Prospect Info: Devils Draft Recap 2019 (Rounds 1 through 4)

StevenToddIves

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Round 1 (1st overall) C Jack Hughes, US-NTDP what else is there to do but to celebrate? Hughes' ability to not only see the ice/pass/puckhandle/enter the zone at an elite, almost generational level but to do all of these things at a billion miles per hour is a trait which only comes along once or twice a generation. Quite simply, he changes the entire pace and scope of the game every time he hits the ice, and he changes the Devils future path similarly for the better. Buy your jersey before they sell out, he's the second-line center next season and the benefits will be reaped immediately. Grade A+

Round 2 (61st overall) LD Nikita Okhotyuk, Ottawa-OHL after a litany of trades which seemingly turned the Devils three second-round picks into PK Subban and about 46,000 later-round picks, Ray Shero and Paul Castron immediately set out to address the Devils organizational black hole of physical, defensive-minded defensemen. The young Belarussian is very physical and strong at 6'1-195, but also plays with great discipline and intelligence. He rarely takes minors quite simply because he's rarely beaten, playing an advanced and mature positional game with excellent gap control. Unlike many D of his ilk, Okhotyuk skates very well, and it is difficult for even the speediest of forwards to beat him outside. He may have been a bit of a reach in the second, due to the fact that he has negligible offensive upside and needs to work on being a bit mistake prone with the puck when under heavy forechecking pressure. In all honesty, my pick here would have been a high-upside forward like Dorofeyev, Legare or Grewe. Yet, while this pick was not a home run, it was nice to see the Devils braintrust realize the need to get heavier on the back-end, and to be able to achieve such without getting a slow-footed, brutish grenade handler. Grade: B

Round 3 (70th overall) LD Daniil Misyul, Yaroslavl, MHL
with their third pick, the Devils moved from Belarus to Russia but took another young, big (6'3-180) LD. This time, they knocked it out of the park. Not only is Misyul a superior skater, puck handler, passer and shooter than most defensive-minded D, but he also hits like a freight train and fears absolutely nothing on the ice. His projectable frame should be around 200-210 lbs by the time he hits the NHL in two to three years, and if his offensive abilities develop he has the potential to be a physical, shut-down guy with 40+ point upside -- or, the prototypical #2 NHL defenseman. If there are any warts on his game, it's that Misyul is overly aggressive at times and can take bad penalties. His shot can also use some work, but will certainly gain some power with a few years of development and time in the weight room. Ultimately, he's a huge value as a potential 2/3 D in the third round. Grade: A+

Round 3 (80th overall) RW Graeme Clarke, Ottawa-OHL
the Devils drafted their first pair of teammates in the 2019 draft, and it would not be their last. Clarke is a rare player in that he only has two plus tools -- shot and hands -- and the rest of his game grades out as average across the board. But those two skills? Oh, wow. Before the draft, a friend of mine asked me who had the best shot in the draft after the obvious top 3 of Caufield, Kaliyev and Kakko. I said Clarke. He said, who? Well, here's who -- if Graeme Clarke can even become a decent enough all-around player to earn a bottom 6 RW role in the NHL, he can become almost a power play/shootout specialist. This is a guy who can be an immense weapon from the circles on the man up in almost an Ovechkin/Tarasenko sense. But again -- temper your expectations, because the rest of his game needs a lot of work in order for Clarke to get there. Grade: B+

Round 3 (82nd overall) LD Michael Vukojevic, Kitchener-OHL
I was honestly surprised by this pick in that the Devils had already taken two defensive-minded, physical LD in their previous three picks. Again, in all honesty, I would have used this pick to take a high upside forward like Cajkovic or Spiridonov or Teply or Donovan. But let's look at what we have in Vukojevic -- one of the best shut-down D in the OHL. He's 6'3-205 and will get bigger, and he's already incredibly strong and tough as nails. He's got plus-plus strength, which is to say that he's not just beating up on smaller forwards in the OHL, in a few years he will be enough of a beast to beat up on all-star forwards in the NHL. That's something crucial, especially in the post-season, but Vukojevic will need to improve on some areas of his game in order to make the NHL, likely as a third-pairing D. Like many players of his ilk, his skating can certainly use improvement. His offensive skills are negligible at best, but it must be stated that he is extremely smart and calm with the puck, rarely making a mental error or untimely turnover. He's just that big, safe guy you pair with an offensive-minded RD; a guy who clears creases and wins puck battles and stands up for his teammates and is loved by his goaltenders and coaches. Grade: B

