - Main player predicted the Blues acquiring is not acquired
50% - Blues predicted acquisition acquired (main piece)
75% - Acquisition acquired, main trade piece going back predicted (Mo1 has final say on "main piece")
100% - All trade pieces predicted including conditional picks
200% Get all of the above, and correctly predict DA's crazy conditions on the pick

Good luck and have fun
 
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Majorityof1

Registered User
Mar 6, 2014
8,348
6,899
Central Florida
Sample Predictions to show format (I am judge so cannot compete in game)

#1. Blues sign Patrick Maroon, 3 years @ $4.5M per year
#2. Blues trade for Ryan O'Reilly + 2019 2nd, Buffalo recieves Jordan Kyrou + 2019 1st + Vladimir Sobotka + Conditional 2020 3rd (becomes 2nd if Blues make Conference Finals)
#3. Blues sign Petr Mrzek, 1 year @ $1.25M
 
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Xanadude

Registered User
Jun 12, 2018
510
477
Ballwin
1. Blues trade Kyrou, Sobotka, 2019 1st and 2019 3rd for O'Reilly and 2019 2nd on July 1st
2. Blues sign Maroon in UFA 3 X 3.4 mill
3. Blues sign Chad Johnson in UFA 2 X 1 mill
4. Blues sign Brodziak in UFA 2 x 2.2 million
5. Blues trade Allen and Berglund to Edmonton for Lucic, Talbot and Kailer Yamamoto
 

Majorityof1

Registered User
Mar 6, 2014
8,348
6,899
Central Florida
1. Blues trade Kyrou, Sobotka, 2019 1st and 2019 3rd for O'Reilly and 2019 2nd on July 1st
2. Blues sign Maroon in UFA 3 X 3.4 mill
3. Blues sign Chad Johnson in UFA 2 X 1 mill
4. Blues sign Brodziak in UFA 2 x 2.2 million
5. Blues trade Allen and Berglund to Edmonton for Lucic, Talbot and Kailer Yamamoto

Thank you good sir. Your predictions are logged. I am rooting for you
 

Majorityof1

Registered User
Mar 6, 2014
8,348
6,899
Central Florida
1. Blues sign UFA Kyle Brodziak. 2 Years @ $2M/yr
2. Blues trade Sobotka, '19st, Thompson for Tyler Johnson
3. Blues trade Sanford to WASH for Pheonix Copley
4. Blues trade Petteri Lindbohm to MIN for Nate Prosser
5. Blues sign UFA C John Tavares! :P

Thank you. Your predictions are logged. I assume you meant a '19 1st in #2? Also I am already deducting points for #4 and 5. #4 because it may happen, but we will just lose him back to Minnesota on waivers and 5 because...Blues.
 

Stealth JD

Don't condescend me, man.
Sponsor
Jan 16, 2006
16,724
8,021
Bonita Springs, FL
1. Blues trade Kyrou, Sobotka, 2019 1st and 2019 3rd for O'Reilly and 2019 2nd on July 1st
2. Blues sign Maroon in UFA 3 X 3.4 mill
3. Blues sign Chad Johnson in UFA 2 X 1 mill
4. Blues sign Brodziak in UFA 2 x 2.2 million
5. Blues trade Allen and Berglund to Edmonton for Lucic, Talbot and Kailer Yamamoto

I am rooting for you

1. Blues sign UFA Kyle Brodziak. 2 Years @ $2M/yr
2. Blues trade Sobotka, '19 1st, Thompson for Tyler Johnson
3. Blues trade Sanford to WASH for Pheonix Copley
4. Blues trade Petteri Lindbohm to MIN for Nate Prosser
5. Blues sign UFA C John Tavares! :P

I am already deducting points

I'm sensing a slight bias from the judges...lol
 

Majorityof1

Registered User
Mar 6, 2014
8,348
6,899
Central Florida
I'm sensing a slight bias from the judges...lol

Oh shoot. I'll have to be more clear in my bias from here on if you are only detected a "slight" one lol Just kidding. I was rooting for Xanadude before because he was the only one to root for. But now I am rooting for you because then we get Tavares, TJ and Copley. That would be both awesome and hilarious. So go Stealth!!!!!!
 

