St. Louis/Winnipeg matchup comparison coming soon?
vs
CENTRES: Crosby and MacKinnon is an absolute wash, and then it gets super tight for me. Dubois is a pretty elite two-way C and Elias Lindholm is a bit less effective at C than he would be at wing, so I'd take Dubois here. Hintz would be faster than the veteran Koivu though and that would cause some issue. Ultimately, because Crosby is the experienced guy and Dubois is the 3rd best C up, I'll take
ST. LOUIS by a hair.
LEFT WINGS: I don't know if I love the depth of either team's left side - I think DeBrincat + Kane both will do plenty of damage with the Cs they play with, beyond that I'd probably take Pearson + Ritchie's upside over Sheary or Greenway at this time, so I'll go
WINNIPEG here.
RIGHT WINGS: Voracek is the best of the RWs, but then i'd take Rakell + Zuccarello over Mikheyev. I like the veteran Alex Steen in a playoff role here over Nolan Patrick not playing C, but I'm going to call this one fairly even because I do think Voracek has the advantage as the best RW and it's not like the depth behind him is that bad while St. Louis is deep and well-rounded as well. Winnipeg probably has better upside too.
EVEN.
DEFENSE: Both top pairs are pretty solid - Orlov-McAvoy from a shutdown POV and Provorov-Burns from an all-around POV, and Winnipeg's is probably better on offensive upside but McAvoy was much better defensively than Burns this year at 5v5, I think it would end up somewhat even in the goal differential overall, less GF and GA for STL, WPG more GF and GA. I think what tips the scale in the
WINNIPEG direction is I like a Cole-Severson second pair better to handle top 4 minutes than a Gardiner-Myers pairing in the playoffs, Cole has that playoff toughness and Severson can move the puck well enough despite flawed D ability. Gardiner-Myers isn't as bad as people say but it's not going to hold up as well as the Jets pairing. I thought about the "what about Montour on the 2nd pairing, does that change it?" argument, which may give STL a boost, but Severson and Montour are pretty comparable and I'd still probably take Cole over Gardiner then.
GOALIE:
ST. LOUIS - I am finding it hard to trust Rinne right now, given his season on the penalty kill and overall poor numbers. John Gibson's numbers aren't great either but the Ducks are pretty bad, and Gibson is still in his prime to steal a game or two.
VERDICT: I think there's a slight advantage in trustable two-way depth in St. Louis but Winnipeg has a slight D advantage with their puckmoving upside, it's a really close series - but what tips the scale for me in a close series is being able to trust Gibson and not being able to trust Rinne, so I'll go
ST. LOUIS IN 7. I'd usually say "when in doubt, go with the best player" but Crosby and MacKinnon are both going to bring it, there really is no gap there.
vs
CENTRES: Tavares and Pettersson is a wash for me, Hischier and Getzlaf is kind of a wash too just difference in style between veteran and youngster. I guess for me it's then between who I'd rather have between Faksa and Zajac? Which I guess Zajac? Also to help me tip a close scale, Getzlaf I still think would have the old man strength advantage over Hischier.
NJ
LEFT WINGS: I think Garland and Kase are comparable, Lee and Granlund are too but I'd slightly prefer Lee, Foligno is definitely better than Blais, I'd probably take Ennis over Helm today. Tight call, I guess
CAROLINA based on better production this season.
RIGHT WINGS: Wheeler is the best here and would be over Oshie, I love Williams but Bjorkstrand is the better player today, I'm going
CAROLINA
DEFENSE: I'd take Hamilton slightly over Werenski, McDonagh and Trouba are comparable but I'd slightly prefer Trouba. I think the Sanheim-Muzzin pairing is much better than Scandella-Vatanen so advantage
NJ
GOALIE: Both guys are pretty unproven frankly, Jarry has more experience, Shesterkin has higher upside, this to me is
EVEN
VERDICT: I'm going to say
New Jersey in 7 - Cs are comparable, LWs are comparable, goalies are comparable, Carolina has an RW advantage but NJ's D advantage on the 2nd pair is the most discernible showing of depth to me and tips the scale.
vs
CENTRES: I prefer Zibanejad to Kuznetsov, Krejci to Trocheck, gotta take
TAMPA BAY
LEFT WINGS: I think the offensive upside of Johnson/Donato trumps the Foligno/Foegele duo of TBL, even if Kreider holds a slight advantage over DeBrusk. I'm taking
MONTREAL
RIGHT WINGS: Stone and Pastrnak is a wash, I mean come on. I think Toffoli and Kapanen is almost a wash but I kinda prefer Toffoli, Kahun and Byron are close...I mean this one I may take to the 4th line because Okposo is a much better player than Weal so...
TAMPA BAY
DEFENSE: Klefbom-Weber slightly ahead of OEL-Petry, I really like the Dillon-Hronek pairing and I think it has more upside than Edmundson-Andersson so I'm going
TAMPA BAY
GOALIE: Raanta is really good, but I'd trust Markstrom a bit more if his team was underwater in shots during a game.
MONTREAL
VERDICT: I'm going Tampa Bay in 7, it's a close matchup but Tampa Bay has a bit better defensive ability especially at C and a bit on D.