Round 4 (96 overall) RW Tyce Thompson, Providence College, NCAA
this pick puzzled me. Thompson is tall but reed-thin, skates pretty well for his physique, and has a pretty good shot. His production was decent for an NCAA freshman without jumping off the page. My caveat is that Thompson is an overager who was not on anyone's draft radar -- he would have been a wiser pick in the 7th round than the 4th. There were still a ton of upside forwards available here, not just the aforementioned Reply/Spiridonov/Donovan but also character guys I loved like Janicke and Washkurak. Let's hope I'm wrong on this and Thompson is a diamond in the very rough. Grade: D-

Round 4 (118 overall) RD Case McCarthy, US-NTDP
sometimes you get exactly what you need. The Devils entered the 2019 draft with the two biggest organizational needs being physical, shut-down D and, especially, RD with mid-pairing or better potential. With McCarthy, they not only got both, but they got them at an incredible value with the 118th pick. In the U18 tourney, McCarthy was probably the best D on Team USA this side of Cam York -- his skating was better than advertised, his puck skills were better than advertised, his physicality and shut-down acumen were precisely as brilliant as advertised. He probably did not lose a one-on-one battle all tournament long, routinely dominating battles all tourney long with highly rated forwards from Peyton Krebs to Patrick Puistola to Vasili Podkolzin. He's destined to be a beast on the PK, and the guy the coach wants out there to protect a one-goal lead late. Despite having pedestrian offensive upside, it must be noted that McCarthy skates extremely well and can flash the occasional tape-to-tape stretch pass. Where he shines, however, is in the defensive zone -- quite simply, his mix of physicality, strength, positional excellence and high intelligence makes life miserable for any opposing forward whenever he's on the ice. His lauded leadership qualities and high compete level make McCarthy can't-miss as an NHL third-pairing guy, but he has the upside as a guy who can ride shotgun 20+ minutes per game with your #1D. Grade: A+

 

TheDuke93

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@StevenToddIves Thank you for both of your write ups STI and for the sake of not having the same conversation 12 times, I will say I absolutely LOVED how the past two days turned out and expect us to look back as a day that changed the franchise forever. Also, I am 100% certain you work in the Devils department to some capacity and just bar-tend to lay low and be incognito. :sarcasm:
 

StevenToddIves

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@StevenToddIves Thank you for both of your write ups STI and for the sake of not having the same conversation 12 times, I will say I absolutely LOVED how the past two days turned out and expect us to look back as a day that changed the franchise forever. Also, I am 100% certain you work in the Devils department to some capacity and just bar-tend to lay low and be incognito. :sarcasm:

Thanks again!

I must say that if I worked for the Devils, I'd be required to have Thompson ranked higher.
 

HobokenIrish

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Thanks again!

I must say that if I worked for the Devils, I'd be required to have Thompson ranked higher.

STI, thank you for all of your posts. The level of detail you provided on prospects has me more informed than I ever would have been. And as a result I am beyond fired about about the Devils future

Someone needs to hire you for this or at least tell us what bar you work at so people can overtip you when in the area
 

longislanddevil

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As always, I’m seriously impressed by your thorough and detailed analysis on all these prospects. How can we get you a job and have Pierre McGuire removed? Lol...If I have to hear the condescending “The Russian” phrase one more time, I’m going to lose it. These kids have names and are people. I expect more professionalism and research done by the media. It feels like there are too many who put on a poor facade and masquerade as being informed draft experts when they are anything but that. Please take this as a supreme compliment, Steven, as I mean it as more of a “I’m a big fan of your work” rather than an indictment on various NHL analysts (despite my loathing of some so-called big names that cover hockey, there are great ones as well such as Bob McKenzie)- it is evident how much work, research and effort you put into the draft and your passion for talking hockey shines through even on just a message board. I’ll be an avid supporter and follower of yours wherever you go. You have the talent to do this for a living!!

I do not profess to be an expert on the draft or most of these prospects so I’ll defer to the folks like you who have put in the work. I will trust Shero/Castron and company as they certainly have earned that with some tremendous value picks over the years. With that said, I’ll add my 2 cents which should be taken at face value since I’m just a fan who does some research and does his best to formulate educated opinions.