pawnjohn

Registered User
Jan 27, 2017
59
67
1. Blues trade Kostin, Berglund, 2019 1st, and 2020 2nd for O'Reilly
2. Blues sign Brodziak to a 2 year/3 million for an AAV of 1.5/
3. Blues sign Maroon to 3 year/10 million for an AAV of 3.33/yr
4. Blues trade Allen + Sobotka to EDM for Lucic + Talbot + 2019 1st
5. Blues trade TT + Walman + 2019 2nd to TBL for Tyler Johnson
 

Brian39

Registered User
Apr 24, 2014
7,106
13,010
Can I use the same asset for multiple trades? For example, could I include Sobotka as a throw in for 3 predictions, accept that I'll miss points for two of them, but banking on getting points somewhere?
 
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Majorityof1

Registered User
Mar 6, 2014
8,348
6,899
Central Florida
Can I use the same asset for multiple trades? For example, could I include Sobotka as a throw in for 3 predictions, accept that I'll miss points for two of them, but banking on getting points somewhere?

Sure. Sounds like a viable strategy. Also think of this thread like the TV show "Who's line is it Anyways?" where they describe it in the opening as "The Game where everything's made up and the points don't matter anyway".
 

trevorftw

Voice of Reason
Sep 7, 2009
1,098
288
Saint Louis
1. Blues trade Kyrou, 2019 1st, 2019 2nd for ROR
2. Blues sign maroon 5 years 3.5m AAV
3. Blues sign Bernier 2 years 3m AAV
4. Blues trade Sobotka to NYI for 2019 2nd
5. Blues trade Parayko, Steen to BOS for Krejci, 2019 1st, 2019 2nd

Not saying I'd like them all to happen, just throwing out some guesses.
 

Brian39

Registered User
Apr 24, 2014
7,106
13,010
Sure. Sounds like a viable strategy. Also think of this thread like the TV show "Who's line is it Anyways?" where they describe it in the opening as "The Game where everything's made up and the points don't matter anyway".

That doesn't mean that I'm not going to try and game the imaginary system.
 
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Davimir Tarablad

Registered User
Sep 16, 2015
8,941
12,494
1) Trade Schmaltz, Thompson, 2019 1st, 2019 2nd for ROR.
2) Sign Maroon $3mil x 3yrs (I hate making this prediction)
3) Trade Sobotka to PIT for 2019 2nd.
4) Offer sheet Mark Stone $7.5mil x 6yrs.
5) Armstrong will find a way to not move a conditional pick this offseason.
 

Brian39

Registered User
Apr 24, 2014
7,106
13,010
1. Thompson, Walman, 2019 1st*, 2020 3rd, Sobotka for ROR.
*The pick is lottery protected plus we have the option to defer the pick to a 2020 1st if our selection falls on a prime number. If we choose to do so, we also forfeit a 2021 4th round pick but receive a 2023 5th round pick.

2. Blues sign G Kari Lehtonen to a 1 year, $1.75 million dollar contract. Ranksu has mixed emotions but ultimately blames Allen every time Lehtonen gets scored on.

3. Walman, Sobotka (50% retained), 2019 1st* for Tyler Johnson.
*For some reason, we also have to give up a 2020 1st round pick on top of our 2019 1st if we miss the playoffs and win the lottery next year. If we miss the playoffs and lose the lottery, we only have to give up a 2nd round pick. If we make the playoffs, we get to keep our 2019 1st and give up a 2019 2nd instead. Stevie Y insisted on these conditions and is later seen lingering in the hallways at the Enterprise Center with a lead pipe during a Blues 'captains only' meeting. After brutally injuring Petro and Tarasenko, he runs away, maniacally screaming something about how we had a bunch of picks and then lost them. The fanbase overwhelming blames Army for not signing Reaves to the 4 year deal he asked for, lamenting the fact that he should have been there to protect his buddies.

4. Blues sign Tyler Bozak, 3 years at $6.5 mil AAV. And the fanbase is whelmed.

5. In the most important move of the summer, Bill Armstrong's contract is renewed for 3 years. If the judges won't count this as a valid prediction (which is outrageous since he's not an RFA), then I guess Gunnar for a 4th.
 

