Tough one. It definitely is fair value. Who else are you keeping or thinking about keeping?
Well, it's sort of a mess. Let me preface this by saying that I am anticipating that this draft will feature a number of very good players, as this is probably the 5th or 6th year of the league, and we use an increasing salary system, so many stars already have astronomical prices, and I think we're at a tipping point. Basically it works such that the player's salary increases by the number of years you've had him, so for example I've had Goldschmidt 5 years, last year he was 32, this year he'll be 37, and next year he'll be 43.
For comparison's sake, Trout will be 69 next year... so I anticipate he's going back in the draft. Long story, but we had a small money hoarding problem which we slowly put a stop to two years ago, and this shapes up to be the year that I think will be a tipping point. Goldschmidt at 37 is probably a touch on the premium, but my gut is that he won't go for any cheaper than that in the draft, and since I have some good savings elsewhere, I lean towards keeping him. Here's the rest of the likely keepers with some other possibilities below:
Goldy 37
Taillon 8
Benintendi 9
Hoskins 10 [Not yet 1B eligible for some reason, though that will quickly change]
Buehler 2
Carrasco 21
Bieber 2
I think I'm firm on those 7, after which I have some decisions, but I'm thinking:
Clevinger 11
Morton 6
Adames 2
The other guys who could be in the mix:
Acuna 24
Castellanos 18 [RF eligible only, he was my 3B last year]
Rivero 5 [Almost definitely not, decent value price but no point in keeping RPs]
Boegarts 22
The decisions with Boegarts/Adames and Acuna are tough. Acuna's price is just a touch too high I think, but maybe not...if he's a top 10 OF, then that is a good deal, but if he's a top 30 OF, then I should be able to get a much better value in the draft. Boegarts is probably worth 22, and keeping Adames over him could be foolish, but I'd rather take the savings. Castellanos has good value and RF is a difficult position to find someone for, but I'll work that out at the draft.
So I guess if I flipped Taillon, I'd have $6 of savings, and could basically make a decision about keeping Goldy vs keeping both Boegarts and Acuna. A lot to think about, since Goldy can be MVP level, but I like that option more now that I've typed this all out. It would also even up my pitcher/batter keepers at 5/5 -- I wasn't really thinking I'd keep Morton, but at that price in a league where we have to staff too many pitchers, it's difficult to pass up.
I'm leaning more towards taking it, but still unsure about his playing time... as a side note, the guy trying to trade me has Bregman, Gregorius, Baez, and Andujar, so his 3B/Util (2 spots) are pretty clogged up, though Baez is also 2B eligible of course. He's got a ton of good offensive players and his only good pitcher is Cole. I might try and counter to see if he'd give up Bregman ($7). It's a reach, but he's been after Taillon forever, and I think Taillon is still moving towards his ceiling, including in things that show up more in fantasy like Ks.