Series Discussion: First Round matchup Jets vs Wild

Discussion in 'Winnipeg Jets' started by Dayofthedogs, Mar 11, 2018.

?

Who will win this series?

  1. Jets in 4

    5.6%
  2. Jets in 5

    37.2%
  3. Jets in 6

    42.8%
  4. Jets in 7

    7.0%
  5. Wild in 4

    0.5%
  6. Wild in 5

    1.9%
  7. Wild in 6

    3.3%
  8. Wild in 7

    1.9%
  1. White Out 403

    White Out 403 I'm usually right.

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    Oh god. Just... just stop lol. Holy smokes.
     
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  2. Jet

    Jet Patty Cilantro

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    But, has Maurice (or will he in the playoffs) scratch BOTH Tanev and Hendricks?

    I don't think so.
     
  3. Ducky10

    Ducky10 President Patrik Laine Fan Club Sponsor

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    Why? They're historical failures. Hope for a 7 game series where his teams are a whopping 1-7 in game sevens. His last season with the Ducks was his deepest playoff run, but I don't think his current team is as good as that one was.
     
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  4. 10Ducky10

    10Ducky10 Registered User

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    There should be more teams worried about meeting the Jets than vice versa.
    I want to see a healthy team for the playoffs and I think it matters more than where we finish as long as we are in.
     
  5. Howard Chuck

    Howard Chuck Registered User Sponsor

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    I agree. A healthy Jets will match anyone imo. I don’t care where we line up as long as we’re 100%
     
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  6. behemolari

    behemolari Registered User

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    What? No! There is no absolutely no reason to presume wild is easy one, they have been constantly threat at playoffs only to lose against best of teams like Chicago, Dallas, StLouis they have talented well structured team with lot of post season experience. I would say Wild has advantage agains Jets.
     
  7. MrBoJangelz71

    MrBoJangelz71 Registered User

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    Or just carry on with your false narrative, facts do tend to kill a good story.
     
  8. Wolf357

    Wolf357 Registered User

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    Minnesota..Road whiteout!
    Honestly don’t care as to who we play as far as being matched..I think the Jets can dance with any team in the west..
    Personally please no California teams...I have to get up for work at 4:00am the 9:30/10:00 start times with OT is freakin killer on me..
    Plus in the first round the NHL will make some of our home games start at 9:30 as well...
     
  9. Dayofthedogs

    Dayofthedogs Bettman's hammer

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    I've decided to compare 4th lines first. The image is taken from Bill Comeau's hockey tables using the SKATR table. If anyone wants to learn more about it please go to his site and read the relevant glossaries.

    All stats are from corsica and are 5vs5 adjusted and per 60 or per hour. Example goals is individual G/60. REL means relative to team.

    Forwards are compared to forwards and dmen to dmen. Therefore any forward registering above 50% (in the blue) ranks in the 'Top 6" in that particular category.

    Blue and closer to 100 = good

    Red and closer to 0 = bad

    I have both projected 4 lines in this graph and decided to add Brandon Tanev for fun. I sorted the graph in order of CF% with best being furthest left and worst being furthest right.


    Thoughts:

    Adam Lowry is a mother****ing Beast!!! He ranks as a top 6 forward in every single catagory this season except both assist catagories and individual shots. If Lowry is able to return to form for the playoffs we are essentially adding a 2C scoring center with the defensive acumen of Patrice Bergeron to the line up. All 4 Jets have been buried in the Dzone for their starts and done very well spending most of the time in the Ozone. Joel Armia is really good too.

    Basically the Jets probably 4th line annihilates the Wild 4th on paper.

    Biggest surprise:

    Andrew Copp has not been great. For a guy touted as an offensive Adam Lowry with upside he's performed like a mediocre Brandon Tanev.

    Meanwhile it appears that a real case could be made for starting Brandon Tanev over Copp. Look at Tanev's penalty differential. With a powerplay like the Jets have this could be a real advantage for playing him ahead of Copp

     
  10. Peggy

    Peggy Registered User

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    shouldn't the playoff experience part be more on the coach/management than the players?

