No worries. One thing that stuck out to me was DB calling out the $27M number as why a Dubois buyout wasn't likely. So, I looked at the buyout calculator year by year for the term of the deal, and the numbers are interesting.
Year | Total Cost (M$) | Total Savings (M$) |
2024 (25 years old) | 15.8 | 31.7 |
2024 (26 years old) | 31.7 | 15.8 |
2025 | 26.3 | 13.2 |
2026 | 20.9 | 10.5 |
2027 | 16.2 | 8.1 |
2028 | 12.3 | 6.2 |
2029 | 8.4 | 4.2 |
2030 | 4.5 | 2.3 |
The 1/3 vs 2/3 buyout is a significant factor.
I’m always one to look on the bright side and it could easily be said I’m overly optimistic. The handling of QB at times and prospect development in 22/23 is where my faith started to ebb away (even if I had some concerns sooner). However it’s been an absolute struggle to feel positive this year.
I had hoped to at least see some improvement in PLD as he settled. Just to see a bit more jump and focus in his game but it never arrived. I just don’t see where the improvement comes unless he suddenly gets some production because his line mates feed him. I don’t expect a no1 C out of him but he needs do be a solid 2c.
Whilst I can think of some very contrived possible scenarios where he steps up (right coach, system and line mates) it’s not probable. No should it be necessary. My natural instinct would normally be to give another year before judgement, I just don’t see any improvement being on the cards.
I don’t think they will buy him out but they should if 1/3 is on the cards. Otherwise they should move him for anything with a fairly big retention likely required.
It’s a shame/frustration because he has the tools to be a top 20 C. A clear example of why intangibles are so important.