Ghosts Beer
I saw Goody Fletcher with the Devil!
- Feb 10, 2014
- 22,590
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Considering the source of the question, I’d assume facetiousness.
Considering the source of the question, I’d assume facetiousness.
Right. I don't think it's a black and white issue, nor would I use something like that over a number of other metrics to illustrate overall Shot Quality. They've actually been generating a higher quality of Shots this year. Last time I looked, it was their biggest ES plus.
I'm not positive since it was ~6 weeks ago, but IIRC I did that because there was some discussion as to whether or not there were other teams that emphasized those types of Shots as much.
Fangraphs said:WAR is not meant to be a perfectly precise indicator of a player’s contribution, but rather an estimate of their value to date. Given the imperfections of some of the available data and the assumptions made to calculate other components, WAR works best as an approximation. A 6 WAR player might be worth between 5.0 and 7.0 WAR, but it is pretty safe to say they are at least an All-Star level player and potentially an MVP.
One thing I think the hockey community does an extremely poor job of articulating is degrees of certainty. To illustrate what I would like to see, here's an excerpt from Fangraphs' WAR primer written in 2010:
I wish we talked more about scale and certainty. And definitely more about how "good" players will have "bad" years and vice versa.
The only thing that upsets me about this, is that I know that's going to be a better meal than the KFC I can find along North Broad St between 66th Ave and Girard Ave. I kind of want KFC now, but if I go to one, I know it's gonna suck.Looks fancy to me.
This isn't exactly "advanced." But does anyone happen to have average save percentages for starting goalies and backup goalies this year and last?
Or is this something I'd have to try to grind out myself?
I was just looking around for that and I think you are gonna have to grind it out..or look on some of the stat nerds on twitters feeds to see if they tweeted anything about it.
This made me laugh:
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*Teams actually listen to, take suggestions from, implement said suggestions, & construct rosters with the help of their analytics departments*
I'm not a fan of Micah. I like some of his models but I don't like some of the statements he makes based on his models. He thinks his models are the end-all-be-all for player evaluation.
Alright, the results are in. Last time I did this was many years ago, probably 2012 or 2013, and I didn't have Excel. So this was WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY easier. These numbers are only from 2018-2019.
Starting goalies faced 51,846 shots, stopping 47,304. Average: .912
Backups faced 24,951 shots, stopping 22,624. Average: .906
People are very upset about his tweet when Provorov signed his new deal in September. As far as shot attempts and shot attempt suppression performance by Provorov to date....he wasn’t wrong. There’s clearly more to a players total output than simply shot differential. Came across to me that Micah was only referring to Provorov’s shot attempt performance to date.
*My perception could be wrong though*
Provy's numbers by his shot charts are great this year. Shot attempts for is +3% against league average (team without him is -6%) and shots against is -16% (team is -3%).People are very upset about his tweet when Provorov signed his new deal in September. As far as shot attempts and shot attempt suppression performance by Provorov to date....he wasn’t wrong. There’s clearly more to a players total output than simply shot differential. Came across to me that Micah was only referring to Provorov’s shot attempt performance to date.
*My perception could be wrong though*
Lower than I expected.