    Maurice has been in the playoffs and should know what to expect and prepare the players for that

    obviously players need to experience it to, but really it should be on the coach
    the guys have played a 60 minute game before. it's not like ufc where you're used to fighting 3 rounds and you're fighting 5


    if the jets lose in the first round it's on the coach, not the players' lack of playoff experience
     
    Last edited: Mar 13, 2018
  11. Dayofthedogs

    Dayofthedogs Bettman's hammer

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    You've already determined who's at fault for a (potential) first round loss without a game being played.... rich.
     
  12. DashingDane

    DashingDane Registered User

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    Yes and no imo. A coach needs to prepare them as much as possible but there will be nerves regardless. The majority of the team has never played NHL PO hockey and the rest got swept last time they were there. I think a very experienced team could take advantage of that especially in the 1st round.

    If they loose round one it will be on everybody. Not just the coach...
     
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  13. Analyst365

    Analyst365 Registered User

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  14. Peggy

    Peggy Registered User

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    absolutely. I already believe in this roster.
    if helle plays bad than it's on helle
    but if it's 3on3 OT and you play buff for 5 minutes and buff makes a bad play than it's on Maurice
    and yes I'm aware there's no 3 on 3, but I think you get my point

    this roster is better than any team in the central besides Nashville
    so I believe it'll be up to the coaching to make those adjustments

    so if the jets lose in the first round who would be favourites to who'm ever they play it would be an upset and would be on the coaches decisions

    I'll only agree with that on the very first game .
    most players have already dealt with high stakes in tournaments during their junior years

    this would Maurices 2nd time in the playoffs with the jets and another first round exit.
    you can't afford to not put it on him
     
  15. Dayofthedogs

    Dayofthedogs Bettman's hammer

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    Now the third lines


    Quick thought:

    Matty P is amazing at hockey. He's the class of this group, registering as a top line forward in just about every category. Nino has also been very good for the Wild. The Jets once again outpace the Wild pretty much across the board. Bryan Little and Roslo have had their weaknesses but generally rank as top 6 forwards.

    Joel Armia has a case to move up to the third line over Roslo with a healthy lineup.
     
  16. Dayofthedogs

    Dayofthedogs Bettman's hammer

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    What happens if there are key injuries? What if Dubnyk hangs a .950 on the Jets despite outclassing them? The wild aren't slouches if you haven't been paying attention
     
  17. Dayofthedogs

    Dayofthedogs Bettman's hammer

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    2nd lines


    Quick Thoughts:

    Wow. If you want to get the most out of Laine, playing with these 2 guys is gonna help! Both Ehlers and Stastny make up for Laine's shortcomings. As a hole once again these 3 outclass their Wild counterparts.
     
  18. Dayofthedogs

    Dayofthedogs Bettman's hammer

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    1st lines


    Quick Thoughts:

    Finally the Wild hold an edge. It's clear their top line is a very good group of players and they have gotten dumped in the dzone and played a high quality of competition. The problem for the Wild will be the fact that they can probably only expect this line to outproduce their Jets counterparts. Odds are it wont be enough as the Jets hold the advantage in the Forward department.
     
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  19. Aavco Cup

    Aavco Cup "I can make you cry in this room"

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    Up to 58% now

    [​IMG]
     
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  20. HPsauce

    HPsauce Registered User

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    Now it's looking like Colorado is the hot team, and will catch Minne..

    Anyone else worried about playing MacKinnon in a 7 game series?
     
  21. Eyeseeing

    Eyeseeing Sarcasm just another service we offer

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    Yes
    Id much rather play the Wild than the Avs with Nate
     
  22. Aavco Cup

    Aavco Cup "I can make you cry in this room"

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    Not worried about playing any team in the entire NHL.

    What worries me is team health and keeping players in the lineup
     
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  23. Howard Chuck

    Howard Chuck Registered User Sponsor

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    This pretty much sums up my thoughts on this as well.
     
  24. winnipegger

    winnipegger Registered User

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    The reason I think the Jets stand a good chance of winning the first round: All of Colorado, Minny and Dallas (most likely matchups) are 1 line teams. The Jets real strength is depth. If Lowry and Scheifele are healthy it's really not even close. Send out Adam Lowry to deal with the other teams best and the Jets other 3 lines will eat the other team alive.
     
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  25. Aavco Cup

    Aavco Cup "I can make you cry in this room"

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