CitizenSnips

TheFightingMongooses
Nov 23, 2011
616
111
St. Louis
1. Blues trade Kyrou, 2019 1st, 2019 2nd for ROR
2. Blues sign maroon 5 years 3.5m AAV

3. Blues sign Bernier 2 years 3m AAV
4. Blues trade Sobotka to NYI for 2019 2nd
5. Blues trade Parayko, Steen to BOS for Krejci, 2019 1st, 2019 2nd

Not saying I'd like them all to happen, just throwing out some guesses.
Bolded/Underlined made me LOL
 

Falco Lombardi

Registered User
Nov 17, 2011
23,176
8,467
St. Louis, MO
1. Blues sign Tyler Bozak to a 4 year, 22.5 million dollar deal
2. Blues sign Patrick Maroon to a 3 year, 11 million dollar deal
3. Blues trade a 2019 first to Philadelphia for Brian Elliott
4. Schlafly Brewery signs Falco Lombardi to a lifetime contract
 

CaliforniaBlues310

Registered User
Apr 9, 2013
4,559
3,516
San Pedro, CA.
1. Blues trade Parayko+Sobotka+Thompson+2019 2nd+2020 3rd to BUF for ROR+Nylander+Bogosian+2019 4th(I somehow expect this)
2. Blues sign Hansen to 2yr/$3.5mil contract.
3. Blues trade Berglund+2020 2nd to ANA for Silfverberg
4. Blues sign Mrazek to 1yr/2.25 mil deal.
5. Blues trade Gunnarsson to NYI for 2019 3rd


Steen-O’Reilly-Tarasenko
Schwartz-Schenn-Nylander/Kyrou
Fabbri-Thomas-Silfverberg
Soshnikov-Barbashev-Hansen
Jaskin, Sundqvist

Edmundson-Pietrangelo
Dunn-Bogosian
Bouwmeester-Schmaltz
Bortuzzo

Allen
Mrazek
 
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Frenzy31

Registered User
May 21, 2003
7,195
2,008
I will take a crack at this.

1. Blues sign Bozak for 4 years 4.25 million AVA.
2. Blues sign Maroon 3 year 3.75 million
3. Blues trade Sobi and 2019 2nd to Carolina for Skinner
4. Blues sign Johnson for 1 year 1.5 million
 

PiggySmalls

Oink Oink MF
Mar 7, 2015
6,107
3,516
Some really close guesses on the ROR trade. Well done to those, shows how knowledgeable many of the posters are.
 

BlueDream

Registered User
Aug 30, 2011
25,779
14,194
1. Blues trade Thompson, Berglund, Sobotka, 1st, 2nd for Ryan O'Reilly
2. Blues sign Tyler Bozak - 3 years, 5 mil per
3. Blues sign David Perron - 4 years, 4 mil per
4. Blues sign Chad Johnson - 1 year, 1.75 mil
5. Blues will probably sign some depth guys, I don't really care about this one lol I'm just gonna guess Tyler Wotherspoon and Brian Flynn idk

Finally got internet access after it being down for the past 48 hours. But I gotta go to bed, I guess I'll wake up tomorrow to see how close I am.
 

Borderbluesfan

Registered User
Nov 14, 2011
2,438
1,139
Columbia, Missouri
1. Blues trade Thompson, Berglund, Sobotka, 1st, 2nd for Ryan O'Reilly
2. Blues sign Tyler Bozak - 3 years, 5 mil per
3. Blues sign David Perron - 4 years, 4 mil per
4. Blues sign Chad Johnson - 1 year, 1.75 mil
5. Blues will probably sign some depth guys, I don't really care about this one lol I'm just gonna guess Tyler Wotherspoon and Brian Flynn idk

Finally got internet access after it being down for the past 48 hours. But I gotta go to bed, I guess I'll wake up tomorrow to see how close I am.
LOL!!
 

brokeu91

Registered User
Jul 4, 2017
1,178
1,635
Rhode Island
1. Blues trade Thompson, Berglund, Sobotka, 1st, 2nd for Ryan O'Reilly
2. Blues sign Tyler Bozak - 3 years, 5 mil per
3. Blues sign David Perron - 4 years, 4 mil per
4. Blues sign Chad Johnson - 1 year, 1.75 mil
5. Blues will probably sign some depth guys, I don't really care about this one lol I'm just gonna guess Tyler Wotherspoon and Brian Flynn idk

Finally got internet access after it being down for the past 48 hours. But I gotta go to bed, I guess I'll wake up tomorrow to see how close I am.
Lmaof
 

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