I was disappointed Matthew Robertson was taken by the Rangers at 49 and did not quite make it to the Devils at 55. As a kid thought to be projected as a surefire first round talent, I was amazed he lasted as far as he did into round 2. With all the Devils draft capital, I would have liked to have seen them move up 6+ spots to secure him once Robertson kept sliding. I can only surmise that the Devils had an internal list which had several of the physical shutdown defensemen they look later on as ranked significantly higher than most. Thus, perhaps they did not find it as imperative to move up and snag Robertson. It appeared like the strategy was to load up on these style of players and take as many of them as possible. IE- I was downright shocked when the Devils eventually took McCarthy late round 4 after all the similar types of players they had already drafted by then. That is a minor criticism I have; I personally would have liked Shero and company to be aggressive on Robertson.

As round 2 progressed I saw names come off the board that I had become enamored by. Guys like Rees and Korczak went in the early to mid 40s if I remember correctly. These two players didn’t drop quite enough to where I felt the Devils could make a play on them without giving up too much in return. In particular, Korczak was definitely a player I was hoping would find his way to the Devils. Anyway, when we finally did get to pick 55, I felt like Brett Leason was a tremendous value and could bring a unique skill set that would complement some of our smaller, skilled talent. I was surprised he was still available and not crazy about the trade down (though I suspect at this point there was not a player on the Devils board that they were in love with).

To be completely honest, the first thing I said when the Devils selected Okhotyuk was: “who is this kid?” I was not thrilled with the value here after passing on Leason. After doing a little more research, I started to understand the rationale more and more. Of course I hope the young man continues to develop and I wish him well. It sounds like he’s a relatively safe floor pick.

I liked the Misyul and Clarke picks a great deal. Vukojevic seems like an OK selection but the one that really baffles me in Thompson. Ryder Donovan is a kid that has way more upside IMHO based on what I’ve read and this pick seemed like a major reach in the fourth round. The Devils more than made up for that headscratcher by securing McCarthy later in the round.

While I’m split (more positive than negative overall though) on how the Devils faired from round 2 through 4, by most accounts they seemed to hit a home run from rounds 5 on in finding some potential gems.

Of course nobody knows for sure and it will take many years before we have more answers in regards to how the Devils overall 2019 draft class panned out. In the meantime, it’s still fun to talk about and share our thoughts. Thanks for reading!!
 

Caser

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@StevenToddIves, Okhotyuk is from Chelyabinsk (which is in Russia), why do you call him 'Belarussian'? Misyul was born in Belarus though, but he is representing Russia, as he has lived there since he was a little kid, maybe you're confusing them because of that?
 
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AfroThunder396

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When I read that Clarke write-up my mind immediately screams 'Reid Boucher 2.0', do you think that's fair or is there a difference?

I know Boucher was a bad skater, not average or meh, but like actively bad.
 
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thethinglonger

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When I read that Clarke write-up my mind immediately screams 'Reid Boucher 2.0', do you think that's fair or is there a difference?

I know Boucher was a bad skater, not average or meh, but like actively bad.

I think this is definitely a fair concern, but one area about Clarke's game that stands out above Boucher's is his ability to see and recognize open space in the offensive zone AND having the gusto to attack that open space. Finding the open space is what, imo, prevented Boucher from being able to transition to the NHL. Clarke will need to improve his skating, but having that sense is enough of a separation for me between the two.
 

ottawah

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I've been watching Clarke since he was 12, 13 maybe, outside of a few years in toronto.

Maybe part of the issue was that he was sooo good at such a young age due to his shot (he had an OHL caliber shot at 13) that the rest of his game was glossed over. Minor bantam (last in Ottawa) he had 48 goals, the next highest point total was 35 points, and Clarke was 3rd in assists, plus easily was highest PM player. And everyone was on him all game, he was the player to stop. Skating was always what I felt was his limiting factor. He has always been tough and had hands and a shot, drove the player and was general an active player. He just never had the footwork nor all out speed that is the difference between a AAA prodigy and an NHL player. And his size is a concern when combined with the speed. You can be small, you just have to be fast.

All that said, the kid always seemed to work hard off the ice from what I heard, was a good and very mature kid. He did not complain in Ottawa last year when his role was not what a draft eligible player would want, but he embraced it, worked at it and was definitely an asset on the 67's in the playoffs despite not scoring at a high rate.

Truth be told at this point I am not sure how much his skating can improve. I'm sure he has had top notch instruction for many years and its still rather pedestrian by OHL standards. And the size is what it is. So I'd say it is an uphill battle to be an NHL player, but some players like this are able to carve out a niche, wish him all the luck.
 

Jersey Fresh

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STI likes these guys, which is great, but as a matter of principle, I don't like the idea of drafting purely defensive defensemen let alone 4 in a single draft. I'd rather draft upside players that can settle into defensive roles if need be.

