Because after dominating SHL there is zero reason to dump him in ahl. Canucks orga seems clear about this also.
.......
pretty remarkable going from 88% to 83% in this case.
Pettersson wont see any AHL time. Mark my words.
On the idea that he won't see any time in the AHL, you are almost certainly correct. I only see it happening if he simply isn't strong enough to compete- and then the "sky will be falling" as so many people get nervous. I agree with you, something terrible or ongoing dreadful play would have to occur before he gets sent somewhere- and at that point, I think there would be a push from his camp to give him a chance gain confidence by being sent back to Sweden rather than the AHL (would be a big miss in my view). Regardless, it is almost certain the Canucks will give him every possible benefit of the doubt to play in the NHL right off the bat.
The kid is such a talent that he should be playing in the NHL; certainly if two things were to be in place- he is stronger/healthy to train all summer before start of camp and the Canucks have an environment and line mates who could both protect/insulate and play off of him. We will see if he comes in healthy and stronger, but it is clear right now that the Canucks have nobody to help him to succeed.
Though, there most certainly is more than zero reasons to play/support him the AHL (as opposed to dumping him there- I don't understand your characterization in this case and situation):
1) The players he is going to be asked to play with in Vancouver will almost certainly not be players who will compliment him for offensive success. He is unlikely to be playing with Bo and Brock off the start, as EP is not ready to face number one pair D and shutdown NHL players. He will have to be brought out as secondary offence (sheltered a little to start), but with who? IMO, his line mates in this team at this time will be more like anchors than drivers of offence. Unless moves are made to change things, I am guessing it will be Sutter and Ericsson types (now that they have brought in guys to fill the tougher minutes Sutter was taking up all of last year). These guys will protect him defensively as well as any, but he isn't going to succeed offensively with them feeding him the puck for one timers (does Sutter even pass the puck?). They certainly are not going to be there to finish his passes either. The kind of opposition he faces and the line mates he plays with are clearly an important consideration for his development. In my view there is an argument that he would be better off for a short time facing slightly less difficult opposition while playing with more like minded players.
2) As a percentage, my guess is so few players transition from wing to centre in the NHL. It happens, but way more often, players who start on the wing stay on the wing, even after multiple attempts trying to transition. One could argue it doesn't matter if EP is a centre or not. My argument is that it does, especially based on the makeup of this team moving forward. We will forever be in search of a centre to play with him or we could have him as a centre who can feed and play off a guy like Brock. That pair could make a fantastic number one line in the near future. Therefore, reason number 2 to start him as a centre in the AHL is to allow him to take important development steps as a centre down there. And as mentioned, he would get offensive line mates (or appropriate players to play with), and take number one centre duties in a league that would allow him to have some NA success before making the jump. He could grow together with the type of players who could step into an offensive/sheltered NHL line 2 scenario very quickly- maybe even before the end of the year.
3) Reason three is it would keep him away from the dumpster fire this is going to be in Vancouver again this year. Utica could have some success, some fun, and great weight room and skill development time while he adapts to life in North America. On the contrary to your statement of him being "dumped" into the AHL, I think it might be worse that he is "Dumped" into the NHL.
Now, here I have shown 3 of many other reasons that would support the AHL. Clearly there is an argument for it. But yes, it is clear that he is both wanted, needed, and marketable in Vancouver. The chances of this management team making a decision to "support his development by allowing him time to develop in Utica" is almost zero, but not because there is zero reason to do it. Your words are marked, and it is a pretty safe and clear position to take, but I am one who believes it probably isn't best for him to start in the NHL under these conditions.