BlueDream
Registered User
- Aug 30, 2011
- 25,685
- 14,073
So Sanford is actually not that bad.GSVA - it's basically like WAR for baseball, but the numbers are lower. An amazing season for a baseball player is usually around 9-10 wins, for hockey an amazing season is like 4-5 for a forward and like 2.5-3 for a D-man.
For example - Sundqvist is projected as a .4 win player, which according to the model puts him solidly in 3L territory. This is from the Athletic at the beginning of the year:
View attachment 458653
Now remember, this is from the beginning of the year, and takes into account the previous three seasons to provide a prediction. So that's our year before the Cup (Missed the playoffs in the final game against the Avs), the Cup year, and the year we were top of the League until the shutdown.
Obviously this picture is pretty rosy compared to the way the season shook out. By the time the season was over, Barbashev was considered a .16 GSVA player. Here are the people closest to him:
View attachment 458654
A player with a 0.0 value for last season would be Antoine Roussel.
So yes, Barbashev is -slightly- above replacement level for last year , but not by much.
At this point I hope the Blues bring him back just to spite all the fans on Twitter that act like he’s the worst player to ever put on skates.