Seems like Misyul is at least rated as a guy like that with a lot more room to grow.
 
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Oneiro

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Yeah. It feels like trying to stack the probabilities in favor of finding the big shutdown D also stacks the probabilities towards burning your pick. A bit annoying when you can find a heavy D in UFA or on the waiver wire every season.

But hey, we have Hughes, Subban and the later rounds were "better," as much as we can judge stuff right now. Can't complain too much.
 
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AfroThunder396

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STI likes these guys, which is great, but as a matter of principle, I don't like the idea of drafting purely defensive defensemen let alone 4 in a single draft. I'd rather draft upside players that can settle into defensive roles if need be.

Seems like Misyul is at least rated as a guy like that with a lot more room to grow.
Okhotyuk seems like a bit of a reach and from I read Musyil sounds to be the better prospect.

I would have preferred going for a higher ceiling player at 61 as you said. But whatever, we had a need and we addressed it. And with #1, Subban, and the lower rounds all exceeding expectations I can live with one or two meh picks.
 

Lou is God

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One player that intrigues me is Case McCarthy, every analysis I read on him he comes across as a first round talent, yet how did he last till the 4th round? He was no sleeper or unknown since he was part of NTDP and he was a player you would hear a lot of, while I'm thrilled he fell to us it kinda makes little sense.
 
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StevenToddIves

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@StevenToddIves, Okhotyuk is from Chelyabinsk (which is in Russia), why do you call him 'Belarussian'? Misyul was born in Belarus though, but he is representing Russia, as he has lived there since he was a little kid, maybe you're confusing them because of that?

Yes, I mixed that up. Thanks for pointing that out for me -- I was rushing out three posts on the draft in an hour before work and my wiring got crossed.
 

StevenToddIves

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When I read that Clarke write-up my mind immediately screams 'Reid Boucher 2.0', do you think that's fair or is there a difference?

I know Boucher was a bad skater, not average or meh, but like actively bad.

They are certainly similar-type players. But this does not mean that Clarke will not make it. If he can round out his game to become a third-line RW, his shot is so deadly that he can see first-unit PP time and score a bunch of goals. I think he was a decent pick where the Devils grabbed him.
 

StevenToddIves

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I've been watching Clarke since he was 12, 13 maybe, outside of a few years in toronto.

Maybe part of the issue was that he was sooo good at such a young age due to his shot (he had an OHL caliber shot at 13) that the rest of his game was glossed over. Minor bantam (last in Ottawa) he had 48 goals, the next highest point total was 35 points, and Clarke was 3rd in assists, plus easily was highest PM player. And everyone was on him all game, he was the player to stop. Skating was always what I felt was his limiting factor. He has always been tough and had hands and a shot, drove the player and was general an active player. He just never had the footwork nor all out speed that is the difference between a AAA prodigy and an NHL player. And his size is a concern when combined with the speed. You can be small, you just have to be fast.

All that said, the kid always seemed to work hard off the ice from what I heard, was a good and very mature kid. He did not complain in Ottawa last year when his role was not what a draft eligible player would want, but he embraced it, worked at it and was definitely an asset on the 67's in the playoffs despite not scoring at a high rate.

Truth be told at this point I am not sure how much his skating can improve. I'm sure he has had top notch instruction for many years and its still rather pedestrian by OHL standards. And the size is what it is. So I'd say it is an uphill battle to be an NHL player, but some players like this are able to carve out a niche, wish him all the luck.

Thanks for the analysis -- far superior than mine. I have high hopes that Clarke can be the rare NHL-er who plays third-line minutes but gets first-unit PP time -- he can really wire the puck better than any forward in the Devils pipeline.
 

StevenToddIves

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STI likes these guys, which is great, but as a matter of principle, I don't like the idea of drafting purely defensive defensemen let alone 4 in a single draft. I'd rather draft upside players that can settle into defensive roles if need be.

Seems like Misyul is at least rated as a guy like that with a lot more room to grow.

McCarthy can develop, too. His skating and puck skills are both quite good. I can see him becoming a Brett Pesce-like stalwart on the Devils blueline.

It's also important to keep in mind that guys like Ty Smith, Will Butcher and Reilly Walsh are going to need defense partners. If you pair Butcher with Walsh it's not going to be good for either of them. Whereas if you pair Walsh with Vukojevic and Butcher with McCarthy, it frees up Butcher and Walsh to play their natural styles.
 
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StevenToddIves

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One player that intrigues me is Case McCarthy, every analysis I read on him he comes across as a first round talent, yet how did he last till the 4th round? He was no sleeper or unknown since he was part of NTDP and he was a player you would hear a lot of, while I'm thrilled he fell to us it kinda makes little sense.

The US-NTDP had 7 defensemen drafted. Cam York, Marshall Warren and Dominik Fensore saw the best PP time, Case McCarthy, Henry Thrun and Drew Helleson drew most of the tough defensive assignments, and Alex Vlasic was kind of in between.

It is my personal belief that McCarthy has decent offensive upside -- his skating and puck skills are pretty good. But the fact that he was deployed defensively the lion's share of his ice time certainly lowered his draft stock.
 

Nubmer6

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STI likes these guys, which is great, but as a matter of principle, I don't like the idea of drafting purely defensive defensemen let alone 4 in a single draft. I'd rather draft upside players that can settle into defensive roles if need be.

Seems like Misyul is at least rated as a guy like that with a lot more room to grow.
I don't really care that STI likes these guys as much as WHY he likes these guys.

There was a clear organizational need that they tried to fill unsuccessfully with bottom pairing plugs. They recognized (as STI did) this need and had a clear strategy for this draft.

They were ready, willing, and able to trade down multiple times to acquire as many picks as possible in the sweet spot to pick up solid defensive defensemen with the idea that even though they have a slightly lower percentage chance to make it into the NHL, doubling the number of picks greatly increases the chance of coming out with a true NHLer. It's almost like taking 4 shots at 40% vs taking 2 shots at 50%.

Trading down was a calculated attempt to fill organizational need while still picking BPA in the slots they had.
 

Lou is God

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The US-NTDP had 7 defensemen drafted. Cam York, Marshall Warren and Dominik Fensore saw the best PP time, Case McCarthy, Henry Thrun and Drew Helleson drew most of the tough defensive assignments, and Alex Vlasic was kind of in between.

It is my personal belief that McCarthy has decent offensive upside -- his skating and puck skills are pretty good. But the fact that he was deployed defensively the lion's share of his ice time certainly lowered his draft stock.
I think also look how many good prospects there are, there is always one or two who get loss because of numbers. Outside of Hughes he might excite me the most because he's got a lot moxie to his game.
 

Blackjack

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I don't really care that STI likes these guys as much as WHY he likes these guys.

There was a clear organizational need that they tried to fill unsuccessfully with bottom pairing plugs. They recognized (as STI did) this need and had a clear strategy for this draft.

They were ready, willing, and able to trade down multiple times to acquire as many picks as possible in the sweet spot to pick up solid defensive defensemen with the idea that even though they have a slightly lower percentage chance to make it into the NHL, doubling the number of picks greatly increases the chance of coming out with a true NHLer. It's almost like taking 4 shots at 40% vs taking 2 shots at 50%.

Trading down was a calculated attempt to fill organizational need while still picking BPA in the slots they had.

When I think back to what frustrated me the most watching the Devils the last two years, it was the inability to cope with a heavy forecheck down low. Other teams ground us down, and I think it ultimately cost us wins and injuries. We tried a band-aid approach bringing in guys like Mueller, Yakovlev, Gryba, etc., but now we bit the bullet and drafted the kind of defensemen you need in the modern game. These are not old school plodding grenade handlers as STI likes to say. They're tremendous skaters, great passers, and play the game with intelligence and ferocity. Judging by the proposed rule changes, the NHL will continue to try to make it harder to defend, and we're really going to need top notch talent to do so. I'm very excited about the D we drafted this year.
 

Nubmer6

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When I think back to what frustrated me the most watching the Devils the last two years, it was the inability to cope with a heavy forecheck down low. Other teams ground us down, and I think it ultimately cost us wins and injuries. We tried a band-aid approach bringing in guys like Mueller, Yakovlev, Gryba, etc., but now we bit the bullet and drafted the kind of defensemen you need in the modern game. These are not old school plodding grenade handlers as STI likes to say. They're tremendous skaters, great passers, and play the game with intelligence and ferocity. Judging by the proposed rule changes, the NHL will continue to try to make it harder to defend, and we're really going to need top notch talent to do so. I'm very excited about the D we drafted this year.
What's interesting to me is that we seemed to learn from Santini. He looked so promising but didn't pan out. The result was hedging our bets and drafting FOUR players with a chance to play such a role with the hopes that at least one works out.
 

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